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Nearly Naked (Simple Trades)

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  • Post #11,741
  • Quote
  • Jun 25, 2014 1:49am Jun 25, 2014 1:49am
  •  Hyperion
  • Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Focus on the action not the outcome | 631 Posts
...and here's an updated chart as posted top of page of the EUR/USD over the 2 Yr interest rate differential... it's still trucking south, "Mind the Gap"
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: EUR 2 YR.png
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  • Post #11,742
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  • Jun 25, 2014 1:49am Jun 25, 2014 1:49am
  •  Hyperion
  • Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Focus on the action not the outcome | 631 Posts
Apologies there must be an echo in here.
  • Post #11,743
  • Quote
  • Jun 25, 2014 7:44am Jun 25, 2014 7:44am
  •  calderone
  • Joined May 2009 | Status: Member | 3,438 Posts
Quoting Hyperion
Disliked
Apologies there must be an echo in here.
Ignored

Echo....lol
  • Post #11,744
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  • Oct 27, 2014 8:21pm Oct 27, 2014 8:21pm
  •  Hyperion
  • Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Focus on the action not the outcome | 631 Posts
I think there are a number of technical reasons to sell USD/JPY including the failure to push on past the 61.8% retracement. Inside day...and a raft of fundemenatl reasons. If U.S. data continues to weaken and IF the Fed adopts a move dovish stance on Thursday, expect a sell off.
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  • Post #11,745
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  • Oct 27, 2014 8:22pm Oct 27, 2014 8:22pm
  •  Hyperion
  • Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Focus on the action not the outcome | 631 Posts
An update of the EUR/USD over the 2 yr interest rate differential posted below.
  • Post #11,746
  • Quote
  • Oct 27, 2014 8:23pm Oct 27, 2014 8:23pm
  •  Hyperion
  • Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Focus on the action not the outcome | 631 Posts
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Name: EURO.JPG
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  • Post #11,747
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  • Oct 27, 2014 8:24pm Oct 27, 2014 8:24pm
  •  Hyperion
  • Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Focus on the action not the outcome | 631 Posts
Love to see anyone else's "nearly naked" charts. This used to be a fantastic thread....
  • Post #11,748
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  • Nov 4, 2014 8:48pm Nov 4, 2014 8:48pm
  •  Hyperion
  • Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Focus on the action not the outcome | 631 Posts
Thanks Mr Abe for all the egg on face... I'll go back to my corner!
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...10#post7846710
  • Post #11,749
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  • Jul 5, 2019 9:51am Jul 5, 2019 9:51am
  •  Dlioness
  • | Joined May 2019 | Status: Member | 10 Posts
Quoting Saxon
Disliked
I am typing this not on my trading terminal so I will post the graphs after I type. In the first chart, you will see a possible CHF M15 triangle. One issue as many of you will probably be aware, this descending triangle is on a H1 uptrend. So do not rely heavily on it. There are significant S/R that have created a blue zone on my chart. The upper S/R of the blue zone is significant to rising prices and the lower S/R is significant to falling prices as you can see with the pink X's. Please also be aware of volumes and momentum as PA reaches the lower...
Ignored
hi Saxon,this is great and it is working ....hoping to learn more
best regards
Dlioness
  • Post #11,750
  • Quote
  • Jul 5, 2019 10:35am Jul 5, 2019 10:35am
  •  Dlioness
  • | Joined May 2019 | Status: Member | 10 Posts
Quoting Saxon
Disliked
{quote} I had an 76 pip run with CHF and just got out. I think I am pushing my luck. But I also can't hold my positions for a long time anyway.
Ignored


Hi saxon, thats very good ,being contempted is very good to avoid greed....am going through your work and am learning
GOOD JOB
Best wishes
Dlioness
  • Post #11,751
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  • Oct 23, 2019 12:32pm Oct 23, 2019 12:32pm
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
Hi All

Chart below shows S/R levels on the NZD/USD 4H chart. There is some significant Fib confluence at 0.6448 - 0.650 level and major S/R here too. Price should reacted well at this level and provide a short opportunity.

Potential long leading up to the 0.650 would be from 0.64351.

