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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

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  • Post #464,901
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  • Sep 14, 2018 2:57pm Sep 14, 2018 2:57pm
  •  SadiaQureshi
  • Joined Aug 2016 | Status: Member | 113 Posts
Quoting Bones
Disliked
whats is difficult about - im making assumptions before they happen so yes the rumour mill is driving price up but very likely something concrete will drive it down lower ,the best trade until the end of year likely short
Ignored

what is GU prediction of the next week
Muhammad Kashif
 
 
  • Post #464,902
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  • Sep 14, 2018 9:31pm Sep 14, 2018 9:31pm
  •  navk
  • Joined Oct 2010 | Status: Trader | 15,756 Posts | Online Now
Next week, initially the PA could be bearish.

However, the daily MACD is bullish.

So one should try to go long around weekly pivot point.
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Intraday only.
 
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  • Post #464,903
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  • Sep 15, 2018 1:22am Sep 15, 2018 1:22am
  •  thir13enth
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: Member | 160 Posts
Quoting thir13enth
Disliked
Short normal lot at 3090, SL 3150 initially (will adjust depending on PA).
Ignored
TP before market closed for 20+ pips so no open GU this weekend, just avoiding any potential upside gap.
There were those who called 3135, they must be very happy lol.

Rest of this month:

Daily

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Not comfortable for shorts if PA starts targeting 3150 next week.
Will find long entries above 3200.

4 Hour

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I will let your imaginations interpret it.
With the Brexit noise still around, might be another visit to 3100-3130 and finally push up to 3200 if this level doesn't hold.
FED Rates end of this month, any highs I will sell it provided below 3150.
Pretty sure there will be a rate hike this month, good luck!

PS. Take a look at UC, EU, and AU this week and find opportunities for next next week.
 
 
  • Post #464,904
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  • Sep 15, 2018 1:47am Sep 15, 2018 1:47am
  •  Georginson
  • Joined Aug 2018 | Status: Veteran | 3,442 Posts | Online Now
It has been brilliant making use of my research work to trade GBPUSD...
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Swing and Intraday
 
 
  • Post #464,905
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  • Sep 15, 2018 1:50am Sep 15, 2018 1:50am
  •  Georginson
  • Joined Aug 2018 | Status: Veteran | 3,442 Posts | Online Now
Over 140% return in investment trading mainly GBPUSD pair. Research and analysis on target. Stay green!!!
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Swing and Intraday
 
 
  • Post #464,906
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  • Sep 15, 2018 8:12am Sep 15, 2018 8:12am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,559 Posts
ok I already posted a Q longer term it's bear at this time ,
rather than just saying I'm bearish that's a fact till it changes, longer term view is dictated not a general opinion
then monthly draws close also Q into final Q


Quoting SadiaQureshi
Disliked
{quote} what is GU prediction of the next week
Ignored
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#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
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  • Post #464,907
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  • Sep 15, 2018 8:34am Sep 15, 2018 8:34am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,559 Posts
you need a weekly for bear outlook ,
the high of last week challenged the open of that previous month ,very important next 2 weeks as to the month, q close
as I said a great weekly in the area above would be a runner ,(brown line on my monthly above ) because I'm reading from history that's where banks went short
I've guessed the channel top totally
no way am I going to draw any lines through price and make them personal


Quoting Bones
Disliked
the way to pick up what next on any time frame is go along with weekly ,no worry their name actually if you want to keep it simple so bears to take over you need a week , judge at the time strength we know its bearish without doubt between here and the high from Q there are many things it could do to the end of year {quote} {image}
Ignored
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#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #464,908
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  • Sep 15, 2018 8:44am Sep 15, 2018 8:44am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,559 Posts
long wicks show agression
good work by the doji cross that halted the down ,if you like argue it as random
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #464,909
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  • Sep 15, 2018 8:52am Sep 15, 2018 8:52am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,559 Posts
Attachment 2994124
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#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #464,910
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  • Edited 9:38am Sep 15, 2018 9:09am | Edited 9:38am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,559 Posts
I don't know it's not clear first movement
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#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #464,911
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  • Sep 15, 2018 10:13am Sep 15, 2018 10:13am
  •  Neil0163
  • Joined Jul 2017 | Status: Active member | 1,655 Posts
Kiss

