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CAD/CHF

  • #121
  • Nov 15, 2019 6:58am Nov 15, 2019 6:58am
Quoting Unbiased
{quote} Ahead of text release of speech of BOC's Poloz, profit taking from sell positions may relieve pressure from CAD a bit. And the resultant retracement up may help the sell limit get activated.
The sell limit had been activated in Tokyo session as price really had retraced up ahead of text release of BOC Poloz's speech.
  • #122
  • Nov 15, 2019 7:50am Nov 15, 2019 7:50am
Bought some of this pair yesterday on weekly support. Also Harmonics are fairly regular and have a weekly cycle low time zone, for this week into next.
If this does indeed prove out a Low then upside potential revisit of .7700
Canada had positive foreign security purchase numbers this morning exceeding expectations according to calendar. Growth potential in N. America I believe to remain greater then Europe which supports interest rate differential currently driving foreign security purchase numbers.

Sticking with viewpoint of high energy demands as result of harsh winter projections for Northern Hemisphere, which is Bullish for Cad energy.
Any reduction in N.American Trade tensions that manifests is positive for Cad.
  • #123
  • Nov 19, 2019 12:13pm Nov 19, 2019 12:13pm
Quoting Unbiased
{quote} The sell limit had been activated in Tokyo session as price really had retraced up ahead of text release of BOC Poloz's speech.
If you have read my comment on USD/CHF, you know that I have closed re-entered sell of USD/CHF today; which means I am no longer considering CHF strong. Therefore, re-entered sell of CAD/CHF trade (view its comment) has also been closed at BE.
  • #124
  • Dec 4, 2019 3:47am Dec 4, 2019 3:47am
long. 0.74466
  • #125
  • Dec 4, 2019 9:25am Dec 4, 2019 9:25am
Quoting tiborf71
long. 0.74466
closed . 0.74703
  • #126
  • Feb 18, 2020 2:49am Feb 18, 2020 2:49am
Can be stalked for sell limit slightly at higher prices if entry wasn't catched
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Money moves the market, not an indicator.
  • #127
  • Feb 23, 2020 4:44am Feb 23, 2020 4:44am
Ugly trading pair the past five years. Price coming up to an old swing high after a good couple weeks of strength, weakish close on the weekly.
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  • #128
  • Edited 11:43am Mar 4, 2020 11:01am | Edited 11:43am
bought at 0.71168 target 0.71552
sl: manage it yourself

+ Edited:- add image
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  • #129
  • Mar 6, 2020 10:02pm Mar 6, 2020 10:02pm
Buy-CAD/CHF appears to be one of the most favorable directions for the upcoming 1-4 week period with profit-limits set around +1.5%.
Count Of Antwerp
  • #130
  • Mar 6, 2020 10:15pm Mar 6, 2020 10:15pm
Quoting countaccrue
Buy-CAD/CHF appears to be one of the most favorable directions for the upcoming 1-4 week period with profit-limits set around +1.5%.
Really, where does that appear? In your dreams?

CAD is tied to OIL, airlines are cutting more flights everyday, China manufacturing is down, shipping is down, ergo,
Oil is going down, CAD is weak

CHF is safe haven currency, strong risk off markets

You might be right for up 1.5% but over 4 weeks, not even worth it, but show the setup when you find it.