Also potential long from the top of the recently resolved supply/demmand zone (or bucket as Billy Ray Valentine would say) at 0.63542.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: NZDUSDH4.png
Size: 52 KB
Nil desperandum
1
  • Post #11,752
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  • Oct 24, 2019 11:49am Oct 24, 2019 11:49am
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
Pretty straight forward pull back to a reliable S/R level at 1.1062 - 65.

Second lower level level at 1.1000.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: EURUSDH4.png
Size: 63 KB
Nil desperandum
  • Post #11,753
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  • Oct 31, 2019 5:29am Oct 31, 2019 5:29am
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
Quoting vincentprice
Disliked
Hi All Chart below shows S/R levels on the NZD/USD 4H chart. There is some significant Fib confluence at 0.6448 - 0.650 level and major S/R here too. Price should reacted well at this level and provide a short opportunity. Potential long leading up to the 0.650 would be from 0.64351. Also potential long from the top of the recently resolved supply/demand zone (or bucket as Billy Ray Valentine would say) at 0.63542. {image}
Ignored
Long from 0.64351 was successful, with more upward strength in this pair a move to 0.649 - 0.650 could be on the table.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: NZDUSDH4.png
Size: 52 KB
Nil desperandum
  • Post #11,754
  • Quote
  • Oct 31, 2019 8:12am Oct 31, 2019 8:12am
  •  shahab8b
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: The Alchemist | 8,625 Posts
Quoting vincentprice
Disliked
{quote} Long from 0.64351 was successful, with more upward strength in this pair a move to 0.649 - 0.650 could be on the table. {image}
Ignored
Hi there, I see you revived Saxon’s thread. Good job! I miss the gang from 2010-2013.
  • Post #11,755
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  • Nov 1, 2019 4:30pm Nov 1, 2019 4:30pm
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
Disliked
{quote} Hi there, I see you revived Saxon’s thread. Good job! I miss the gang from 2010-2013.
Ignored
Hi Shahab, good to hear from you. I found this thread really useful back in the day when Saxon and his cohorts were active. For that reason I thought I would try and put some life back into it.
Nil desperandum
  • Post #11,756
  • Quote
  • Nov 2, 2019 7:54am Nov 2, 2019 7:54am
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
Looking at the SP500; Currently bullish with a pullback level at 3022.4 that jumps out (previous all time highs ). Based on the current situation this is my preferred level to go long. I would also look at this level to short scalp if price breaks down from these all time highs.

Further down the chart I have marked 2960 and 2932 as levels to catch either a short term bounce or take a longer swing trade.

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Nil desperandum
  • Post #11,757
  • Quote
  • Nov 3, 2019 6:32am Nov 3, 2019 6:32am
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
I have updated my charts for the NZD/USD and AUD/USD. I see some potential short trades on the AUD/USD 4H depending on price action and events over the next week or so.

0.699 - 0.700 has acted significant S/R and I would expect a reaction of this level, particularly in light of the current downtrend. Targeting 50-100 pips if this develops into a trade.

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Name: AUDUSDH4.png
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: NZDUSDH4.png
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Nil desperandum
  • Post #11,758
  • Quote
  • Nov 3, 2019 7:07am Nov 3, 2019 7:07am
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
Quoting vincentprice
Disliked
Pretty straight forward pull back to a reliable S/R level at 1.1062 - 65. Second lower level level at 1.1000. {image}
Ignored
Price reacted from support at 1.1069 and moved to current high, slightly missing my target level to go long. I am currently bullish on this pair in the short term (next week or two) and will closely watch how price reacts to crucial support and resistance.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: EURUSDH4.png
Size: 54 KB
Nil desperandum
  • Post #11,759
  • Quote
  • Nov 4, 2019 7:56am Nov 4, 2019 7:56am
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
USD/JPY

Level in focus is 109.7 and the 50% Fib retrace from the Oct 2018 high.

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Name: USDJPYDaily.png
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Nil desperandum
  • Post #11,760
  • Quote
  • Nov 7, 2019 12:20pm Nov 7, 2019 12:20pm
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
EUR/USD 1.1000 in focus. . .

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Name: EURUSDH4.png
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Nil desperandum
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