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  • #1,101
  • Jul 5, 2018 5:19am Jul 5, 2018 5:19am
near to 1h MA supports..probably it will break down today or tomorrow..maybe small bounce in US events today..
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make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #1,102
  • Jul 5, 2018 5:35am Jul 5, 2018 5:35am
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} exited with taking profit at 4.6436..still very bearish..i may sell bounces..this become very nice after yesterday's missed opportunity luckily i closed morning hedging buys
glad you did mate nice to see you in proffit
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  • #1,103
  • Jul 5, 2018 5:40am Jul 5, 2018 5:40am
just hit the 68 fib could bounce a bit from here have sells under here so i will not get any more , if it bounces up i have sell limits in place
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  • #1,104
  • Jul 5, 2018 5:43am Jul 5, 2018 5:43am
watch mxn loooks like heading down , but i have been wrong before
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  • #1,105
  • Jul 5, 2018 5:46am Jul 5, 2018 5:46am
Quoting Aussi
{quote} glad you did mate nice to see you in proffit
thanks Aussi..i m glad also you were shorting profitday
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #1,106
  • Jul 5, 2018 5:52am Jul 5, 2018 5:52am
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2018.07.05 13:54:534339821USDMXNbuy out2.0019.388705689791-7.000.00 193.93


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  • #1,107
  • Edited 6:25am Jul 5, 2018 6:04am | Edited 6:25am
Turkey to Take Action and Lower Interest Rates and Inflation PM Says

No Paywall:

Turkey To Reduce Interest Rates, PM says

edit
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  • #1,108
  • Jul 5, 2018 6:23am Jul 5, 2018 6:23am
Quoting 2dollardog
Turkey to Take Action and Lower Interest Rates and Inflation PM Says No Paywall: Turkey To Reduce Interest Rates, PM says
This words of PM (will be off office soon, no PM post in new system..) has caused bounce back from 4.6580 to 4.6720 at the last 15m of London open..but it seems market didnt take this serious, and dropped again..now market is pricing rate increase of CB at next meeting...if CB doesnt meet expectations, then we can see sky but i think CB will make some hike..
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #1,109
  • Jul 5, 2018 6:29am Jul 5, 2018 6:29am
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} This words of PM (will be off office soon, no PM post in new system..) has caused bounce back from 4.6580 to 4.6720 at the last 15m of London open..but it seems market didnt take this serious, and dropped again..now market is pricing rate increase of CB at next meeting...if CB doesnt meet expectations, then we can see sky but i think CB will make some hike..
Actually i took profit earlier because of such kind of unexpected words..meaningless populist rhetorics..
make things messy..since at last CB meeting, CB has increased rates more than expexted, market is not giving too much meaning to politicians' populist remarks..i. think, market believes at the end CB can do what is necessary..it is due to last meeting decision i think..
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #1,110
  • Jul 5, 2018 6:30am Jul 5, 2018 6:30am
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nice 3 sells hope some of you caught it , i know its not try but still a exotic
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  • #1,111
  • Jul 5, 2018 6:34am Jul 5, 2018 6:34am
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} This words of PM (will be off office soon, no PM post in new system..) has caused bounce back from 4.6580 to 4.6720 at the last 15m of London open..but it seems market didnt take this serious, and dropped again..now market is pricing rate increase of CB at next meeting...if CB doesnt meet expectations, then we can see sky but i think CB will make some hike..

my opinion is that they dont have a choise but raise because it getting worthless thanks for the info
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  • #1,112
  • Jul 5, 2018 6:35am Jul 5, 2018 6:35am
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} This words of PM (will be off office soon, no PM post in new system..) has caused bounce back from 4.6580 to 4.6720 at the last 15m of London open..but it seems market didnt take this serious, and dropped again..now market is pricing rate increase of CB at next meeting...if CB doesnt meet expectations, then we can see sky but i think CB will make some hike..

Is it this on on the 24th, or will they do an impromptu announcement you think?

Thanks for this.
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  • #1,113
  • Edited 7:15am Jul 5, 2018 7:00am | Edited 7:15am
Quoting 2dollardog
{quote} Is it this on on the 24th, or will they do an impromptu announcement you think? Thanks for this. {image}
I think, they will increase at 24th meeting..if lira would devalue too fast, then maybe CB would make extraordinary meeting and earlier rate hike as in May when it goes up 4.92..but now no need for such action because verbal action has soothed the markets already..maybe CB also informed market informally about its intention to raise rates..it did it before April meeting if i dont remember wrong..but disaster was that at April meeting CB havent met the expectations, then we saw 4.92..i think they wont do same mistake..so, it seems overlook is bearish for usdtry till CB meeting (if politicians doesnt spoil)..

Nowadays they re selling hopes to markets..at 9 july new cabinet will be decalred..then expextation of lifting state of emergency...then CB meeting..actually nothing will be much better after those things happen..but lira and stock market are so oversold at recent months that every single hope find buyers nowadays..when all these things happen maybe lira and stock market may restart depreciate again..but lira's devalue may be slower this time comparing to May..
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #1,114
  • Jul 5, 2018 7:36am Jul 5, 2018 7:36am
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  • #1,115
  • Jul 5, 2018 3:10pm Jul 5, 2018 3:10pm
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} I think, they will increase at 24th meeting..if lira would devalue too fast, then maybe CB would make extraordinary meeting and earlier rate hike as in May when it goes up 4.92..but now no need for such action because verbal action has soothed the markets already..maybe CB also informed market informally about its intention to raise rates..it did it before April meeting if i dont remember wrong..but disaster was that at April meeting CB havent met the expectations, then we saw 4.92..i think they wont do same mistake..so, it seems overlook...
Thank you for this. It makes sense. I didn't understand it all before. That is a good point about the PM going out the door.
Where analysts think he's ignorant of finance when speaking of lowering interest rates, I think it's rhetoric. So, TCB has hiked rates in the past despite this rhetoric.

Usury is forbidden by Islam. He cannot establish a caliphate while charging interest. I bet he keeps it under the sly rather than actually lower interest rate. But he's got to keep talking it up.
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  • #1,116
  • Jul 5, 2018 4:14pm Jul 5, 2018 4:14pm
Return of the caliphate? Wow... He's not exactly Suleiman...
  • #1,117
  • Jul 5, 2018 4:51pm Jul 5, 2018 4:51pm
i would think if he did a war will start in turkey the world had enough of caliphate,s
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  • #1,118
  • Jul 5, 2018 7:37pm Jul 5, 2018 7:37pm
I opened my holiday season officially will be in summer house for a few months..today no plan for lira..just i have some gbp/ jpy longs..i ll keep them..there is nfp data..tricky fridays..be careful..

Cya guys later
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #1,119
  • Jul 5, 2018 8:49pm Jul 5, 2018 8:49pm
Quoting MisterWhite
Return of the caliphate? Wow... He's not exactly Suleiman...


Yeah. I understand Sunni Islam very well and a bit about Shia, Wahhabi and Salafists. I don't get the caliphate and Erdogan connection, either.

I'm thinking there's more going on behind the scenes. I'd see Erdogan as doing what he must to cover hisself while plans are made by someone else for something else. Something very big probably.
  • #1,120
  • Jul 6, 2018 1:18am Jul 6, 2018 1:18am
bought 4.76080 That might be a double bottom on H4

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