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EURUSD Pro

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  • Post #141
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  • Mar 29, 2020 2:31am Mar 29, 2020 2:31am
  •  ponchofx
  • | Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 102 Posts
Excellent thread, keep it up! I also think we'll see swings either direction, we are in the midst of a liquidity crisis and volatility is high. The Fed has been interveening in the Repo market as lender of last resort since last October(which is misunderstood as QE and here it's about short term rates) because banks don't want to lend as the perseived risk is rising. Now, it's the end of M/Q end we are likely to see more selling and rebalancing which will put pressure on the Dow. So there is bullish momentum in the Euro but it's also hitting Monthly resistance. BWilliam is right- I'll look to see if there will be rejection at the highs.
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  • Post #142
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  • Mar 29, 2020 2:36am Mar 29, 2020 2:36am
  •  tiborf71
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: survivor | 3,447 Posts
so far this thread is great.
not like one of the similar eurusd threads running a total dictatorship.
 
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  • Post #143
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  • Mar 29, 2020 3:25am Mar 29, 2020 3:25am
  •  tiborf71
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: survivor | 3,447 Posts
Quoting tiborf71
Disliked
so far this thread is great. not like one of the similar eurusd threads running a total dictatorship.
Ignored
eurusd only, I was thinking about thread.
there some people play the almighty.
 
 
  • Post #144
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  • Mar 29, 2020 3:47am Mar 29, 2020 3:47am
  •  sponge
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 1,732 Posts
I agree strange price action but strange times aswell.

I'm bullish atm so looking to buy the dips, however we've had a fair old push in volume on EU both monthly/Q1 so for me the monthly/quarterly pivot looks like the critical level for next week.

Holding over this level would keep me on the long side.
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All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
 
 
  • Post #145
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  • Mar 29, 2020 6:39am Mar 29, 2020 6:39am
  •  tiborf71
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: survivor | 3,447 Posts
the hard times are currently trading, now it is very difficult to trade.
but I see that the correlations are still working, not broken.
 
 
  • Post #146
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  • Mar 29, 2020 7:14am Mar 29, 2020 7:14am
  •  pridolfx
  • Joined Feb 2018 | Status: Member | 1,192 Posts
Inserted Video
 
 
  • Post #147
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  • Mar 29, 2020 4:38pm Mar 29, 2020 4:38pm
  •  Bocephus
  • | Joined Jan 2013 | Status: Member | 747 Posts
likely to see a re-gas “down” as market opens for more up.
 
 
  • Post #148
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  • Mar 29, 2020 4:43pm Mar 29, 2020 4:43pm
  •  QuantemPips
  • | Joined Jul 2019 | Status: Member | 47 Posts
Quoting tiborf71
Disliked
{quote} eurusd only, I was thinking about thread. there some people play the almighty.
Ignored
Agreed. Left that thread for good.

Don't post here because I don't consider myself a "pro", but am an avid follower.
 
 
  • Post #149
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  • Edited 9:07pm Mar 29, 2020 4:58pm | Edited 9:07pm
  •  surgeon
  • Joined Oct 2012 | Status: Guru - NOT! | 398 Posts | Online Now
Quoting tiborf71
Disliked
so far this thread is great. not like one of the similar eurusd threads running a total dictatorship.
Ignored
I totally disagree and I fully subscribe to the "EURUSD ONLY" thread.

Look, that thread like its name implies, is meant to espouse EURUSD trades alone - and so if the admin "dictates" a moderation of posts that must kowtow to this then so be it!
I see Beasts. I drop my scalpel and beckon on theatre nurse: "Charts!..""
RubiconFund Return Today: -12.3%
 
 
  • Post #150
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  • Mar 30, 2020 12:41am Mar 30, 2020 12:41am
  •  newbegger
  • Joined May 2011 | Status: Member | 1,403 Posts
Interesting. I do not use these much anymore but it popped up during my review.
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Ecclesiastes 1:9
 
 
  • Post #151
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  • Mar 30, 2020 6:32am Mar 30, 2020 6:32am
  •  forexer11
  • | Joined Feb 2013 | Status: Member | 275 Posts
Till now no trade ... Waiting for victim hhhhhhh
 
 
  • Post #152
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  • Mar 30, 2020 9:12am Mar 30, 2020 9:12am
  •  auricforecas
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Still a total mystery | 3,575 Posts
ENTERED BUY, just now
Can you afford to take that chance?
 