Have a nice weekend

It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #131
  • Mar 6, 2020 10:25pm Mar 6, 2020 10:25pm
Quoting Erebus
{quote} Really, where does that appear? In your dreams? CAD is tied to OIL, airlines are cutting more flights everyday, China manufacturing is down, shipping is down, ergo, Oil is going down, CAD is weak CHF is safe haven currency, strong risk off markets You might be right for up 1.5% but over 4 weeks, not even worth it, but show the setup when you find it. Have a nice weekend
Technical data usually supersedes the news in this business. Oil/USD appears poised to rise +10% in the key QUARTERLY duration regarding both Buy-Oil and Sell-USD! Russia news prospecting cutting oil production, prices near bottom end of probable long-term price range. USD/CAD outlook to sell is for closer to 5% but trading operations are more efficient taking profits at the 1% or 2% marks.
Count Of Antwerp
  • #132
  • Mar 7, 2020 6:42am Mar 7, 2020 6:42am
Quoting countaccrue
Buy-CAD/CHF appears to be one of the most favorable directions for the upcoming 1-4 week period with profit-limits set around +1.5%.
Yeah...untill we see corona virus under control cad/chf is going no where but down imho. But definitely a nice buy once things settle down.
  • #133
  • Mar 7, 2020 6:49am Mar 7, 2020 6:49am
Cadchf is an easy buy below 7000, into 7350, which is almost 400 pips. Its positive swaps, Hubei back to work next week, SNB wants a weak franc, they will intervene, too. Its a no brainer, doesn't matter if it takes 2 weeks or 2 months, swaps will make money until then.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #134
  • Edited 8:29am Mar 7, 2020 8:13am | Edited 8:29am
Quoting OnlineAddict
Cadchf is an easy buy below 7000, into 7350, which is almost 400 pips. Its positive swaps, Hubei back to work next week, SNB wants a weak franc, they will intervene, too. Its a no brainer, doesn't matter if it takes 2 weeks or 2 months, swaps will make money until then.
Why are you so certain this is not going to .5500 or .4500? Corona virus epidemic is just starting around the world and there saying thing's are 10x worse in china then reported...what optimistic crystal ball are you looking into? Oil could easily drop to 20-25.
  • #135
  • Mar 7, 2020 8:30am Mar 7, 2020 8:30am
Quoting Redbaron81
{quote} Why are you so certain this is not going to .5500 or .4500? Corona virus epidemic is just starting around the world and there saying thing's are 10x worse in china then reported...what optimistic crystal ball are you looking into?
Nobody knows but SNB is likely fuck everybody as they did in last crash. It can go lower but its not good for them. And they have virus problem too and it's not big economy for keep this long time. We will see
Try don't lose pants never...
  • #136
  • Edited 9:19am Mar 7, 2020 9:01am | Edited 9:19am
Quoting braintheboss
{quote}SNB is likely fuck everybody as they did in last crash.
Exactly, they can see everyone is long on this, so there is no way there putting all these people in money. First they will flash crash it for 2k pips or more then they will slam it up and take everyone's money and blame it on "corona Virus"..lol I'm personally waiting for a big clean out to the bottom before this will go up. But who knows, its fun to speculate lol
  • #137
  • Mar 7, 2020 9:51am Mar 7, 2020 9:51am
Quoting Redbaron81
{quote} Exactly, they can see everyone is long on this, so there is no way there putting all these people in money. First they will flash crash it for 2k pips or more then they will slam it up and take everyone's money and blame it on "corona Virus"..lol I'm personally waiting for a big clean out to the bottom before this will go up. But who knows, its fun to speculate lol
Why would SNB flash crash anything? They are not trading on forex, they don't care about things we care about, they want a weaker currency to help the economy. Market did the last spike in chf after a long term cap was removed, not because of some imaginary enemy who is after our money.

And everybody is currently buying chf as safe haven, not the opposite. For me, corona is a media hype. It will have an impact on the economy, obviously, but the current safe haven buying looks like people are expecting the whole world population to be reduced by 90% because of it.

You guys can keep buying safe haven all you want, I am not telling you to do otherwise. I am selling it now, but thats just me, everybody else can buy for what I care.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #138
  • Edited 11:24am Mar 7, 2020 10:14am | Edited 11:24am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Why would SNB flash crash anything? They are not trading on forex, they don't care about things we care about, they want a weaker currency to help the economy. Market did the last spike in chf after a long term cap was removed, not because of some imaginary enemy who is after our money. And everybody is currently buying chf as safe haven, not the opposite. For me, corona is a media hype. It will have an impact on the economy, obviously, but the current safe haven buying looks like people are expecting the whole world population to be reduced...
Last year jpy and chf had same behavior. But now you have divergence. Jpy is weaking his bull movement but chf is even stronger. For that i think they will fuck. Because they will cut rates when nobody expect it. Evidently I agree they don't trade but they manipulate as others...
Try don't lose pants never...
  • #139
  • Mar 7, 2020 11:09am Mar 7, 2020 11:09am
Quoting braintheboss
{quote} Last year jpy and chf had same behavior. But now you have divergence. Jpy is weaken his bull movement but chf is even stronger. For that i think they will fuck. Because they will cut rates when nobody expect it. Evidently I agree they don't trade but they manipulate as others...
SNB meeting in 2 weeks. They will most probably cut, which is crazy, because they will be at -1%. Unbelievable world we live in, but nothing we can do about it, except money money off it.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #140
  • Mar 7, 2020 11:23am Mar 7, 2020 11:23am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} SNB meeting in 2 weeks. They will most probably cut, which is crazy, because they will be at -1%. Unbelievable world we live in, but nothing we can do about it, except money money off it.
I'm waiting for long. But with everybody cutting rates not sure how will affect. Anyway maybe the surprise is how much cut. 0.25% will not make effect. Maybe they cut enough for make an earthquake...
Try don't lose pants never...
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