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  • #7,141
  • Sep 19, 2018 10:34am Sep 19, 2018 10:34am
Quoting bumb
nice liquidity drive up on the EU.. something tells me some of those DM Short STS moved their orders down some after it hit LOD.. ?
True. Some are already complaining that their stops were taken out. Maybe they'll go for the high. What do you think?
  • #7,142
  • Sep 19, 2018 10:38am Sep 19, 2018 10:38am
Quoting wqayx
{quote} + Mitiblotch That is why I would not short now. Those shorts should be dead soon and 1.16925 is a fair price for semi-SM to start a new move down
Interesting how price hit my guess to the pip. Propably there is indeed something like a fair price and not only DM open orders?
P.S 1.17000 is still valid for a nice short entery to ride it down tomorrow and friday.
  • #7,143
  • Sep 19, 2018 11:03am Sep 19, 2018 11:03am
Truly, we need an updated 4hour NU chart, because dynamics can change. I don't want to work with the previous one posted. Tonight is NZ GDP news.
  • #7,144
  • Sep 19, 2018 11:41am Sep 19, 2018 11:41am
Looking forward to NZDUSD short.
Know News/time; WAIT for Edge Entries, MPLC Normalization, Exits & TP's..
  • #7,145
  • Sep 19, 2018 11:43am Sep 19, 2018 11:43am
EU+GU ideas for the rest of the week:
large SL accumulation=targest EU @1.6000 GU 1.30500
Entries EU 1.17000 GU 1.31850
  • #7,146
  • Sep 19, 2018 12:10pm Sep 19, 2018 12:10pm
Quoting princefred
Looking forward to NZDUSD short.
NU
Definitely short also for me. To many buyers in profit.
Target is not so easy to predict.
To be save I would make T1 @ 0.65900.
T2 is 0.65560. Nice SL+nPOC
  • #7,147
  • Sep 19, 2018 12:34pm Sep 19, 2018 12:34pm
Quoting wqayx
{quote} NU Definitely short also for me. To many buyers in profit. Target is not so easy to predict. To be save I would make T1 @ 0.65900. T2 is 0.65560. Nice SL+nPOC
If GDP is bad, the selloff will be deeper so as to get all the buyers.
  • #7,148
  • Sep 19, 2018 12:37pm Sep 19, 2018 12:37pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} If GDP is bad, the selloff will be deeper so as to get all the buyers.
In this case T2 should be good.
But even if GDP is as forcasted higher, the buyers have to be killed ->>T1
  • #7,149
  • Sep 19, 2018 12:42pm Sep 19, 2018 12:42pm
Quoting wqayx
{quote} In this case T2 should be good. But even if GDP is as forcasted higher, the buyers have to be killed ->>T1
Lol... True.

Do you see EU still rising to 1.1700. I don't want to short here. It's like in the middle.
  • #7,150
  • Sep 19, 2018 12:47pm Sep 19, 2018 12:47pm
mitiblotch,

ultimately, i think the SM target is the shorty stops above price when evaluating last FF chart.. for me, far too many big short positions below price to let allow into big profits. these are mostly STS and not MTS so the weight is a bit less i suppose. if you look at the chart the DM positions shorts were very present and shorting around the HOD. very bold and a lessen for them could be coming unless something has changed on the chart. IMO.
supply & demand is a farce !
  • #7,151
  • Sep 19, 2018 12:50pm Sep 19, 2018 12:50pm
Quoting bumb
mitiblotch, ultimately, i think the SM target is the shorty stops above price when evaluating last FF chart.. for me, far too many big short positions below price to let allow into big profits. these are mostly STS and not MTS so the weight is a bit less i suppose. if you look at the chart the DM positions shorts were very present and shorting around the HOD. very bold and a lessen for them could be coming unless something has changed on the chart. IMO.
That's exactly the reason I didn't short. Yet, the shorts have had lots of profit today and the high is still untouched. Except we get a new chart we may not know why.
  • #7,152
  • Sep 19, 2018 1:07pm Sep 19, 2018 1:07pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Lol... True. Do you see EU still rising to 1.1700. I don't want to short here. It's like in the middle.
I can not predict it. But you can manage your risk. If you would short right now for the target 1.16000 where would you put your SL? You would put to far away to not get stoped out. So your R/R would be bad. There are still good cluse that 1.17000 could be a reverse. At that level your SL would be very tight and so R/R very good.
The stops EU and GU are still there so the targets are valid.
  • #7,153
  • Sep 19, 2018 1:38pm Sep 19, 2018 1:38pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} That's exactly the reason I didn't short. Yet, the shorts have had lots of profit today and the high is still untouched. Except we get a new chart we may not know why.
next EU chart FF posts should let us more. love to know if the SM is sucking in even more shorts here. if we see even more shorts in the mix i may saddle up.

even with the green bars at bottom of FF chart, you can clearly see shorts were adding all morning.
supply & demand is a farce !
  • #7,154
  • Sep 20, 2018 3:40am Sep 20, 2018 3:40am
EU M15:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: erueureu.png Size: 54 KB
www.sme-fx.com
  • #7,155
  • Sep 20, 2018 3:40am Sep 20, 2018 3:40am
time & range principle...
www.sme-fx.com
  • #7,156
  • Edited 4:16am Sep 20, 2018 4:03am | Edited 4:16am
Guys guys guys, you're focusing too much on the detail, don't forget the big picture, market structure and flow, the short on the EURUSD was clear as day on a plain chart.

Good job really, cos I'm still struggling to read FF's charts, well I haven't put that much time into interpreting them to be honest, I might not bother, I don't like depending on other people.

EDITED:
Please correct me if I'm wrong, I'm trying to help not hinder.
  • #7,157
  • Sep 20, 2018 4:34am Sep 20, 2018 4:34am
Quoting bumb
{quote} next EU chart FF posts should let us more. love to know if the SM is sucking in even more shorts here. if we see even more shorts in the mix i may saddle up. even with the green bars at bottom of FF chart, you can clearly see shorts were adding all morning.
He's updated his chart. Many shorts here.
  • #7,158
  • Sep 20, 2018 4:36am Sep 20, 2018 4:36am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} He's updated his chart. Many shorts here.
We have fake resistance though, mmm.... careful.
  • #7,159
  • Sep 20, 2018 4:43am Sep 20, 2018 4:43am
Quoting Bushy
Guys guys guys, you're focusing too much on the detail, don't forget the big picture, market structure and flow, the short on the EURUSD was clear as day on a plain chart. Good job really, cos I'm still struggling to read FF's charts, well I haven't put that much time into interpreting them to be honest, I might not bother, I don't like depending on other people. EDITED: Please correct me if I'm wrong, I'm trying to help not hinder.
Itīs impossible to trade without having FFs source.
My call for short on EU+GU was only based on that big SL accumulations. I can imagine that they are placed on purpuse. Unfortunately FF does not want to share how you can spot real SL vs fake.

With reasonable trading thougts (without (fake)orderbook) the moves on EU yesterday were clear to me. If you do not consider this (pseudo SL) the break of Y high is very likely today. And a perfect entry on the bounce @ 1.16850 was also well predictable. (p.s EU indeed made a nice down move from 1.7)

So without having FF make some real calls (Entry, SL, TP) it is more confusing for me.
  • #7,160
  • Sep 20, 2018 4:44am Sep 20, 2018 4:44am
Hi @FF
Can you please post AUDJPY H1
Cheers
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