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USD/JPY Discussion

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  • Post #78,821
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  • Oct 31, 2018 12:00pm Oct 31, 2018 12:00pm
  •  Luzbay
  • | Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 700 Posts
Shake out, or change in momentum/direction?
 
 
  • Post #78,822
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  • Oct 31, 2018 12:47pm Oct 31, 2018 12:47pm
  •  Mwfinad1211
  • | Joined Jun 2014 | Status: Member | 262 Posts
Quoting Luzbay
Disliked
Shake out, or change in momentum/direction?
Ignored
I suspect this bear has a lot of room to run. We are/were @ high TF major supply level.

It will take tremendous buy volume to pass 114.5-115.5

Edit to add weak Yen & Fed rate hikes are already priced in. At the moment its hard to see any catalyst whatsoever sustaining a bull trend that in all reality really should have plunged months ago. This last major bull wave from March until now has likely been big $ drawing in liquidity to fill a large long term short position.

Time will tell
 
 
  • Post #78,823
  • Quote
  • Oct 31, 2018 12:50pm Oct 31, 2018 12:50pm
  •  Luzbay
  • | Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 700 Posts
112.90 is fairly decent support on H4.
 
 
  • Post #78,824
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  • Oct 31, 2018 12:53pm Oct 31, 2018 12:53pm
  •  Arkv
  • | Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Member | 63 Posts
Eyeing retracement to 112.60. If we bounce or close sharply above that level + stock markets continue to rally, look to 113.50 minimum after this pullback.
 
 
  • Post #78,825
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  • Oct 31, 2018 1:19pm Oct 31, 2018 1:19pm
  •  Lot77
  • | Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Member | 250 Posts
USD/JPY dropped heavily after had the impressive high at 113.14 to a low at 112.81. Currently the pair is trading few pips below the 113.00 handle, but I think the short-term remains bullish as long as holds above 112.65.
 
 
  • Post #78,826
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  • Oct 31, 2018 1:42pm Oct 31, 2018 1:42pm
  •  warrensapp
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Member | 326 Posts
Would like to see a 3rd or even 4th higher-low to confirm a new uptrend before re-entering a buy position.
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
 
 
  • Post #78,827
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  • Oct 31, 2018 1:53pm Oct 31, 2018 1:53pm
  •  Pipfu
  • | Joined Nov 2017 | Status: Member | 667 Posts
R-1311 S-1255, bias is bullish.
 
 
  • Post #78,828
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  • Oct 31, 2018 6:03pm Oct 31, 2018 6:03pm
  •  darksize
  • | Joined Jan 2018 | Status: -._.- | 464 Posts
Building shorts, USDX index is high enough and JPY crosses seem to struggle to get higher.
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-._.-
 
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  • Post #78,829
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  • Oct 31, 2018 6:25pm Oct 31, 2018 6:25pm
  •  warrensapp
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Member | 326 Posts
Quoting darksize
Disliked
Building shorts, USDX index is high enough and JPY crosses seem to struggle to get higher. {image}
Ignored
It broke through my Downtrend line, but I still see this trickling down to the 112.676 line before possibly turning around.
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
 
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  • Post #78,830
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  • Oct 31, 2018 6:36pm Oct 31, 2018 6:36pm
  •  darksize
  • | Joined Jan 2018 | Status: -._.- | 464 Posts
Quoting warrensapp
Disliked
{quote} It broke through my Downtrend line, but I still see this trickling down to the 112.676 line before possibly turning around. {image}
Ignored
Yes 112.676 is strong, will take some profits there just in case. But i would like to see the pair touching zone 110.500 - 110.800 before it gets higher.
-._.-
 
 
  • Post #78,831
  • Quote
  • Oct 31, 2018 7:06pm Oct 31, 2018 7:06pm
  •  palpite
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: Under Pressure | 4,105 Posts
Quoting darksize
Disliked
Building shorts, USDX index is high enough and JPY crosses seem to struggle to get higher. {image}
Ignored
Have another diamond bigger yet. Check it.

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Together we can be strongest
 
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  • Post #78,832
  • Quote
  • Oct 31, 2018 7:14pm Oct 31, 2018 7:14pm
  •  darksize
  • | Joined Jan 2018 | Status: -._.- | 464 Posts
Quoting palpite
Disliked
{quote} Have another diamond bigger yet. Check it. {image}
Ignored
Clear enough
-._.-
 
 
  • Post #78,833
  • Quote
  • Oct 31, 2018 8:58pm Oct 31, 2018 8:58pm
  •  warrensapp
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Member | 326 Posts
Quoting darksize
Disliked
{quote} Yes 112.676 is strong, will take some profits there just in case. But i would like to see the pair touching zone 110.500 - 110.800 before it gets higher.
Ignored
We are heading in that direction now - we'll see if 112.67ish holds or if it breaks-down further.
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
 
 
  • Post #78,834
  • Quote
  • Oct 31, 2018 9:19pm Oct 31, 2018 9:19pm
  •  hellsbells
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 970 Posts
it's trying to reverse and go up
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Name: 111.png
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  • Post #78,835
  • Quote
  • Oct 31, 2018 9:31pm Oct 31, 2018 9:31pm
  •  warrensapp
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Member | 326 Posts
Quoting hellsbells
Disliked
it's trying to reverse and go up {image}
Ignored
Hasn't breached the trend-line yet (down)...gettin' close though
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
 
 
  • Post #78,836
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  • Oct 31, 2018 9:38pm Oct 31, 2018 9:38pm
  •  hellsbells
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 970 Posts
Could be heading for hour tweezer bottom
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Name: 112.png
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  • Post #78,837
  • Quote
  • Oct 31, 2018 9:53pm Oct 31, 2018 9:53pm
  •  hellsbells
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 970 Posts
Hour changeovers are so fascinating. I closed my 2 longs for about $5, there's quite a battle. I avoid trading the last 10min of hour and first 5min of hour. The whole picture can change so fast. It will never cease to amaze me how much of a lie the current candle can be until its finished, wether it be 5 min or hour
 
 
  • Post #78,838
  • Quote
  • Nov 1, 2018 12:51am Nov 1, 2018 12:51am
  •  hellsbells
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 970 Posts
Def starting to feel more bullish. That 15min bear candle break down was rejected with increased vol back up
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Name: 113.png
Size: 61 KB
 
 
  • Post #78,839
  • Quote
  • Edited 2:07am Nov 1, 2018 1:12am | Edited 2:07am
  •  hellsbells
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 970 Posts
worth a shot. Increasing vol

NB, have TP on 3 of 4 trades, risking a big $10 on last. She's not going up !
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: 114.png
Size: 66 KB
 
 
  • Post #78,840
  • Quote
  • Nov 1, 2018 1:54am Nov 1, 2018 1:54am
  •  Icebot53
  • | Joined Jan 2018 | Status: Member | 54 Posts
Quoting hellsbells
Disliked
worth a shot. Increasing vol {image}
Ignored
Hmmm....

I don't really agree with this one... In my opinion, the bullish candles are every time struggling to reach the highs of the bearish candles. Seems like steam is running out for the bulls on this one.

But hay, just my two cents... Might be totally wrong.
I am still a NOOB!!! Damn, there goes another 10 pips!
 
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