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  • Post #153
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  • Mar 30, 2020 9:19am Mar 30, 2020 9:19am
  •  forexer11
  • | Joined Feb 2013 | Status: Member | 275 Posts
Quoting auricforecas
Disliked
ENTERED BUY, just now
Ignored
Great! From daily support1 to 1.1230
 
 
  • Post #154
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  • Mar 30, 2020 9:24am Mar 30, 2020 9:24am
  •  Bocephus
  • | Joined Jan 2013 | Status: Member | 747 Posts
Quoting auricforecas
Disliked
ENTERED BUY, just now
Ignored
That was the re-gas I was looking for up looks a lot better now
 
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  • Post #155
  • Quote
  • Mar 30, 2020 9:29am Mar 30, 2020 9:29am
  •  4experience
  • Joined Jan 2018 | Status: Member | 1,643 Posts
Quoting auricforecas
Disliked
ENTERED BUY, just now
Ignored

I am surprise because for me there is no bullish setup even if H4 is bullish.
For my part I have Added a new sell position 1033.
Target 0950/0980
 
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  • Post #156
  • Quote
  • Edited 11:55am Mar 30, 2020 11:41am | Edited 11:55am
  •  auricforecas
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Still a total mystery | 3,575 Posts
Quoting auricforecas
Disliked
ENTERED BUY, just now
Ignored
EXITED at TP20 from entry.
Ok guys, consider this as a 20PIP gift for you

I have made enough trades for today

At the same time...
If all goes well, more signals (with violet line/curve posted as BEFORE/AFTER; example - also check my profile/images for more examples) and LIVE TE coming (target like 100%+ with 20% DD or something.. Currently have CHEETAH TE attached to thread for example)... If all goes well...
Keep up the good work! I like that some recognised the thread potential. If you care about money/profits before ego/popularity, you "qualify" in my book, do not be intimidated about "Pro", just post, help as you can.. It is ver simple.. Pro is basically an indication of what being Pro is all about... Money/Profits.. Many do not get this, believe it or not. It is about money, profits... Some other threads are about popularity/egotrip, praising the thread starter or whatever (while forgetting what it is all about in trading; even profitable signals/posts get ignored/banned, which is ridiculous, in my book)... So I was basically forced to create this one (hoped and encouraged others to do it, for quite sometime; it is all timestamped).. I myself was banned before in certain eurusd thread, I even analysed EVERY post that I made in certain eurusd thread (and posted it in parallel thread).. and all was pure gold, good attribution to profits... but it seems that was irrelevant and was banned/ignore without warning or second chance within a reasonable mount of time.. I feel bad for rookies that go to certain, what appears to be, "default" pair threads, thinking it is about the pair, when it is about the thread starters version of it - and the ones that do not agree gets "insert here".. I myself am not an authority in this pair. I try to help as I can, I leave others to use it or pass it... Also I let others decide if they want to follow certain members or not, I for sure won't "moderate profits" out for you, like some others do... You shall decide for yourself what members to follow and what not. That is it. This is a free thread. Anyone can post, specially the ones that would like to make money/profits and help the fellow traders along the way.

Hope we can deliver as much juice/alpha to each other as we can... You can even be impolite, unkind to me, as long as you BRING IT Interesting clip about how money sounds like and I concur So no limitations from me/thread... This thread is not about me but about making MONEY/PROFITS trading EURUSD, that is it!
It is simple... but many lost the objective, as I am sure you all know

Also, I agree that each thread starter should have the freedom to run the thread as they want BUT it should be clear that some threads are not so about the PAIR but about the thread starter and his/her views (and the ones that step on something he/she doesn't like gets eliminated, without any warning; which is very sad)...
Well this EURUSD Pro is about the EURUSD trading and making money out of it... You do not have to mind me even I just opened this thread because no one else did.. We have/had some threads like this before but all were/are heavy moderated (with ego before profits) and yes, that means, many potential profits got moderated out also! I let this decision to you... Apart of some global forum rules, do what you want I just hope that we can make as much money/profits, together, while we do it

BRING IT!

P.S. This is how trade developed (check below pictures) vs my prediction model (shorter time frame output) - violet line was EXPECTED direction, according to my price prediction model. This time, I post as AFTER pic(s) only, but you had my timestamped buy entry (posted int his thread) at the start point of the line. As you can see, took some longer than expected, but still very clean, it went up 20PIP within 10PIP "error" aka "turning radius"... Meaning that it went max 10PIP in counter (-10PIP), before it went to desired direction (+20PIP). Also, mind you, this is one of the hardest signals to detect/trade since it is at the infliction point... Meaning, it was falling just BEFORE the entry... and then started to climb towards TP...

Quoting Bocephus
Disliked
{quote} That was the re-gas I was looking for up looks a lot better now
Ignored
Tnx man, appreciated the additional confidence, cross-check

Quoting 4experience
Disliked
{quote} I am surprise because for me there is no bullish setup even if H4 is bullish. For my part I have Added a new sell position 1033. Target 0950/0980
Ignored
Well yea, I would be surprised myself, if my price prediction model of 11+ years wouldn't suggest that entry, apart from some other cross-checks that I do in parallel Hope you got something out of it.

Which reminds me... About my price prediction model... I do not want to bullshit you guys, in a way that there is some magical indicator, formula or whatever that I can give you or claim to have, because I trade by my price prediction model and some (co)relations are also puzzling to me... As I already explained here... For example, I do track, what I believe to be, the most important parameter (and no, you do not want to know, at least until it is not more proven; because you might get...) but I do not "fully" understand the mechanisms on WHY/HOW there appear to be correlation (very well known "issue" in stat). I do have (many) theories but nothing "certain". Also I cross check the outputs with fundamentals, to see if it is crazy or possible/plausible... etc... But for technicals, others might be best to server you. I tend to focus on fundamentals, as a cross-check with the model that is complex AF but the output is "simple". Few realise how hard is it to get that violet "line", "curve" or whatever...... Can't wait to upgrade the hardware...

