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  • #12,581
  • Oct 3, 2018 12:02am Oct 3, 2018 12:02am
Quoting JimmyC
{quote} All done @84 & change for the triangle {image}
Nice Trade Jim. I remember you posting this a while back, nice hold!
  • #12,582
  • Oct 3, 2018 12:09am Oct 3, 2018 12:09am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} took me a while to find that one.... {image}
The trade is coming on this one for sure. I don't think its going to V return. Cad was week for a long time so I think value has caught back up.
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  • #12,583
  • Oct 3, 2018 12:12am Oct 3, 2018 12:12am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Thanks Mr. Scott. You are welcome Mr. Scott. {image}
Nice fill trade Scott..
  • #12,584
  • Oct 3, 2018 12:14am Oct 3, 2018 12:14am
Quoting Mr. Scott
Good place.... {image}
GU Back in that special place. Inclined to start looking for some longs coming in here.
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  • #12,585
  • Edited 2:26am Oct 3, 2018 12:16am | Edited 2:26am
Quoting Mr. Scott
Just sayin' {image}
Switching things up Scott. Smooth Yellow!! this trades is forming up really well. Got to say that the fair value was a long way off last year and start of this year. So move is justified and even lower for NZ against the CAD. Has been coming and long overdue. First chart from Jan this year and can see it is pulling back in nicely but could argue over time still has some to go.
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  • #12,586
  • Oct 3, 2018 12:23am Oct 3, 2018 12:23am
Quoting squawk
GOLD Something Im watching and have been waiting for a breakdown into this area after current consolidation. Good trade area unless current selling is further signal to new lows. {image} {image} {image}
For the gold boys. Held the line but needs to get above and hold the 1217 area. I think anything can happen basing out here.
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  • #12,587
  • Oct 3, 2018 3:11am Oct 3, 2018 3:11am
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Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Thanks Mr. Scott. You are welcome Mr. Scott. {image}
Morning looks good there watching no closed candles over 3045 area regards B
  • #12,588
  • Oct 3, 2018 5:15am Oct 3, 2018 5:15am
Quoting squawk
{quote} The trade is coming on this one for sure. I don't think its going to V return. Cad was week for a long time so I think value has caught back up. {image} {image}
Yes let's see....
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The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #12,589
  • Oct 3, 2018 5:21am Oct 3, 2018 5:21am
Quoting elbert3
{image}{quote} Morning looks good there watching no closed candles over 3045 area regards B
You don't say. Go get em B...
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The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #12,590
  • Oct 4, 2018 1:18am Oct 4, 2018 1:18am
At some stage equities and VIX has to respond to break out of the Bond market above 3.10.
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  • #12,591
  • Oct 4, 2018 1:38am Oct 4, 2018 1:38am
Hi Squawk, I like your idea on the DBK play but it is a difficult one to time due to the following factors 1) latest interest rate raise and general hawkishness in the US 2) the weak inflation report from the EU 3) the Chinese investment firm divesting their shares 4) Sentiment in DAX potentially being impacted by US equities faltering. I suppose it's a case of waiting for it to base wherever that might be :-)!
  • #12,592
  • Oct 4, 2018 3:42am Oct 4, 2018 3:42am
Quoting Steamroller
Hi Squawk, I like your idea on the DBK play but it is a difficult one to time due to the following factors 1) latest interest rate raise and general hawkishness in the US 2) the weak inflation report from the EU 3) the Chinese investment firm divesting their shares 4) Sentiment in DAX potentially being impacted by US equities faltering. I suppose it's a case of waiting for it to base wherever that might be :-)!
Thanks for the post Steamroller. All goods points, other significant would be possible Merger talks between Commerz and Detsche and the German 10.
  • #12,593
  • Oct 4, 2018 2:57pm Oct 4, 2018 2:57pm
Good Points.

Good risks are those that you will both regret not taking and won’t regret if they backfire

Taking good risks requires knowing both the odds of failure and how that failure will affect you afterwards. Which are difficult things to know. Often impossible. Especially because we’re likely to overestimate our personal odds of success. You have to overestimate your odds of success, or else you’d be paralyzed most of the time. Optimism is a rational form of ignorance. That’s part of what makes risk management really hard.

Actual risk management is understanding that even if you do everything you can to avoid regrets, you are at best dealing with odds, and all reasonable odds are less than 100. So there is a measurable chance you’ll be disappointed, no matter how hard you’ll try or how smart you are. The biggest risk – the biggest regret – happens when you ignore that reality.
  • #12,594
  • Oct 5, 2018 2:16am Oct 5, 2018 2:16am
The only trade I'v taken against the Cad, Which has worked out well so far.
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  • #12,595
  • Oct 5, 2018 2:22am Oct 5, 2018 2:22am
Index may have some potential here with Vol up and Bond Yield breakout. Post 10Y long term chat again as top normally signals equities sell off. Although top looks possible to 4.
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  • #12,596
  • Oct 5, 2018 7:40am Oct 5, 2018 7:40am
Quoting squawk
The only trade I'v taken against the Cad, Which has worked out well so far. {image}
Took UC bat .....missed that crab/shark EC been moving nicely as well
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The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #12,597
  • Oct 5, 2018 3:17pm Oct 5, 2018 3:17pm
GN looking to be the first to retrace full Brexit sell off. Kiwi coming from an overbought, hi yield, carry trade sell off from last few years. Bond spreads currently give Kiwi no benefits.

The below chart of 2 yr yield spreads give a good indication of fall from top. Hard to know just how much price was built into the carry trade last few years but there was a lot.
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  • #12,598
  • Oct 5, 2018 3:22pm Oct 5, 2018 3:22pm
Quoting squawk
At some stage equities and VIX has to respond to break out of the Bond market above 3.10. {image} {image} {image} {image}
VIX and increasing VOL. Some moves could be coming. Some volatility in GOLD, Yen to upsides?
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  • #12,599
  • Oct 5, 2018 3:31pm Oct 5, 2018 3:31pm
USDJPY moved to BE.
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  • #12,600
  • Oct 5, 2018 4:28pm Oct 5, 2018 4:28pm
Quoting squawk
GN looking to be the first to retrace full Brexit sell off. Kiwi coming from an overbought, hi yield, carry trade sell off from last few years. Bond spreads currently give Kiwi no benefits. The below chart of 2 yr yield spreads give a good indication of fall from top. Hard to know just how much price was built into the carry trade last few years but there was a lot. {image} {image}
Hey Squawk, Have a good weekend.

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...6#post11553406
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The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
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