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Dax - Daily analysis and Discussion

  • #581
  • Sep 25, 2017 9:43am Sep 25, 2017 9:43am
my outlook on dax over the week

sell from 12600

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practising coitus interruptus
  • #582
  • Sep 25, 2017 10:25am Sep 25, 2017 10:25am
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  • #583
  • Sep 25, 2017 10:36am Sep 25, 2017 10:36am
Quoting cat
{image}
dont do this to me
  • #584
  • Sep 25, 2017 10:38am Sep 25, 2017 10:38am
Quoting avibe
my outlook on dax over the week sell from 12600 {image}
Hmmm ... I am not sure ...

My view
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  • #585
  • Sep 26, 2017 1:36am Sep 26, 2017 1:36am
Morning all!

I think this H1 200ema, which is sitting on top of today's S1 should crack today allowing Dax potentially to fall quite heavily...enough of this wishy washy range bullshit, let's have some real pa!! However, I expect London to take it up a bit first, and I'll be watching the CP level closely around 592 give or take for a level to short from, as pa dictates obviously.

Pivots are:

S2 509
S3 467

R1 632
R2 677

If they do decide to take it higher than I'm anticipating atm, then I have resistance at both the R1 and R2 levels, R1 definitely on the cards, though R2 would give us a high above the range we've been in, and that looks unlikely from where we are right now.

If I do short, then I'll be looking to exit on S3, which is also the H2 200ema

Good luck!
  • #586
  • Sep 26, 2017 2:38am Sep 26, 2017 2:38am
Quoting cat
Morning all! I think this H1 200ema, which is sitting on top of today's S1 should crack today allowing Dax potentially to fall quite heavily...enough of this wishy washy range bullshit, let's have some real pa!! However, I expect London to take it up a bit first, and I'll be watching the CP level closely around 592 give or take for a level to short from, as pa dictates obviously. Pivots are: S2 509 S3 467 R1 632 R2 677 If they do decide to take it higher than I'm anticipating atm, then I have resistance at both the R1 and R2 levels, R1 definitely...
Good morning!

.....
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  • #587
  • Sep 26, 2017 3:14am Sep 26, 2017 3:14am
Nice rejection at 30m 200sma, and 4H 20sma... it can drop from here. Let's see.
  • #588
  • Sep 26, 2017 4:06am Sep 26, 2017 4:06am
That is the top of that move for me, on the 76.4% fib @ 615, which is not to say it won't go higher, but that's as far as I want to take it for now. I'm now not expecting new lows today to contradict my earlier post. Firstly, my charts tell me this is too well supported around the H1 200ema. The Dow too looks like it will rise further today, and the forex pair I trade, GJ, is similar to Dax in that it is well supported on the H1 200ema.
  • #589
  • Edited 5:05am Sep 26, 2017 4:27am | Edited 5:05am
Quoting mag00
{quote} Hello everybody ... Ger30dec (m15) in the 5th one P.S. pay attention to the a(c) wave (pay or ... gain ... maybe) {image}
Hello everybody ...

Ger30Dec (m30)

my opinion ... close to a(c) wave

P.S.
correlations to be verified ...
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... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #590
  • Sep 26, 2017 4:36am Sep 26, 2017 4:36am
650 is again going to be the test if it gets there. This buying seems pretty strong atm, so if it breaks , I can see the way open for 700 no problem. If it can't, then I think we have already seen the high and low of the day.
  • #591
  • Sep 26, 2017 4:37am Sep 26, 2017 4:37am
Quoting Wachturm
{quote} Good morning! ..... {image}
!!
  • #592
  • Edited 5:23am Sep 26, 2017 5:10am | Edited 5:23am
Quoting mag00
{quote} Hello everybody ... Ger30Dec (m30) my opinion ... close to a(c) wave P.S. correlations to be verified ... {image}
Twins (m30)

Dax sentiment verified UP (and ... to verify)


P.S.
correlations and Elliott waves : a chessgame ...

Anyway there is something that does not fit :
... the DAX first one (5's) should be well visible to everyone but ...
... if the market doesn't not break the maximum ...
... it is likely that it will come to build a double minimum (@11850) with the first wave, just after, well visible ...
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... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #593
  • Sep 26, 2017 8:15am Sep 26, 2017 8:15am
Anyone looking to US equities to get an indication of things to come during the NY session, the Dow seems bullish, but, it could come down hard off of the H1 100sma which sent it down yesterday, though today, I have stronger looking support than I did then, around the H1 200ema ( 22,283 ) so it could rally back up, though the 100sma which is also the 61.8% fib could still be a difficult R level to break. If it does, then I have the 76.4% @380 which looks like prety strong potential resistance.

