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  • #1,146,081
  • Nov 23, 2018 1:27am Nov 23, 2018 1:27am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} So the POC point is the "get away car"! Enter there. ...but how do you pick direction? (use google translate with confidence ...never mind the random topical )

Quoting kette
{quote} poc is the most traded value, so there is the largest volume The poc can also change at a different price usually the price bounces off there I always wait for the second candle in m30 or 12min, then I decide I'll show you an example later must also say no one knows what the market is doing which direction I also watch the USD / CHF in sync

Welcome Kette. Just to clarify: the Market Profile directional bias is determined by:

  1. comparing today's developing value area to the previous days;
  2. Assessing the shape of the developing profile;
  3. Assessing the shape of the past day's profile to determine the stage of the internal clock of the Market (Steidlmayer's phrase not mine: see Trading with Market Profile by Steidlmayer) ;
  4. Using the 80% above or below value area rule, that is, if price is above the value area but then renters the value area: there is an 80% probability that price will travel to test the value area low with the POC being an intermediate barrier - See Markets In Profile by Dalton;
  5. The expectation that unfilled single time-framing TPOs from previous days will eventually be filled.
  6. Other stuff I can't immediately recall.


I hope this is of use.

Quoting ZenNy
good place to buy?
NO! Expecting 1335-1340 pronto.
  • #1,146,082
  • Nov 23, 2018 1:32am Nov 23, 2018 1:32am
Quoting mbrown
{quote} {quote} Welcome Kette. Just to clarify: the Market Profile directional bias is determined by: comparing today's developing value area to the previous days; Assessing the shape of the developing profile; Assessing the shape of the past day's profile to determine the stage of the internal clock of the Market (Steidlmayer's phrase not mine: see Trading with Market Profile by Steidlmayer) ; Using the 80% above or below value area rule, that is, if price is above the value area but then renters the value area: there is an 80% probability that...
Great explanation, thx! ...can it be developed with examples? Let's see about its consistency!
Member
  • #1,146,083
  • Nov 23, 2018 1:33am Nov 23, 2018 1:33am
Looking ahead, highlights include Eurozone mfg PMIs, Canadian CPI, ECB’s de Guindos. US markets early close.

In FX markets, the major pairs traded sideways with price volatility virtually non-existent due to the holiday closures and lack of data releases. As such, the USD index was subdued below the 96.50 level as EUR/USD prodded above 1.1400.

Option expiries of note for today's 15:00 GMT:
EUR/USD: 1.1325 (0.512 BLN), 1.1360 (0.904 BLN) and 1.1400 (0.694 BLN).

Still holding a short position @ 1.1459 with a target @ 1.1236 and a stop shy above November high @ 1.1507 and is still looking good going into the weekend.
  • #1,146,084
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:05am Nov 23, 2018 2:05am
Tis quiet so time for my noise!!!

Short limit @ 13795. SL 5 pips...TP 40 pips will trail after +10 pips.

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@Palpite...did you go short @ 1370?
  • #1,146,085
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:14am Nov 23, 2018 2:14am
Quoting mbrown
Tis quiet so is time for my noise!!! Short limit @ 13795. SL 5 pips...TP 40 pips will trail after +10 pips. ---------------------------------------------- @Palpite...did you go short @ 1370?
Yeah, let's keep this thing alive!
1350-40 seem possible
Member
  • #1,146,086
  • Edited 2:29am Nov 23, 2018 2:18am | Edited 2:29am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Yeah, let's keep this thing alive! 1350-40 seem possible
My mind is currently overtaken by the internal dialogue of "fall by 100 pips ...fall!!!!!)!

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+10 so trailing using the 5min median price.

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Trail stopped for a handful. Waiting for the next setup.
  • #1,146,087
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:26am Nov 23, 2018 2:26am
Quoting mbrown
{quote} My mind is currently overtaken by the internal dialogue of "fall by 100 pips ...fall!!!!!)!
Miss Mousy is happy, she caught a rain worm!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZHART1.png Size: 57 KB
Member
  • #1,146,088
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:30am Nov 23, 2018 2:30am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Miss Mousy is happy, she caught a rain worm! {image}
Tudor,

This is the funniest meme(?) worthy material I’ve seen all month. I HAD to come in and ask if I can share this on social media will give full credits
You hesitate, you masturbate.
  • #1,146,089
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:32am Nov 23, 2018 2:32am
Quoting engweijie
{quote} Tudor, This is the funniest meme(?) worthy material I’ve seen all month. I HAD to come in and ask if I can share this on social media will give full credits
No MEME, buddy! This is the extraordinary Mouse Price Action Pattern ...haven't you heard about it???
Member
  • #1,146,090
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:33am Nov 23, 2018 2:33am
Joke aside, don't lose focus, guys! 1365 support is about to pop!
Member
  • #1,146,091
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:37am Nov 23, 2018 2:37am
Hmmmm...I think I'll have to use the Trade Simulator to test trailing by the 5min high/low instead of the median price!!!!
  • #1,146,092
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:40am Nov 23, 2018 2:40am
If the price not cross below 1.1320, in the next week we can have 1 movement bullish.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,146,093
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:41am Nov 23, 2018 2:41am
Quoting palpite
If the price not cross below 1.1320, in the next week we can have 1 movement bullish.
Did you take the 1370 short you've been waiting for?

  • #1,146,094
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:44am Nov 23, 2018 2:44am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} No MEME, buddy! This is the extraordinary Mouse Price Action Pattern ...haven't you heard about it???
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,146,095
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:53am Nov 23, 2018 2:53am
Quoting palpite
If cross 1.1380, the EUR will be the weakest currency. {image}
EUR is the weakest currency now.

Attached Image
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,146,096
  • Nov 23, 2018 2:56am Nov 23, 2018 2:56am
Quoting mbrown
{quote} Did you take the 1370 short you've been waiting for?
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...7#post11727067

Yes, but i changed the price to 1.1390.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,146,097
  • Nov 23, 2018 3:00am Nov 23, 2018 3:00am
Quoting HappyMe
{quote} I could measure the current move down...loos we already saw wave a/iii at 1.1365 ....looks good for now watch 1.1393 as a normal reaction (50%) or would we see a deeper wave-b......? The 1.1421 is the red-line in this view! {image}
We've got a short wave b at 1.1384...it could be that the wave iii is a little exetende towards. 1.1319

So expect the wave iii around 1.1325-1.1319

That will imply that the end of the wave also could end a little lower somewher around 1.1268 - 58

Wave ii was 6977% => alternation rule learns us we must go up towards 9.80% at least (% wave ii + % wave iii = between 80% a 100-120%)

the market decide his journey
Attached Image
You can manage risk, but you can't manage the return
  • #1,146,098
  • Nov 23, 2018 3:02am Nov 23, 2018 3:02am
Quoting mbrown
{quote} NO! Expecting 1335-1340 pronto.
IF one is consistently picking the precise entry point but only collecting a fraction of the move, tis a problem although the account grows!!!

Charts indicate a move up but the conditions of my setup haven't been reached so I'll sit on my hands.
  • #1,146,099
  • Nov 23, 2018 3:02am Nov 23, 2018 3:02am
Hello,
great thing in euro who was or is
I'm in dow that was my goal today
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,146,100
  • Nov 23, 2018 3:03am Nov 23, 2018 3:03am
Damn, I should had definitely kept my short on! ...missed the second drop!
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