The only thread you will ever need: FX Exposed! | Page 283 | Forex Factory

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The only thread you will ever need: FX Exposed!

  • #5,641
  • Aug 13, 2018 2:20pm Aug 13, 2018 2:20pm
Quoting alehayden
I'm finding it a bit confusing to analyzd where the SM will potentially take out based on the charts posted by FF. What would be the breakdown of the analysis with what has been revealed so far. If they are mentioned in the thread Could someone help me with finding them please?. I was reading through, watched all the videos, and the live trades so far. This is some eye opening stuff!
Frankly videos are more easy to understand than this thread after page1 so run out of here and first listen to all the videos first and then this thread is better to understand. Hopefully, someone brave will attempt to turn this thread into a reference guide.
Staying in my lane...
  • #5,642
  • Aug 13, 2018 2:33pm Aug 13, 2018 2:33pm
"someone brave will attempt to turn this thread into a reference guide. "

I am working on sth.

FF
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,643
  • Aug 13, 2018 2:34pm Aug 13, 2018 2:34pm
"This is some eye opening stuff! "


Thx.

FF
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,644
  • Aug 13, 2018 2:51pm Aug 13, 2018 2:51pm
Quoting FractalFreak
"Has to be more than half so SMs have to throw how much multiple of that towards tolerance to make such chaotic moves across all pairs of a currency" Not really. The SM Cartel has FULL price control. After all, they are ultimately the ones filling everyone either directly or indirectly. And since they do NOT trade against each other, it is NOT difficult for them to move prices as they wish. NOW, there is one exception (advanced topic). Namely, the SM Cartel will NOT "fight" the BoJ for example in times where the BoJ pushes UJ around. But that is...
Hi FF, I’m really busy with work but need to read your tread
So what you are saying is that the SM has full price control of the Spot market. And what I have learn is that the spot market is only about 30% of the hole forex market, almost 50% of fx market is done in the swaps and that is regulated and can be read from quandl.com, iress.com or ice.com.
Can you confirm that this is correct?
  • #5,645
  • Aug 13, 2018 3:55pm Aug 13, 2018 3:55pm
Quoting hilmy83
{quote} put up or shut up right?? ok then..here's a live one..(paper money though cause i makes my livings on futures ) lets see if it gets there
Thanks for your post...
Could you explain in more detail why you changed to Futures (you do ES, NQ or Eur?)
  • #5,646
  • Aug 13, 2018 4:07pm Aug 13, 2018 4:07pm
Quoting VEEFX
{quote} PArt 2 of my question. Scenario1: All EUR pairs moving rapidly into green territory on (say) H1 Open candle, except one pair (say) EURCHF... Would you think EURCHF is not being manipulated or would you think EURCHF IS being manipulated due to correlation lag/slowness (as in a baby chick running away from her momma and siblings) Scenario2: All EUR pairs moved rapidly to green territory and now have slow down and slowly all growing upwards...would you consider this a legit fundamentally driven move? I am trying to determine the characteristics...
VEEFX
"Alternatively, do you believe in "Currency Strength/weakness" as a condition of correlated movements in pairs. Is that a viable strategy to minimize effects of manipulations by being in the right side of the manipulations "as they happen"
FF
"YES, but that is all on purpose and part of the SM Algos. That is why we have changing correlations."
"NOW, there is one exception (advanced topic). Namely, the SM Cartel will NOT "fight" the BoJ for example in times where the BoJ pushes UJ around."

OBSERVATION: We therefore cannot predict, calculate or rely on correlation as it is also manipulated. Simplified, a strong JPY does not guarantee a weak USD/strong EUR or vics versa or a combination of the usual suspects. I've looked at correlation but it is an extremely elusive concept. I know of one chap who claims to hedge USD with JPY reverse correlation but he is from another galaxy.

Bottom line: It therefore seems very likely that these Cartels are multi-national..BoJ included. Correlation is therfore as unpredictable as VEEFX's questions and answers.