On Dax, I have a possible R level just above @ 620, which should follow the Dow down if the Dow does dip after the NY open.
  • #594
  • Sep 26, 2017 9:37am Sep 26, 2017 9:37am
' Actions speak louder than words '- and never a truer statement was ever spoken.

I do not post my trades here on ff, a lead I think most traders here are looking for, though personally I have always found this of limited value to anyone except he/she who is posting the trades. I have also come to believe, particularly during the short time I've been posting on this thread, that posts by others on levels etc, are also of very limited value to others, especially so as we all have our own unique systems we are working from. What I see others may not see and vise versa. After all, I learned all I know not from watching what other people are doing, but from what I am doing.

For this reason, this will be my last post on this thread, though others obviously are more than welcome to keep it going. I will be posting from time to time on my Trader's Academy thread when I have something I deem may be useful for others.

Good luck, and green pips to all!
  • #595
  • Sep 26, 2017 3:40pm Sep 26, 2017 3:40pm
Quoting cat
' Actions speak louder than words '- and never a truer statement was ever spoken. I do not post my trades here on ff, a lead I think most traders here are looking for, though personally I have always found this of limited value to anyone except he/she who is posting the trades. I have also come to believe, particularly during the short time I've been posting on this thread, that posts by others on levels etc, are also of very limited value to others, especially so as we all have our own unique systems we are working from. What I see others may not...
thread #25 coming soon? sorry, i remember you´ve once said you´re a teacher by origin. maybe you´re wrong with your statement: one can learn a lot of watching live trade calls. i´ve teached some in this way, and i think they gained something comparing this with that of their own. just join carpe diem and post live calls, i think that could be valuable. anyhow, green TICKS to you
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #596
  • Sep 26, 2017 4:13pm Sep 26, 2017 4:13pm
Quoting deltaone
{quote} thread #25 coming soon? sorry, i remember you´ve once said you´re a teacher by origin. maybe you´re wrong with your statement: one can learn a lot of watching live trade calls. i´ve teached some in this way, and i think they gained something comparing this with that of their own. just join carpe diem and post live calls, i think that could be valuable. anyhow, green TICKS to you
Live trades verify and validate educational material , we like.
  • #597
  • Sep 27, 2017 6:16am Sep 27, 2017 6:16am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} thread #25 coming soon? sorry, i remember you´ve once said you´re a teacher by origin. maybe you´re wrong with your statement: one can learn a lot of watching live trade calls. i´ve teached some in this way, and i think they gained something comparing this with that of their own. just join carpe diem and post live calls, i think that could be valuable. anyhow, green TICKS to you
25 or 105, who cares, they're only words, intended naively on my part to help others, but in reality helping few if any. Unlike the egalitarian and altruistic principles of formal education and the teaching of it, trading is a far more self-indulgent pursuit in which the only rationale is financial profit. Because it is an entirely cognitive process, psychology aside, the only way to success in this business is to spend many thousands of hours locked away in a quiet corner of the house figuring it all out for ourselves. Forums such as this one have value in that they bring like minded people together, and in terms of social interaction that is a good thing, but in terms of helping to create the kind of success all traders are looking for, they probably do more harm than good.

Thank you, I might just pop into carpe from time to time.

  • #598
  • Sep 27, 2017 6:24am Sep 27, 2017 6:24am
"the only way to success in this business is to spend many thousands of hours locked away in a quiet corner of the house figuring it all out for ourselves"

that has been my life in last 15 years, I know that I am not the only one ....but you have described so well
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #599
  • Sep 27, 2017 6:55am Sep 27, 2017 6:55am
Quoting cat
{quote} 25 or 105, who cares, they're only words, intended naively on my part to help others, but in reality helping few if any. Unlike the egalitarian and altruistic principles of formal education and the teaching of it, trading is a far more self-indulgent pursuit in which the only rationale is financial profit. Because it is an entirely cognitive process, psychology aside, the only way to success in this business is to spend many thousands of hours locked away in a quiet corner of the house figuring it all out for ourselves. Forums such as this...
you´re welcome.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #600
  • Edited 7:15am Sep 27, 2017 6:56am | Edited 7:15am
If ...
... the analogy between trading and chessgames is correct ...
... (and for me it is) ...
the following question would be:

Is it useful to read and understand a player's games?
His ideas?
His strategies?
And those of different players, mediocre, good or champions who are?


P.S.
a chessboard ...
a chart...
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
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