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  • #7,121
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:09am Sep 19, 2018 8:09am
Quoting wqayx
{quote} I do not understand why SM should make everything perfect for DM to place their SL below todays low+Y low+under 1.6500+under 1.1600 and not geting them.
Maybe FF can respond At least for educational purposes. However, from his last EU 15mins chart, there are lots of shorts who cannot be let into much profit.
  • #7,122
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:14am Sep 19, 2018 8:14am
yes, the EU short positions are massive below current price. i doubt SM will allow price to stay down long for obvious reasons.
supply & demand is a farce !
  • #7,123
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:19am Sep 19, 2018 8:19am
Quoting FractalFreak
homework regarding GU: What happened here? ;-)
Lots of DM longs(green bars) so SM ran the price down to their Stops (white lines)
Know News/time; WAIT for Edge Entries, MPLC Normalization, Exits & TP's..
  • #7,124
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:22am Sep 19, 2018 8:22am
Quoting bumb
yes, the EU short positions are massive below current price. i doubt SM will allow price to stay down long for obvious reasons.
+
Mitiblotch

That is why I would not short now. Those shorts should be dead soon and 1.16925 is a fair price for semi-SM to start a new move down
  • #7,125
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:23am Sep 19, 2018 8:23am
Quoting wqayx
{quote} + Mitiblotch That is why I would not short now. Those shorts should be dead soon and 1.16925 is a fair price for semi-SM to start a new move down
My fear is SM trying to take out the high.
  • #7,126
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:23am Sep 19, 2018 8:23am
IMO, the target of SM is to crush the big position shorties.
supply & demand is a farce !
  • #7,127
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:26am Sep 19, 2018 8:26am
Quoting FractalFreak
"Please do upload NZDUSD chart. Thanks." Here u go: {image}
Thanks. So a run down to the DM ST (white lines) should be expected if orders remain as is?
Know News/time; WAIT for Edge Entries, MPLC Normalization, Exits & TP's..
  • #7,128
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:39am Sep 19, 2018 8:39am
Quoting wqayx
{quote} + Mitiblotch That is why I would not short now. Those shorts should be dead soon and 1.16925 is a fair price for semi-SM to start a new move down
Actually, 1.17000 is a better place to look for short oportunities for now. Some SL are also already there.
  • #7,129
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:40am Sep 19, 2018 8:40am
EU M15:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eeuyy.png Size: 47 KB
www.sme-fx.com
  • #7,130
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:42am Sep 19, 2018 8:42am
I won't be here for some hours.....
www.sme-fx.com
  • #7,131
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:49am Sep 19, 2018 8:49am
Quoting wqayx
{quote} Actually, 1.17000 is a better place to look for short oportunities for now. Some SL are also already there.
Yes. From FF's latest chart, we should sell swing highs.
  • #7,132
  • Sep 19, 2018 9:14am Sep 19, 2018 9:14am
Sellers having a nice day.
  • #7,133
  • Sep 19, 2018 9:18am Sep 19, 2018 9:18am
Quoting wqayx
{quote} I do not understand why SM should make everything perfect for DM to place their SL below todays low+Y low+under 1.6500+under 1.1600 and not geting them. At least 1.6500 should be hit. 16000 maybe for the sell-off on thursday/friday. Maybe I am wrong and pice will indeed rise above Y high (new SL accumulation) and only then go for the main target. Still if price continues to go up to 1.16925 and the PA /orderflow will be good and the DM SL @1.6000 will stay there, I will consider a short with tight SL.
EU The lows are out. Now up is possible. But not to far. 1.70000 still a good entry short with the weekly target 1.60000
  • #7,134
  • Sep 19, 2018 9:19am Sep 19, 2018 9:19am
Quoting wqayx
{quote} EU The lows are out. Now up is possible. But not to far. 1.70000 still a good entry short with the weekly target 1.60000
You expect it to go up for a sell?
  • #7,135
  • Sep 19, 2018 9:21am Sep 19, 2018 9:21am
UJ
I took a more predictable short on UJ. Big SL accumulation @112.000 as target
  • #7,136
  • Sep 19, 2018 9:24am Sep 19, 2018 9:24am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} You expect it to go up for a sell?
I mean SM could leave the stops @ 1.16000 for the second halfe of this week. So price could go up to 1.17000 first and then drop.
But not sure if I should buy right now because SM could drop it earlier without getting to a fair price to enter short. + the accumulation of buys for the last down could be to chaotic so that you could easily get stoped out.
But if I will see a clear SL somewhere up I will buy of course.
  • #7,137
  • Sep 19, 2018 9:28am Sep 19, 2018 9:28am
Quoting wqayx
{quote} I mean SM could leave the stops @ 1.16000 for the second halfe of this week. So price could go up to 1.17000 first and then drop. But not sure if I should buy right now because SM could drop it earlier without getting to a fair price to enter short. + the accumulation of buys for the last down could be to chaotic so that you could easily get stoped out. But if I will see a clear SL somewhere up I will buy of course.
How do you decipher the stops? Also UJ has been following EU up and down recently. I need a lower price to buy EU. As for UJ the pair can be tricky.
  • #7,138
  • Sep 19, 2018 9:39am Sep 19, 2018 9:39am
Anyone trading AU and NU?
My thoughts,
AU: take out some shorts 0.73-area and then go for longs stops 0.71-area
NU: a bit higher 0.662-ish and then target long stops 0.65-area
To Infinity and Beyond!
  • #7,139
  • Sep 19, 2018 9:49am Sep 19, 2018 9:49am
Quoting peterrr
Anyone trading AU and NU? My thoughts, AU: take out some shorts 0.73-area and then go for longs stops 0.71-area NU: a bit higher 0.662-ish and then target long stops 0.65-area
I don't know of AU. But for NU, I think it will head down after a little rise.
  • #7,140
  • Sep 19, 2018 10:12am Sep 19, 2018 10:12am
nice liquidity drive up on the EU.. something tells me some of those DM Short STS moved their orders down some after it hit LOD.. ?
supply & demand is a farce !
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