Gets better and better all the time.

p.s. This is written without malice.
  • #5,647
  • Aug 13, 2018 5:15pm Aug 13, 2018 5:15pm
Quoting JGalt
{quote} Thanks for your post... Could you explain in more detail why you changed to Futures (you do ES, NQ or Eur?)
it's regulated and it's cheap
  • #5,648
  • Aug 13, 2018 7:37pm Aug 13, 2018 7:37pm
Quoting davidman
{quote} Bottom line: It therefore seems very likely that these Cartels are multi-national..BoJ included.
It isn't very likely. It is.

The BIS (Bank of International Settlement) Independent, private and immune, controls the IMF and Worldbank.
Under those are the Central Banks like FED, ECB and BoJ.
Thereunder the national banks.

It's all connected and controlled from the top of the pyramid (BIS)
  • #5,649
  • Aug 13, 2018 7:47pm Aug 13, 2018 7:47pm
Quoting VEEFX
{quote} PArt 2 of my question. Scenario1: All EUR pairs moving rapidly into green territory on (say) H1 Open candle, except one pair (say) EURCHF... Would you think EURCHF is not being manipulated or would you think EURCHF IS being manipulated due to correlation lag/slowness (as in a baby chick running away from her momma and siblings) Scenario2: All EUR pairs moved rapidly to green territory and now have slow down and slowly all growing upwards...would you consider this a legit fundamentally driven move? I am trying to determine the characteristics...
Hi VEEFX,

as I understand you "anchor" a price by comparing the price to the correlated pairs, look for the differences/anomalies and act on that.
Doesn't need price charts etc., only a anomalie indicator.
This needs a complex system, for sure not undo-able and some program skills.
So understood you had your screentime and programming time already.

But seeing your questions here, you're not at the bottom of it.
What is your experience till now by studying this?
  • #5,651
  • Aug 14, 2018 3:05am Aug 14, 2018 3:05am
wooky,

because of your disrespectful PMs to me, you are blocked.

Go somewhere else and keep losing money.

You are anything else but humble or thankful.

FF
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,652
  • Aug 14, 2018 3:06am Aug 14, 2018 3:06am
"So what you are saying is that the SM has full price control of the Spot market."

Yes.

FF
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,653
  • Aug 14, 2018 3:06am Aug 14, 2018 3:06am
EU M15:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eeruueu.png Size: 37 KB
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,654
  • Aug 14, 2018 3:07am Aug 14, 2018 3:07am
GU M15:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gfuufuf.png Size: 30 KB
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,655
  • Aug 14, 2018 3:08am Aug 14, 2018 3:08am
GJ M15:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gjj m1515.png Size: 33 KB
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,656
  • Aug 14, 2018 3:10am Aug 14, 2018 3:10am
"it's regulated and it's cheap"



Yes, there IS a reason why FX spot is so "difficult" to trade in comparison to other markets.

And yes, if I would trade E mini futures or Boble, I would most likely read the order book.

But I trade spot FX, and there the markets are driven by SM Algo manipulation.

FF
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,657
  • Aug 14, 2018 3:11am Aug 14, 2018 3:11am
"
The BIS (Bank of International Settlement) Independent, private and immune, controls the IMF and Worldbank.
Under those are the Central Banks like FED, ECB and BoJ.
Thereunder the national banks.
It's all connected and controlled from the top of the pyramid (BIS)"

Yes.

FF
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,658
  • Aug 14, 2018 3:12am Aug 14, 2018 3:12am
"
OBSERVATION: We therefore cannot predict, calculate or rely on correlation as it is also manipulated. Simplified, a strong JPY does not guarantee a weak USD/strong EUR or vics versa or a combination of the usual suspects."

davidman,

YES.

CIQ at 67!

Well done!

FF
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,659
  • Aug 14, 2018 3:18am Aug 14, 2018 3:18am
"Frankly videos are more easy to understand than this thread after page1 so run out of here and first listen to all the videos first"


I recommend:

1. watch all educ. vids.
2. watch at least 10 live trade vids.
3. read thread (concentrate on relevant posts)

then:

4. analyze what you are doing and how this can be seen with the new knowledge you gained
5. watch live screenshots and make notes

Stay safe,
FF
www.sme-fx.com
  • #5,660
  • Aug 14, 2018 3:19am Aug 14, 2018 3:19am
Quoting FractalFreak
GU M15: {image}
what does the GU chart mean, stops above or below greater?
life is a reflection of what we allow ourselves to see
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