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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #45,281
  • Dec 10, 2019 5:45am Dec 10, 2019 5:45am
2 big legs down, time for a buy ;-)

Long 12912, SL 15, TP 45
  • #45,282
  • Dec 10, 2019 6:53am Dec 10, 2019 6:53am
Volatility has dropped a little from yesterday.

Still take the same position: we need to break highs soon otherwise we will be bearish. This could all just be smoke screens and the creation of more buying room. Not saying it is... market will let us know soon.

Feel quite certain the Dax will make a jump up this week. Unsure whether highs will be tested...

I should have sat on the sides like I knew to :-)
  • #45,283
  • Dec 10, 2019 7:20am Dec 10, 2019 7:20am
Quoting EddyL
2 big legs down, time for a buy ;-) Long 12912, SL 15, TP 45
Out at 12945 :-) good day today.
  • #45,284
  • Dec 10, 2019 9:04am Dec 10, 2019 9:04am
Quoting EddyL
{quote} Out at 12945 :-) good day today.
Oh boy, did I underestimate that move. Got out even before my TP. Oh well, still made money, so that's what matters.
  • #45,285
  • Dec 10, 2019 1:00pm Dec 10, 2019 1:00pm
Got out with small profits, also had a ftse position open and I opened a US30 when the market turned which remained open.

We should know better and sit on the sides during such volatile periods!!
  • #45,286
  • Dec 10, 2019 2:14pm Dec 10, 2019 2:14pm
Quoting deltaone
{quote} itīs no loss until the loss is realized, only dd..
750k€ drawdown??? are you out of your f mind ????!
  • #45,287
  • Dec 10, 2019 2:37pm Dec 10, 2019 2:37pm
Quoting lemur6666
{quote} 750k€ drawdown??? are you out of your f mind ????!
1. Don't believe everything you read on the internet.
2. What if his account is in billions? Then 750k is nothing to him.

  • #45,288
  • Dec 10, 2019 2:47pm Dec 10, 2019 2:47pm
added 100 long @27.875. no sl, tp open.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #45,289
  • Dec 10, 2019 2:49pm Dec 10, 2019 2:49pm
Quoting ILovePizza
{quote} 1. Don't believe everything you read on the internet. 2. What if his account is in billions? Then 750k is nothing to him.
ad 1) agreed, not everything.
ad 2) right, but thatīs not the case - but funny statement
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #45,290
  • Dec 10, 2019 2:52pm Dec 10, 2019 2:52pm
Quoting lemur6666
{quote} 750k€ drawdown??? are you out of your f mind ????!
i am sir btd, you know?
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #45,291
  • Dec 10, 2019 2:59pm Dec 10, 2019 2:59pm
Quoting lemur6666
{quote} 750k€ drawdown??? are you out of your f mind ????!
p.s.: i hope that this "f" was a typo. please clarify.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #45,292
  • Dec 10, 2019 4:36pm Dec 10, 2019 4:36pm
Quoting Neogenesis
{quote} A-ha, enjoy. I was meaning to ask you, I can only get 250 lots (indices) max with ICmarkets. You had 800 on right? How did you manage that... special dispensation? I would have thought even with a pro account you’d get 500 tops. I am seriously out of date with regulatory retail trading laws. As an aside, short term volatility is very low again. I expect it will rebound and we will get a small-med buying opportunity next week (probably max 1% drop). Possibly a few of them with news upcoming. Volatility rebounds are key everyone :-)
trust me, i know how to - iīm an ex-banker. iīm not a single, and also i donīt have only a single broker. itīs doable.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #45,293
  • Dec 10, 2019 4:55pm Dec 10, 2019 4:55pm
Quoting Neogenesis
Got out with small profits, also had a ftse position open and I opened a US30 when the market turned which remained open. We should know better and sit on the sides during such volatile periods!!
canīt agree: high volatility means great chances. as long as one knows how to exploit vola, itīs all good. most traders here think ta (technical analysis) is best. a minority thinks that fa (fundamental analysis) is best.

i say: sa (scenario analysis) is best which includes ta, fa, pa (political analysis) and ba (behavioural analysis) + statistical based heuristics. one needs a 360 degree approach when going for the highest return. but thatīs not made or available for joe public, esp. here on a public forum...
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #45,294
  • Dec 10, 2019 5:11pm Dec 10, 2019 5:11pm
f.e.: who knows what brownian motion and monte carlo method has to do with the stock market? how can theory of games help you? CAPM? biggest fool theory? any kind of empirical capital market research (hint: seasonalities)? DCF?

not the place for it here, i know. should take a break again and go back to university...
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #45,295
  • Dec 10, 2019 6:12pm Dec 10, 2019 6:12pm
Quoting deltaone
f.e.: who knows what brownian motion and monte carlo method has to do with the stock market? how can theory of games help you? CAPM? biggest fool theory? any kind of empirical capital market research (hint: seasonalities)? DCF? not the place for it here, i know. should take a break again and go back to university...
I spend all my weekends on SSRN lol. I certainly do :-)
  • #45,296
  • Dec 10, 2019 6:15pm Dec 10, 2019 6:15pm
Quoting deltaone
{quote} canīt agree: high volatility means great chances. as long as one knows how to exploit vola, itīs all good. most traders here think ta (technical analysis) is best. a minority thinks that fa (fundamental analysis) is best. i say: sa (scenario analysis) is best which includes ta, fa, pa (political analysis) and ba (behavioural analysis) + statistical based heuristics. one needs a 360 degree approach when going for the highest return. but thatīs not made or available for joe public, esp. here on a public forum... ...
Oh - I love volatility as all of my posts will demonstrate. Volatility provides us with the buying room during this bull run.

With that said, volatility big swings at the top of a market is very risky. I reduced my risk anyway by 50% and it paid off with profits: but, I feel it’s more sensible to wait out these scenarios.
  • #45,297
  • Dec 10, 2019 6:19pm Dec 10, 2019 6:19pm
Quoting Neogenesis
{quote} I spend all my weekends on SSRN lol. I certainly do :-)
at least ONE who knows SSRN
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #45,298
  • Dec 10, 2019 6:31pm Dec 10, 2019 6:31pm
Quoting Neogenesis
{quote} Oh - I love volatility as all of my posts will demonstrate. Volatility provides us with the buying room during this bull run. With that said, volatility big swings at the top of a market is very risky. I reduced my risk anyway by 50% and it paid off with profits: but, I feel it’s more sensible to wait out these scenarios.
yeah, ofc. you have a point there. but this is me, no one else would do so, thatīs crystal clear. so far, iīm feeling like a savant
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #45,299
  • Dec 10, 2019 6:31pm Dec 10, 2019 6:31pm
Quoting deltaone
{quote} trust me, i know how to - iīm an ex-banker. iīm not a single, and also i donīt have only a single broker. itīs doable.
Ah - yes of course with multiple brokers/accounts. I just thought you managed 800 with a single account on icmarkets so just wondered if they are approving bigger accounts!

I currently work for a major investment bank. Hoping to go solo and retire. :-)
  • #45,300
  • Dec 10, 2019 6:51pm Dec 10, 2019 6:51pm
Quoting Neogenesis
{quote} Ah - yes of course with multiple brokers/accounts. I just thought you managed 800 with a single account on icmarkets so just wondered if they are approving bigger accounts! I currently work for a major investment bank. Hoping to go solo and retire. :-)
good luck with that - best: no taskmaster. no boss. no clients. welcome to my world. off to bed now.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
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