The only thread you will ever need: FX Exposed!

Hi,
I have watched the videos and read all the posts and am wondering where this thread will go next. I have also analysed the strange around news events, and how stop hunting is a real thing (or, like has been said earlier, movements down towards a bunch of stop losses which will provide SM sell trades with liquidity to exit as stop loss orders convert in to buy market orders). I am not (yet) a successful trader, but am interested in learning more about how markets truly operate. I use price action to structure trades and some order flow knowledge to help increase their chances of success.
I will share my trade this week to see if this thread and I are on similar wave length:

Chart 1 shows GBPJPY at close of day 21 May 2018. I have only added the 38.1% fib retracement level and 100, 150 and 200 moving averages to show that there will be a fair range of short to mid term traders going short here. So I assume there are a significant number of traders short, who can't be allowed to make money. If SM can buy in large volume against so many open sell market orders. SO I would like to sell here, but would be wary of the guessing that there will also be a large volume of sell orders in the form of stop loss levels above past few bars (some above previous bar and some above 2 bars ago). I would like to sell here if I felt that we could knock out at least one of these in the next bar or two...

Chart 2 shows the next day knocks out the previous high by 6.7 pips. This ought to knock out open sellers as their stop losses are hit. Maybe we will also get some new breakout buyers (always a consideration but not massively likely here, but is sometimes an added bonus).
Now I can sell here, and will hopefully be allowed to get a successful trade, as price no longer needs to go up, and that I am part of the threshold of traders allowed to sometime make a buck.

If this thread is to become a thread for a collection of like minded people, it would be nice if they could also contribute their thoughts, and current beliefs about the market. And hopefully we can progress the mindset, which Fractal Freak appears to wish.

Thanks for the posts Fractal Freak.

Sorry guys, but the diatribe is starting to get out of control.

1. Who cares whether FF has access to DM position info (note: some retail brokers do provide their order book BTW).
2. Who cares whether FF has plans to go commercial - best of luck to him if he does.
3. Who cares what nationality or ethnic background FF is - last time I checked we all have at least one of those!
4. .... and on and on I could go.

To FF I would say this .... get your story/message out as quickly as you can (I believe you have a lot to say and meaningful content to add to this forum); be humble; address people politely and engage people in a meaningful discussion; be respectful to all people and all people will conduct themselves in the same manner .... but you have to set that tone (note: pearls to swine is not a great start)!

To all the haters out there ... please move on. You are not adding anything meaningful to this thread.

Lets see if we can this thread back on the right track.

Cheers

Nah, he is speaking with German accent, I know because I am from Germany. He often uses a specific filler (word): "ja" (meaning "yes"), which is very common with Germans. So, you are already wrong on one of the speculations you made.. (btw he appears in a few of the vids..)

Whatever points you all wants highlight or FF wants to showcase.... It all comes to just 2 points. 1) how do we have the access of reliable DM positions with level (data from just one broker will not be enough). 2) after 1st point only we will be able to evaluate FF's theorie(s) or we may able to discover our own strategies if we have one more key variable to consider while defining our strategy.....

My final post here....

To all the wise men and women of Forexfactory who think they can spend hours and days analyzing what Price is doing before taking an entry...

Please be advised that all your analysis changes the second after you enter the trade with competing market forces working very hard and fast against you every tick until you exit. Whatever edge you think you have had upon entry starts to DECAY every tick until your exit. This is the underlying fact of any market place.

Mr. Freak is shedding some good light on market dynamics. Obviously his message delivery, content and delay is raising questions about his intent so do your own market research. You do not need a fancy indicator or a YouTube Video to understand what he is trying to convey. The only legit way to avoid manipulations is

trade small, trade often and don't let the big bug bite you in the a*s.

Full acknoledgement.

the markets open in 37 min.

Gu will take the big STS at 1.3303.

But I told you not to trade live, didn't I?

FF

..possibly with small gap down...

" and the probability will always remain close to 50/50"

NO.

This is NOT correct.

FF

"No, only having this indicator is not gonna work without the right knowledge, its just not that easy.
The dealers have many tricks to fool you, like widening the spread at certain levels to grab the stops and pending orders, but there is much more.
Have patience my friend, what he is teaching you is more important then his indicator, this the kinda info thats worth alot."

Wise words...

"Thanks and I respect your hard earn knowledge sharing."

You are welcome.

"What is your take on FX industry/Trading Career sustainability."


Bit by bit, ALGOS take over the game.

But there should always be a way.

FF

"it sounded me like u r using cloud data"

NO.

FF

"are CME data wrong?"

yes

"Or are you a little dumb?
Or are you part of the "freak" scheme?"

I do not know JustPippn and he does not know me.

We met on this thread.

But more important, I can only suggest you to REFRAIN attacking students and contributers here.

YOU WILL BE BLOCKED.

Do not limit yourself!

"Every trade FraktalFreak posted on friday is substantial evidence, all these trades had runs over 50 pips and can be spotted everyday.
What else do i have to say?"

And further, all the posts were live.

And even now, I "predicted" what happens next.

Seems like some ppl STILL do not get it, even if demonstrated.

EYES WIDE SHUT.

FF

"Success in trading doesn't lead to sharing"

Why would you think that?

Again, there could be thousands of reasons.

Do not limit your own mind.

Look at the evidence which I collected for years.

Do not be the chicken.

FF

"FF posted a video about this, they will always blame news or geo political for inexplicable price behaviour."

Yes,
as you can see,
doing the "homeworks" pays off and reduces ignorance.

But there will always be the ones, expecting to be allowed to post, this just after quickly skimming over the first page, not watching any of the content, and then being a big mouth.

Sad.

FF

"While some of the first videos are actually factually incorrect ( no such things as short and longs in fx )"

No. You are incorrect. And you did not get it. Go back to step 1.

FF