PA Trading with EMAs & common Sense
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
{quote} yes bro..you must know how to surf with those crooks cause they allways win so take advantage with that and surf with those busterds cause only this way you will win mostly, P/S i decided to trade like a bee strike small and quick and move on take care
- #515,123
- Apr 1, 2020 9:33am Apr 1, 2020 9:33am
- Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Trader | 30,688 Posts
{quote} yes bro..you must know how to surf with those crooks cause they allways win so take adventage with that and surf with those busterds cause only this way you will win mostly, P/S i decided to trade like a bee strike small and quick and move on take care
very nice
look for entry at 1.2400 level
yes yes yes
- #515,124
- Apr 1, 2020 9:45am Apr 1, 2020 9:45am
- Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Trader | 1,378 Posts
PA Trading with EMAs & common Sense
- #515,125
- Apr 1, 2020 9:51am Apr 1, 2020 9:51am
- Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Trader | 1,378 Posts
PA Trading with EMAs & common Sense
- #515,127
- Apr 1, 2020 10:22am Apr 1, 2020 10:22am
- Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Trader | 30,688 Posts
yes yes yes
- #515,128
- Apr 1, 2020 10:33am Apr 1, 2020 10:33am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
COT: The precious data ignored
- #515,132
- Apr 1, 2020 11:10am Apr 1, 2020 11:10am
- Joined Aug 2018 | Status: Research Analyst | 4,290 Posts
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
- #515,133
- Edited 10:31pm Apr 1, 2020 11:21am | Edited 10:31pm
- Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 24,286 Posts
I adjusted this projection thinking about when it arrived in the US and an average time to show symptoms.
Backing it up I know the average double rate of 3 days with little mitigation.
If half my R0 3.8 of which I'm confident on, then that gives me a multiplier 1.9,i.e 100 x 1.9 equals 190.
So you're looking just under 2 million bit further down the line, around that Sunday.I don't think I need to worry about other criteria because the US did next to nothing in all that time.
It's worse than that, as the White House dangerously dismissed it pretty much, until recently. Don't believe the rubbish about shutting down any travel had any effect in the grand scheme of things, though I agree it was the right action. It needed to be watertight to have much of an effect- then it's a small element of the entire puzzle.
Once it's seeded there's no stopping it mathematically, the trajectory will not change- its too late to say we're doing so much testing to effect that period later.
Many areas of the US will break into 10,000s soon & that's when it moves fast.
Uk isn't great but they acted much faster after a bad start. It's actually full lockdown that alters the trajectory. This will defiantly work.
Or high testing day 1 when you know it's in the community with contact tracing to remove early infections out of the picture.
Look at other countries that did that.
“There’s no restriction on Americans going back and forth,” Klain said. “There are warnings. People should abide by those warnings. But today, 30 planes will land in Los Angeles that either originated in Beijing or came here on one-stops, 30 in San Francisco, 25 in New York City. Okay? So, unless we think that the colour of the passport someone carries is a meaningful public health restriction, we have not placed a meaningful public health restriction.
Trump repeated this claim at his town in Scranton on March 5, saying that as soon as he heard that China had a problem with the coronavirus, he asked how many people the U.S. had come in from China. “Nobody but me asked that question,” Trump said. Trump added that his decision to impose the travel restrictions was made “against the advice of almost everybody.”
Everybody? Not according to Azar, who said it was the “uniform” recommendation of experts in his department.
“The travel restrictions that we put in place in consultation with the president were very measured and incremental,” Azar told reporters Feb. 7. “These were the uniform recommendations of the career public health officials here at HHS.”
Backing it up I know the average double rate of 3 days with little mitigation.
If half my R0 3.8 of which I'm confident on, then that gives me a multiplier 1.9,i.e 100 x 1.9 equals 190.
So you're looking just under 2 million bit further down the line, around that Sunday.I don't think I need to worry about other criteria because the US did next to nothing in all that time.
It's worse than that, as the White House dangerously dismissed it pretty much, until recently. Don't believe the rubbish about shutting down any travel had any effect in the grand scheme of things, though I agree it was the right action. It needed to be watertight to have much of an effect- then it's a small element of the entire puzzle.
