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Attachments: Indian Stocks under Rs 500 - A statistical approach
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Indian Stocks under Rs 500 - A statistical approach

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  • Post #21
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  • Dec 17, 2019 8:16am Dec 17, 2019 8:16am
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Quoting pannet1
Disliked
hi, i see you have selected from futures universe. how did you short list the 10 stocks. have you setup any scanner for this.
Ignored
Yes, in-house tool. Otherwise, you can simply go to investing.com and create a favorites/profile of stocks.
 
1
  • Post #22
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2019 8:32am Dec 17, 2019 8:32am
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Day 2: Summary (Options were taken on the first hour of the day)
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  • Post #23
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  • Dec 17, 2019 12:04pm Dec 17, 2019 12:04pm
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Day 3 Chart:

A) Items grey out - set up invalid, hence replaced with other potential instrument
B) Yellow highlighted items - New entry
C) Green - Successfully closed
D) White - Continuing as set up still valid - with higher stake

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  • Post #24
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  • Dec 17, 2019 11:10pm Dec 17, 2019 11:10pm
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Today's first hour - check the comments/observation

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  • Post #25
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  • Dec 18, 2019 10:12pm Dec 18, 2019 10:12pm
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Day 3 chart - win% increased from 10% to 35%.

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  • Post #26
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  • Dec 18, 2019 11:30pm Dec 18, 2019 11:30pm
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Day 4: portfolio

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  • Post #27
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  • Dec 19, 2019 12:24am Dec 19, 2019 12:24am
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Result at the moment:

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  • Post #28
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  • Dec 19, 2019 7:17am Dec 19, 2019 7:17am
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Win rate is increased to 42% - Week 1 is closed. Next analysis will be done on Monday evening for Tuesday market.

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  • Post #29
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  • Dec 19, 2019 8:14am Dec 19, 2019 8:14am
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Strategy:

Generating Call/Put/No-Decisions based on Historical data applying Time series analysis: This is the only statistical approach I have at the moment.

The below is the latest scan for today which gives 100% correct decision after I updated the logic for decision making.

To make the decision the alert has to pass through 4 filters. Trade when all agrees.

A) Filter for Max Trend: scan max possible data points based on trading date
B) Filter for Max Trend: scan max possible data points based on trading date & Month
C) Filter for Current Month Trend
D) Filter for Current Week Trend

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  • Post #30
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  • Dec 23, 2019 1:00pm Dec 23, 2019 1:00pm
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Put options generated for the below stocks for trading on 24th.

GICHSGFIN - GIC Housing Finance Limited
ONGC
COALINDIA
IOC
SUNPHARMA
KRBL - KRBL Limited
 
 
  • Post #31
  • Quote
  • Dec 24, 2019 12:21am Dec 24, 2019 12:21am
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Trading for the day:

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  • Post #32
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  • Dec 24, 2019 9:11am Dec 24, 2019 9:11am
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Result # Day 2

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  • Post #33
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  • Dec 24, 2019 11:55am Dec 24, 2019 11:55am
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Forecasting will resume on new year, till then wishing you Happy Holidays, Merry X-Mas & Happy New Year!
 
 
  • Post #34
  • Quote
  • Jan 6, 2020 1:16pm Jan 6, 2020 1:16pm
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Signals - PUT Forecast for 7th Jan 2020

STARPAPER.NS
DYNPRO.NS
RAMANEWS.NS
NAGAFERT.NS
STEELXIND.NS
SHREYANIND.NS
GSCLCEMENT.NS
PDMJEPAPER.NS
JUBLINDS.NS
UVSL.NS
AGARIND.NS
 
 
  • Post #35
  • Quote
  • Jan 7, 2020 12:53pm Jan 7, 2020 12:53pm
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Success rate jumped upto 91%

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  • Post #36
  • Quote
  • Jan 8, 2020 8:15am Jan 8, 2020 8:15am
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
PUT signals for 9-Jan-2020 from Mega Cap sector

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  • Post #37
  • Quote
  • Last Post: Jan 11, 2020 12:09pm Jan 11, 2020 12:09pm
  •  rekon67
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Whn Market Warms u..U keep it Kool | 6,578 Posts
Did not go well mega cap sector just 23% of win rate.

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