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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #5,081
  • Oct 9, 2017 7:57am Oct 9, 2017 7:57am
Quoting dipoolowo
Naira Moderates at Forex Market Segments https://www.businesspost.ng/2017/10/...rket-segments/
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  • #5,082
  • Oct 9, 2017 7:59am Oct 9, 2017 7:59am
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  • #5,083
  • Oct 9, 2017 10:59am Oct 9, 2017 10:59am
Quoting princefred
{quote} I will say at least 1 to 3.
better go for 5:1 (or even 10:1) to factor in the possibility for few bad trades in a row.
  • #5,084
  • Oct 9, 2017 2:01pm Oct 9, 2017 2:01pm
Quoting doktorforex
{quote} better go for 5:1 (or even 10:1) to factor in the possibility for few bad trades in a row.
35 pips SL against 105 TP is more likely to have the SL not hit often due to spread widening/slipage and the TP hit often.than less than 35 Pips SL and about 165/350 TP. Or what do you think?
Know News/time; WAIT for Edge Entries, MPLC Normalization, Exits & TP's..
  • #5,085
  • Oct 10, 2017 6:03am Oct 10, 2017 6:03am
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  • #5,086
  • Oct 11, 2017 2:03am Oct 11, 2017 2:03am
Quoting princefred
{quote} 35 pips SL against 105 TP is more likely to have the SL not hit often due to spread widening/slipage and the TP hit often.than less than 35 Pips SL and about 165/350 TP. Or what do you think?
I would generally advise against such a wide stop loss unless it is justiified and backed by historic data or if you trade news spikes that have an estimated size of 100 pips or more. In the end you need to have a rough estimate about the expected volatility to define your stop loss (and take profit); start from the estimated market reaction and work yourself backwards from there.

For example if trading an event like UK industrial production yesterday that had an estimated spike of 15-20 pips, there is no need to go for anything larger than 10 pps stop loss in my opinion.
  • #5,087
  • Oct 11, 2017 8:16am Oct 11, 2017 8:16am
what is expected tonight from FOMC report ? and draghi tomorrow? will Catalonian freedom will affect Euro?
  • #5,088
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:04am Oct 11, 2017 9:04am
Quote
12 of the 16 FOMC Members favoured another rate hike in 2017 during their September meeting.
Bloomberg assesses current rate hike probability for the December meeting at around 73% (down from 80% after Friday’s Jobs Report). CME Future implied probability stands at 93%.

will certainy wil be an interesting event. Whenever Future implied volatility is changing, there is something interesting going on.
  • #5,089
  • Oct 11, 2017 10:57am Oct 11, 2017 10:57am
Oct 11, 18:00

Minutes of the meeting of the US Federal Open Market Committee

Oct 11, 18:40

Speech by FOMC member Williams

Oct 11, 20:30

Report of the American Petroleum Institute (API) on oil reserves
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  • #5,090
  • Oct 11, 2017 11:12am Oct 11, 2017 11:12am
Quoting doktorforex
{quote} will certainy wil be an interesting event. Whenever Future implied volatility is changing, there is something interesting going on.
euro block is up and dollar is down for few days,is this a trck that this event will reverse the present scenario? will dollar be appreciated when dollar hike is announced?
  • #5,091
  • Oct 12, 2017 12:29pm Oct 12, 2017 12:29pm
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  • #5,092
  • Oct 13, 2017 7:07am Oct 13, 2017 7:07am
Quote
Wednesday’s FOMC Minutes revealed that the FED’s concerns about low inflation data despite the historic low in unemployment numbers are growing.
We expect that this only means further sensitivity to the CPI data and high sensitivity for both positive and negative deviation.

US inflation data can be a nice catalyst for a decisive move either up or down the current range in the US Dollar.
  • #5,093
  • Oct 13, 2017 9:16am Oct 13, 2017 9:16am
Great weekend to everyone.
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  • #5,094
  • Oct 14, 2017 4:40am Oct 14, 2017 4:40am
GOLD futures cloes at $1305 following CPI data, this can be an indication of further price advance. The inflation rhetoric has changed a bit within the last weeks, now the FOMC has further proof of lagging inflation.
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  • #5,095
  • Edited Nov 21, 2017 5:22pm Oct 14, 2017 11:32pm | Edited Nov 21, 2017 5:22pm
Thoughts on "smart traders"

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  • #5,096
  • Oct 14, 2017 11:36pm Oct 14, 2017 11:36pm
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  • #5,097
  • Oct 16, 2017 9:53pm Oct 16, 2017 9:53pm
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  • #5,098
  • Oct 17, 2017 3:58am Oct 17, 2017 3:58am
GBP CPI y/y 3.0%3.0%2.9%
GBP PPI Input m/m 0.4%1.2%2.3%
GBP RPI y/y 3.9%4.0%3.9%
GBP Core CPI y/y 2.7%2.7%2.7%
GBP HPI y/y 5.0%5.4%4.5%
GBP PPI Output m/m 0.2%0.2%0.4%
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  • #5,099
  • Edited 7:40am Oct 17, 2017 4:42am | Edited 7:40am
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[Приложить] Screenshot_9.png; 2521279 [/ приложите]
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  • #5,100
  • Oct 18, 2017 3:35am Oct 18, 2017 3:35am
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