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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #47,301
  • Feb 27, 2020 4:08pm Feb 27, 2020 4:08pm
Quoting ensale
{quote} as long market keep making new lows i will sell pullbacks.. once that stops working.. then obvious we need to change to buys.. watch gold for breakout next week as well..
if I’m honest this didn’t play out as I’d hoped as I expected to build a much bigger pos & I closed 2 lots on Monday to sell a pull back..... it didn’t happen.

that is just the way shit rolls, keep thinking objectively and it won’t really matter over the long term.

im loaded up on gold calls, april, may & june & agree it’s like a coiled spring atm. It’ll lag but markets dropping will have an effect especially when we refer to the situation mentioned above, if it gets worse, gold will be the safe haven. & my money I was using for the pullbacks, much of its gone in there.

also looking at 7500 / 7800 target on bitcoin before that breaks upwards, I didn’t expect it to coincide with the market drop this time as in uncertain times people will really look for tried and tested methods to store money, ie: gold !
Que Sera
  • #47,302
  • Feb 27, 2020 4:10pm Feb 27, 2020 4:10pm
Towards the end of April for the bitcoin rally imo - nothing to do with it halving as it’s already priced in, but when optimism returns, I expect that to kick in there also.
Que Sera
  • #47,303
  • Feb 27, 2020 4:14pm Feb 27, 2020 4:14pm
And also agree re selling the pullbacks until it changes. You have to wonder how much of what we do know is now priced in considering much of what is happening is almost impossible to predict.

bounces are inevitable. 1-2k is fine by me !

gl to all of us.
Que Sera
  • #47,304
  • Feb 27, 2020 4:15pm Feb 27, 2020 4:15pm
Quoting Catempire
{quote} if I’m honest this didn’t play out as I’d hoped as I expected to build a much bigger pos & I closed 2 lots on Monday to sell a pull back..... it didn’t happen. that is just the way shit rolls, keep thinking objectively and it won’t really matter over the long term. im loaded up on gold calls, april, may & june & agree it’s like a coiled spring atm. It’ll lag but markets dropping will have an effect especially when we refer to the situation mentioned above, if it gets worse, gold will be the safe haven. & my money I was using for the pullbacks,...
it should'nt lag to be honest, but instutions want to keep it in check this week.. they won't be able to contain it much further if this continues. /gold

risks of flash crashes are increased also.. folks so keep stops.. trade smart. and risk well. this for myself mainly
It's in fear when people show what they truly value.
  • #47,305
  • Feb 27, 2020 4:21pm Feb 27, 2020 4:21pm
Quoting ensale
{quote} it should'nt lag to be honest, but instutions want to keep it in check this week.. they won't be able to contain it much further if this continues. /gold risks of flash crashes are increased also.. folks so keep stops.. trade smart. and risk well. this for myself mainly
wise words. In other words...... sell the rips lol.

Thinking about going full time trading again moving forward, never traded currencies & a great deal still to learn but I think I’ve got it in me again. objectivity is key.

one wonders if and when we will bounce. Such a hard call atm one way ticking.
Que Sera
  • #47,306
  • Feb 27, 2020 4:24pm Feb 27, 2020 4:24pm
Out of interest... target for gold?

thinking short (ish) term 1800’s. But moving up and onto new ATH’s eventually.
Que Sera
  • #47,307
  • Feb 27, 2020 4:29pm Feb 27, 2020 4:29pm
Quoting Catempire
Out of interest... target for gold? thinking short (ish) term 1800’s. But moving up and onto new ATH’s eventually.
that high in 2011.. 1916.. will be happy we get there

if it pullbacks, 1611 to 1784. is the move
It's in fear when people show what they truly value.
  • #47,308
  • Feb 27, 2020 4:44pm Feb 27, 2020 4:44pm
Don't forget when FED intervenes:

https://dailyreckoning.com/stock-market-not-woods/
  • #47,309
  • Feb 27, 2020 4:51pm Feb 27, 2020 4:51pm
Quoting stylinex
Don't forget when FED intervenes: https://dailyreckoning.com/stock-market-not-woods/
Like last night when Japan did & it still fell 1500 points ?

won’t make an ounce of difference into this market Stylinex & for that reason they won’t bother until things start looking more positive.

its pointless them pumping into a scared market.. of course unless their intention was to actually help the real economy, which it isn’t & never has been.

if the fed gave their citizens helicopter money it would come with a clause of having to invest it in the market with a 10 year lock in period lol
Que Sera
  • #47,310
  • Feb 27, 2020 4:59pm Feb 27, 2020 4:59pm
Tbf I’m over trying to get me point across I sound like a fucking broken record. Was saying the same shit at 29300 3 weeks back.

buybacks have vanished, inflow of money has vanished, so who starts selling? world is surrounded by uncertainty & the fed won’t be able to intervene with a positive effect until things start looking more positive.

sell the rips, finger on the trigger for the lows

Que Sera
  • #47,311
  • Feb 27, 2020 5:45pm Feb 27, 2020 5:45pm
Quoting stylinex
Don't forget when FED intervenes: https://dailyreckoning.com/stock-market-not-woods/
Quite correct. It’s only a matter of time before the Fed intervenes.

Sincerely hoping that Powell waits a long while though, lol.
  • #47,312
  • Feb 27, 2020 8:40pm Feb 27, 2020 8:40pm
HK monthly.
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Que Sera
  • #47,313
  • Feb 28, 2020 1:18am Feb 28, 2020 1:18am
good morning,

this thread has gone far from objectives. i see pages after pages filled with discussions, divergent underlyings and hindsight-postings. time to enforce the rules. from now on, i´ll start to ignore members which continue to not comply with the rules. everyone will get a second chance after a cooling-off period.

nontheless, good luck for all.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #47,314
  • Feb 28, 2020 1:29am Feb 28, 2020 1:29am
For those who may not have seen this. Look at VIX calls,volume and interest for VIX calls between $45-80 for March 18 calls. We either peak at around $48-50 and drop from there or if we go up above $57 we crash like we did in 2007/2008 where VIX spikes to $80-90. Good trade opportunities coming up to buy some VIX puts at support levels for reversal or calls for breakout
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  • #47,315
  • Feb 28, 2020 1:55am Feb 28, 2020 1:55am
This will probably take place. More selling before reversal.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/do...of2&yptr=yahoo
  • #47,316
  • Feb 28, 2020 2:15am Feb 28, 2020 2:15am
short 200 @11.930,90 sl -40 tp +120
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #47,317
  • Feb 28, 2020 2:19am Feb 28, 2020 2:19am
Quoting deltaone
short 200 @11.930,90 sl -40 tp +120
sl hit. -40
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #47,318
  • Feb 28, 2020 2:23am Feb 28, 2020 2:23am
short 200 @11.981,78 sl -40 tp +120
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #47,319
  • Feb 28, 2020 2:23am Feb 28, 2020 2:23am
Quoting deltaone
short 200 @11.981,78 sl -40 tp +120
sl = be now.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #47,320
  • Feb 28, 2020 2:24am Feb 28, 2020 2:24am
Short 25400, sl 120 tp open
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