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USD/CHF

  • #5,581
  • Aug 23, 2019 3:54am Aug 23, 2019 3:54am
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  • #5,582
  • Sep 1, 2019 4:04am Sep 1, 2019 4:04am
CHF: SNB Pushing Against The Wind As Policy Options Are Running Out - BofAML

Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research discusses CHF outlook and notes that the SNB intervention are likely to fail to stem further CHF rise.

"Global de-risking has continued through August helping CHF perform strongly over the past month. EUR/CHF has made a clean break through 1.10, the area we identified as intervention SNB territory. Weekly sight deposit and monthly reserves data confirms that that the SNB have been intervening in recent months but so far have failed to stem the appreciation of the CHF. Barring a significant upscale in its intervention activities, we doubt that this will be enough to weaken CHF materially from current levels," BofAML notes.

"The geo-political headwinds are coming in thick and fast: potential Italian elections; Brexit; US-China trade war. Having ballooned its balance sheet to in excess of 100% of GDP and with President Trump focusing on potential currency manipulation, the SNB may find that it has little option but to let the trend appreciation of CHF continue. The policy options are running out," BofAML adds.
  • #5,583
  • Sep 1, 2019 4:46pm Sep 1, 2019 4:46pm
Looking for this pair to be up and down between .98724 and .99764 in the next 4 days. Let's see how wrong I can be...
"As If" Friedman
  • #5,584
  • Sep 2, 2019 12:40pm Sep 2, 2019 12:40pm
my conjecture:
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"As If" Friedman
  • #5,585
  • Sep 13, 2019 2:10am Sep 13, 2019 2:10am
Sofar, the market is performing as anticipated . Wave (B) irregular with sub-wave "C" of (B) is performing within a diagonal triangle. After the completion of wave (B), market is expected to resume its downward move to complete (C).

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  • #5,586
  • Sep 13, 2019 7:33am Sep 13, 2019 7:33am
#USDCHF / Weekly & H4 / Bearish Idea
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  • #5,587
  • Sep 18, 2019 5:12am Sep 18, 2019 5:12am
Swissy
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  • #5,588
  • Sep 18, 2019 7:14pm Sep 18, 2019 7:14pm
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  • #5,589
  • Sep 20, 2019 3:18am Sep 20, 2019 3:18am
looks like 0.9940 is coming
  • #5,590
  • Sep 20, 2019 3:28am Sep 20, 2019 3:28am
May be headed to 9830 area or below
ex nihilo
  • #5,591
  • Sep 20, 2019 4:30am Sep 20, 2019 4:30am
Quoting Oc6oph
May be headed to 9830 area or below
If current H4 bar close bullish, I think it will goes UP.
  • #5,592
  • Sep 20, 2019 4:38am Sep 20, 2019 4:38am
perhaps 9860 could act as support, could be worth a punt, maybe next week tho….have a good weekend...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #5,593
  • Sep 23, 2019 4:22am Sep 23, 2019 4:22am
splitting hairs perhaps, but 9868 looks better....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #5,594
  • Sep 25, 2019 7:21am Sep 25, 2019 7:21am
Quoting PayTheLimit
splitting hairs perhaps, but 9868 looks better....
never did anything with this level, best thing really...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #5,595
  • Sep 25, 2019 9:24am Sep 25, 2019 9:24am
Short/Sell USD/CHF

Reaction from FIB38.2 made shooting star on H1 and we entered sell position in USDCHF.

On H1 time-frame:

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On D1/daily time-frame:

It closed below trend predictor (red MA like line on chart) on closure of Sep 20 and remains well below. Target 50% of whole swing up on D1.

Risk: bearish setup fails if price erases yesterday's candle.

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Currency correlation: While USD-index rose today, CHF stayed stronger than all other major currencies like EUR, GBP, JPY etc.

  • #5,596
  • Sep 25, 2019 11:41am Sep 25, 2019 11:41am
Quoting Unbiased
Short/Sell USD/CHF Reaction from FIB38.2 made shooting star on H1 and we entered sell position in USDCHF. On H1 time-frame: {image} On D1/daily time-frame: It closed below trend predictor (red MA like line on chart) on closure of Sep 20 and remains well below. Target 50% of whole swing up on D1. Risk: bearish setup fails if price erases yesterday's candle. {image} Currency correlation: While USD-index rose today, CHF stayed stronger than all other major currencies like EUR, GBP, JPY etc.
U.S PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS A TRADE DEAL WITH CHINA COULD HAPPEN SOONER THAN YOU THINK.

Hope of Trade talk gets strengthened, save heaven currencies like JPY and CHF lose.

Nevertheless, I am still holding short position because USD/CHF has retested the broken trend line and may fall. I will close only if closing of daily candle appears to be above high of yesterday.
  • #5,597
  • Oct 1, 2019 1:51pm Oct 1, 2019 1:51pm
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  • #5,598
  • Oct 4, 2019 7:29am Oct 4, 2019 7:29am
Quoting Unbiased
Short/Sell USD/CHF Reaction from FIB38.2 made shooting star on H1 and we entered sell position in USDCHF. On H1 time-frame: {image} On D1/daily time-frame: It closed below trend predictor (red MA like line on chart) on closure of Sep 20 and remains well below. Target 50% of whole swing up on D1. Risk: bearish setup fails if price erases yesterday's candle. {image} Currency correlation: While USD-index rose today, CHF stayed stronger than all other major currencies like EUR, GBP, JPY etc.
Bearish setup had failed despite USD/CHF, on Sep 24, had broken below previous swing low of Sep13. Actually the pair continued the up-trending tendency and made a new and higher highs on Oct 2, 3 & 4 whereas as USD lost against other major currencies like JPY and EUR.
Therefore, I am bearish on CHF.
If NFP comes better than forecast, I will buy USD/CHF.
  • #5,599
  • Oct 17, 2019 8:26pm Oct 17, 2019 8:26pm
USDCHF short setup
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  • #5,600
  • Oct 20, 2019 4:33pm Oct 20, 2019 4:33pm
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