A break of top resistance will mean a bullish trend.
we may get a push up to resistance a slight pull back then big breakout but these are both bullish options and bearish options. At the minute we are in bearish zone how ever it may push up into that bearish zone buy 80 pips (I’ve not drawn the bearish area on here just the very last part of key area)
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  • Post #464,912
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  • Sep 15, 2018 7:16pm Sep 15, 2018 7:16pm
  •  Ill-b-back
  • Joined May 2011 | Status: Get to the Chopper | 17,905 Posts
Reaction off TL.
Looking at daily candle reactions, I see 2930 area as bull/bear battle zone.
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Come with me if you want to live....
 
 
  • Post #464,913
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  • Sep 16, 2018 3:16am Sep 16, 2018 3:16am
  •  Nala66
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 5,524 Posts
Long term daily says 3450, so it looks like I will be long on the dips.
 
 
  • Post #464,914
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  • Sep 16, 2018 4:32am Sep 16, 2018 4:32am
  •  how2
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 25 Posts
Quoting Nala66
Disliked
Long term daily says 3450, so it looks like I will be long on the dips.
Ignored
Daily ?... what about possible short target back down to around 1.3035
 
 
  • Post #464,915
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  • Sep 16, 2018 5:45am Sep 16, 2018 5:45am
  •  OnlineAddict
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: From $1 to Million | 8,743 Posts | Online Now
If I was a bear, the look at the monthly chart would scare the hell out of me. Even if a big dip comes again (2800-2900)...all bulls need is to close the month around 3100 and next month a spike up can be without any retraces...hundreds of pips up one way...that would be fun to watch, all the whining and manipulation calling, even though it would be just a fine and logical technical move.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
From$1toMillion All Time Return: 22,515.0%
 
 
  • Post #464,916
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  • Sep 16, 2018 1:23pm Sep 16, 2018 1:23pm
  •  FractalFreak
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2014 | 9,786 Posts
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www.sme-fx.com
 
 
  • Post #464,917
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  • Sep 16, 2018 3:11pm Sep 16, 2018 3:11pm
  •  RogerTC
  • | Joined May 2018 | Status: Member | 22 Posts
in cable we've got the quarterly in a buy. It is the third bar after trend change and we dont see strong dynamic pressure recently. We have two more weeks to the close of the quarterly bar. On the other side a new ABC developing and if the market can move higher there is massive resistance ( OP agreement + confluence zone) up at around the 1.50 area


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The monthly is in a sell and the 0.618 support holding for now.

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Looking at your weekly; trend turned into a buy with very good initial follow through on this buy signal. First good resistance stands at 1.3160-65ish which is agreement of 0.618 fib resistance + 1.00 fib expansion and more resistance higher up 1.3317 and 1.34 respectively.

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On the daily as you see market couldnt reach the 1.3165 level yet so it is probably gonna be buying opportunity on the lower timeframes for a move up to that level.


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You can see the perfect 0.618+ 0.382 confluence support levels on the 4hour to long the market for short term..

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So cable looks strong on the short term but it s bearish on the long term. We have weak dynamic pressure on quarterly buy; monthly trend is in a sell and weekly buy signal can be faded by monthly traders at strong fibonacci resistance levels.
 
1
  • Post #464,918
  • Quote
  • Sep 16, 2018 4:34pm Sep 16, 2018 4:34pm
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,559 Posts
on the q you would have to see it to belive it as bullish next ,
high probability bearish outside means this will go lower ,but we need the print
very high prob it will not take the high,the fact this q is small means nothing and yet to print
it could print like that and still very high down

outside 2 candle
hammer 1 candle
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#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #464,919
  • Quote
  • Sep 16, 2018 4:54pm Sep 16, 2018 4:54pm
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,559 Posts
example on monthly
if you have the rejection as we did then confirm
the next candle cannot be treated as bullish
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#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #464,920
  • Quote
  • Sep 16, 2018 6:26pm Sep 16, 2018 6:26pm
  •  Nala66
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 5,524 Posts
Quoting how2
Disliked
{quote} Daily ?... what about possible short target back down to around 1.3035
Ignored
So this would be a place to consider it being a dip, would it not.. However we are currently back trading above the average so it may not make that southern journey.
 
 
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