Once it's seeded there's no stopping it mathematically, the trajectory will not change- its too late to say we're doing so much testing to effect that period later.
Many areas of the US will break into 10,000s soon & that's when it moves fast.
Uk isn't great but they acted much faster after a bad start. It's actually full lockdown that alters the trajectory. This will defiantly work.
Or high testing day 1 when you know it's in the community with contact tracing to remove early infections out of the picture.
Look at other countries that did that.
“There’s no restriction on Americans going back and forth,” Klain said. “There are warnings. People should abide by those warnings. But today, 30 planes will land in Los Angeles that either originated in Beijing or came here on one-stops, 30 in San Francisco, 25 in New York City. Okay? So, unless we think that the colour of the passport someone carries is a meaningful public health restriction, we have not placed a meaningful public health restriction.
Trump repeated this claim at his town in Scranton on March 5, saying that as soon as he heard that China had a problem with the coronavirus, he asked how many people the U.S. had come in from China. “Nobody but me asked that question,” Trump said. Trump added that his decision to impose the travel restrictions was made “against the advice of almost everybody.”
Everybody? Not according to Azar, who said it was the “uniform” recommendation of experts in his department.
“The travel restrictions that we put in place in consultation with the president were very measured and incremental,” Azar told reporters Feb. 7. “These were the uniform recommendations of the career public health officials here at HHS.”
looking at 1000 up on that weekly, even if it doesn't break this week. looks super bullish to me stay away from $ long in general . Time lag to any mitigation{3-4 week},it will rise fast on very bad handling. close to 2 million end of next week infected USA.Monitor 600,000 by the end of week Serial interval could b 5 days ,which slows it it down.Thats the average before symptom, best guess we know. {image} {image} {image}
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
- #515,134
- Apr 1, 2020 11:26am Apr 1, 2020 11:26am
- Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Trader | 1,378 Posts
PA Trading with EMAs & common Sense
- #515,135
- Apr 1, 2020 11:33am Apr 1, 2020 11:33am
- Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Trader | 1,378 Posts
PA Trading with EMAs & common Sense
- #515,136
- Apr 1, 2020 11:38am Apr 1, 2020 11:38am
- Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Trader | 1,378 Posts
PA Trading with EMAs & common Sense
- #515,137
- Edited 12:11pm Apr 1, 2020 11:53am | Edited 12:11pm
- Joined Oct 2010 | Status: Trader | 4,465 Posts
When the primary trend of the hourly time frame is down , scalp impulse waves using the 15 minute for entry, works on every time frame so long as there is a primary trend, this type of scalping has extremely good risk reward with low risk.
There are no secrets to this, its pure technical analysis as it was written in the book by Robert D. Edwards and John Magee and is considered to be the Bible of market analysis (no commercial intent here
.)
There are no secrets to this, its pure technical analysis as it was written in the book by Robert D. Edwards and John Magee and is considered to be the Bible of market analysis (no commercial intent here
.) Follow The Markets Structure - Patience and Discipline
- #515,138
- Edited Apr 2, 2020 6:49am Apr 1, 2020 12:33pm | Edited Apr 2, 2020 6:49am
- Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 24,286 Posts
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
- #515,139
- Apr 1, 2020 12:38pm Apr 1, 2020 12:38pm
- Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Trader | 30,688 Posts
yes yes yes
- #515,140
- Apr 1, 2020 12:40pm Apr 1, 2020 12:40pm
- Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Trader | 85,235 Posts
When the primary trend of the hourly time frame is down , scalp impulse waves using the 15 minute for entry, works on every time frame so long as there is a primary trend, this type of scalping has extremely good risk reward with low risk. There are no secrets to this, its pure technical analysis as it was written in the book by Robert D. Edwards and John Magee and is considered to be the Bible of market analysis (no commercial intent here
Pipfarm chart is self.explaining: all I need everyday is in that chart! So simple but effective in terrific way!
And I can even make money on counter.trend following that way, but I MUST be fully aware that I'm in counter.trend!
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me