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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #78,821
  • Oct 31, 2018 11:00am Oct 31, 2018 11:00am
Shake out, or change in momentum/direction?
  • #78,822
  • Oct 31, 2018 11:47am Oct 31, 2018 11:47am
Quoting Luzbay
Shake out, or change in momentum/direction?
I suspect this bear has a lot of room to run. We are/were @ high TF major supply level.

It will take tremendous buy volume to pass 114.5-115.5

Edit to add weak Yen & Fed rate hikes are already priced in. At the moment its hard to see any catalyst whatsoever sustaining a bull trend that in all reality really should have plunged months ago. This last major bull wave from March until now has likely been big $ drawing in liquidity to fill a large long term short position.

Time will tell
  • #78,823
  • Oct 31, 2018 11:50am Oct 31, 2018 11:50am
112.90 is fairly decent support on H4.
  • #78,824
  • Oct 31, 2018 11:53am Oct 31, 2018 11:53am
Eyeing retracement to 112.60. If we bounce or close sharply above that level + stock markets continue to rally, look to 113.50 minimum after this pullback.
  • #78,825
  • Oct 31, 2018 12:19pm Oct 31, 2018 12:19pm
USD/JPY dropped heavily after had the impressive high at 113.14 to a low at 112.81. Currently the pair is trading few pips below the 113.00 handle, but I think the short-term remains bullish as long as holds above 112.65.
  • #78,826
  • Oct 31, 2018 12:42pm Oct 31, 2018 12:42pm
Would like to see a 3rd or even 4th higher-low to confirm a new uptrend before re-entering a buy position.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
  • #78,827
  • Oct 31, 2018 12:53pm Oct 31, 2018 12:53pm
R-1311 S-1255, bias is bullish.
  • #78,828
  • Oct 31, 2018 5:03pm Oct 31, 2018 5:03pm
Building shorts, USDX index is high enough and JPY crosses seem to struggle to get higher.
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-._.-
  • #78,829
  • Oct 31, 2018 5:25pm Oct 31, 2018 5:25pm
Quoting darksize
Building shorts, USDX index is high enough and JPY crosses seem to struggle to get higher. {image}
It broke through my Downtrend line, but I still see this trickling down to the 112.676 line before possibly turning around.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
  • #78,830
  • Oct 31, 2018 5:36pm Oct 31, 2018 5:36pm
Quoting warrensapp
{quote} It broke through my Downtrend line, but I still see this trickling down to the 112.676 line before possibly turning around. {image}
Yes 112.676 is strong, will take some profits there just in case. But i would like to see the pair touching zone 110.500 - 110.800 before it gets higher.
-._.-
  • #78,831
  • Oct 31, 2018 6:06pm Oct 31, 2018 6:06pm
Quoting darksize
Building shorts, USDX index is high enough and JPY crosses seem to struggle to get higher. {image}
Have another diamond bigger yet. Check it.

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Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: -97.0%
  • #78,832
  • Oct 31, 2018 6:14pm Oct 31, 2018 6:14pm
Quoting palpite
{quote} Have another diamond bigger yet. Check it. {image}
Clear enough
-._.-
  • #78,833
  • Oct 31, 2018 7:58pm Oct 31, 2018 7:58pm
Quoting darksize
{quote} Yes 112.676 is strong, will take some profits there just in case. But i would like to see the pair touching zone 110.500 - 110.800 before it gets higher.
We are heading in that direction now - we'll see if 112.67ish holds or if it breaks-down further.
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
  • #78,834
  • Oct 31, 2018 8:19pm Oct 31, 2018 8:19pm
it's trying to reverse and go up
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 111.png Size: 77 KB
  • #78,835
  • Oct 31, 2018 8:31pm Oct 31, 2018 8:31pm
Quoting hellsbells
it's trying to reverse and go up {image}
Hasn't breached the trend-line yet (down)...gettin' close though
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
  • #78,836
  • Oct 31, 2018 8:38pm Oct 31, 2018 8:38pm
Could be heading for hour tweezer bottom
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Click to Enlarge Name: 112.png Size: 83 KB
  • #78,837
  • Oct 31, 2018 8:53pm Oct 31, 2018 8:53pm
Hour changeovers are so fascinating. I closed my 2 longs for about $5, there's quite a battle. I avoid trading the last 10min of hour and first 5min of hour. The whole picture can change so fast. It will never cease to amaze me how much of a lie the current candle can be until its finished, wether it be 5 min or hour
  • #78,838
  • Oct 31, 2018 11:51pm Oct 31, 2018 11:51pm
Def starting to feel more bullish. That 15min bear candle break down was rejected with increased vol back up
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  • #78,839
  • Edited 1:07am Nov 1, 2018 12:12am | Edited 1:07am
worth a shot. Increasing vol

NB, have TP on 3 of 4 trades, risking a big $10 on last. She's not going up !
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 114.png Size: 66 KB
  • #78,840
  • Nov 1, 2018 12:54am Nov 1, 2018 12:54am
Quoting hellsbells
worth a shot. Increasing vol {image}
Hmmm....

I don't really agree with this one... In my opinion, the bullish candles are every time struggling to reach the highs of the bearish candles. Seems like steam is running out for the bulls on this one.

But hay, just my two cents... Might be totally wrong.
I am still a NOOB!!! Damn, there goes another 10 pips!
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