Also, if you want some "advice" that you think I might have/give, feel free.. Because I might not know much but I do know that strategies or even traders have internal logic flaw that would lead nowhere... For example, certain traders that focus on "attitude" BEFORE profits, do not have the chance, unless they are wizards and can do everything themselves... There is no time for crap in trading where ms is a dinosaur... Also some people have TP/SL/LEV set in such a way that it is STAT impossible to hold it for a "long" time... Also some do get something but they would want to "ride it" through all the "golden rules" that they have learned so that the trade would be impossible to go through even if they would receive tomorrows chart today... Ok, enough... You got the picture...

my price prediction model of 11+ years, of which SAUCE/JUICE I most definitely won't reveal, for now... is predicting UP for weeks now and it haven't failed me so far, although there was some lag at times, specially when central banks were joining the party... Also, as some of you wise in stat or even math-stat... Some correlations can be seen, observed, proven and whatever abut not fully explained if at all.. So the model has its own mystery beyond the creator, or so to speak.. I fell in fx by "accident".. I have applied tools from "far other profession" and it appeared to be working for the last 11years, with delays, of course, because which model can sustain the MANUAL adjustment with TRILLIONs... That is why I do not talk about technicals, I believe we have many "experts" on this already. So let's see what the next week(s) bring...

So the MAIN decision is my price prediction model of 11+ years... I then cross-check it with some (high economic) news, if I want to enter it precisely/daily in order no to enter just before or at news... because as we know the market can get pretty distorted... I also try to enter at "good conditions", meaning good volume, spread etc... I even cross-check with some fellow members on this forum that I find reliable... Or in other words, the longer the timeframe in question, the more I rely (exclusively) on the model (that already tracks a lot of things), but the shorter the timeframe, any temp noise counts so have to check additional things... Also about the model, for the last time I still can not confirm/reject that it is what it appears to be... Because there were "dark times", mainly due to massive interventions, unexpected events, but so far, on the higher timeframe, all the prices came through, believe it or now... But for DAILY trading, that is only the "price prediction" component... The other is HARVEST, that would also include the PRECISION... So unless it would spit-out signals with very little error even in shortest timeframes, we have to have each other with cross-checking all, what we believe to be, relevant parameters before entering or even exiting, right..

So that would be it... Will be heavy trading, specially second part of the week... Will be reentering OIL and GOLD again, soon. So you are also welcome to check my WTI and GOLD threads (plan to post/attach LIVE TE again in those threads as well)... And we try to do parallel CHEETAH trades... where we try to make it QUICK, BIG.. As it was prove before! We do that in parallel, with much lesser deposit since potentials are extraordinary... So hope to talk/see you soon... With some epic posted signals, TEs or whatever Chee(tah)rs.

DISCLAIMER: If this post is helpful, great! If you do not agree with something/any of it, great! That makes the market! I for sure do not want to discuss certain things further, specially about my price prediction model, at least not now... Hope some were not triggered by something I sad. Remember... just trying to make money/profits, for all, that is it I leave emotions/ego before entering the trade
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Can you afford to take that chance?
 
1
  • Post #157
  • Quote
  • Mar 30, 2020 12:00pm Mar 30, 2020 12:00pm
  •  4experience
  • Joined Jan 2018 | Status: Member | 1,643 Posts
Auricforecas
Appreciated
Very for time spent answering.
Concerning the other thread, do not care. Chief's culture is requested. It is not for us.
 
1
  • Post #158
  • Quote
  • Mar 30, 2020 12:03pm Mar 30, 2020 12:03pm
  •  auricforecas
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Still a total mystery | 3,575 Posts
Quoting 4experience
Disliked
Auricforecas Appreciated Very for time spent answering. Concerning the other thread, do not care. Chief's culture is requested. It is not for us.
Ignored
Tnx. Are you still in that short? Noticed that while I was editing above post, after I posted exit, I then added some more (general) info,.... it dropped.. Oh and yeah, I do not overtrade.. I stick to what model suggest, cross-check it and then stick to it.
So you might get your profits also, at least if you are happy with 20PIPs. That is the beauty of FX, both sides can win (sometimes) Even if they entered different positions at the same time
Can you afford to take that chance?
 
 
  • Post #159
  • Quote
  • Mar 30, 2020 12:08pm Mar 30, 2020 12:08pm
  •  4experience
  • Joined Jan 2018 | Status: Member | 1,643 Posts
Quoting auricforecas
Disliked
{quote} Tnx. Are you still in that short?
Ignored
I closed my short at 1013.

Now I am long at 1013 . I will post a chart in a moment to explain why.
 
1
  • Post #160
  • Quote
  • Edited 12:18pm Mar 30, 2020 12:08pm | Edited 12:18pm
  •  4experience
  • Joined Jan 2018 | Status: Member | 1,643 Posts
...
 
 
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