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Dax - Daily analysis and Discussion

  • #341
  • Sep 11, 2017 5:07am Sep 11, 2017 5:07am
Looks like we might get a little kick up off of the 1m 100sma here, which is still strongly positive beneath the price. Level I'm watching for this one as a lower high is around 457 if it's not going to break above today's high.
  • #342
  • Sep 11, 2017 5:39am Sep 11, 2017 5:39am
Last of the micro analysis from me, but that initial retrace to 453 ( 76.4% ) is holding, and the trend line from today's high running through the lower high is the line to cross now if this is going to break back north. So far, anyone short from that 453 level, best just to hold at BE, because this could still go either way in my estimation. Nice Doji on the 30m tf, so a good bearish signal.
  • #343
  • Sep 11, 2017 6:49am Sep 11, 2017 6:49am
short 432 SL 468
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #344
  • Sep 11, 2017 6:54am Sep 11, 2017 6:54am
I know whats going on, she´s trying to hypnotize me to do stupid trades, but not this time baby...
Thinking about buying @ 12414 ... lets see
  • #345
  • Sep 11, 2017 7:01am Sep 11, 2017 7:01am
Seeing as most of us consider Dax to be female ( she certainly behaves like one! ) I too from now on will refer to her in the female gender.

So, she has found support on my 3m 100sma for now. I'd say that the best opportunity of a trade today is to go short, but that's just my opinion. Those looking to short, but not wanting to risk getting in at low levels, will be wise to wait for another pullback to see what happens. I've put the fibs on again, so unless it ( sorry, she ) drops again from here, the 61.8 and the 76.4% at 446 and 451 respectively would be levels to watch, but the 50% @ 442 as well I think.

They'll probably ban this thread now for being sexist knowing them!
  • #346
  • Sep 11, 2017 7:19am Sep 11, 2017 7:19am
Dow atm not giving very much away in terms of which way they'll take it in the NY session. It stopped it's upward leg just short of the 76.4% fib. EU at present looking pretty bearish. Very difficult to predict which way traders will take the Dow these days, because they so often buy it just when it looks like falling. Small time frames a must for me especially trading the Dow so as to spot the potential directional change candles and moving average positioning.
  • #347
  • Sep 11, 2017 7:23am Sep 11, 2017 7:23am
hope not!

I am somehow out of sync with her.. but I am watching her closely!

(In german Dax is male and stocks are female... )
  • #348
  • Edited 7:39am Sep 11, 2017 7:24am | Edited 7:39am
Quoting mag00
{quote} Hello everybody ... Ger30Dec (h1) my view ... inside b4 (@12390 TP 12000) ... ABC = a(a)+b(a)+c(a)+b1+b2+b3compo+b4+b5+a(c)+b(c)+c(c) Ger30Dec (m15) ... divergence ... to go short ... wait for the price to return under the 0line ( or breakdown uptrendline) P.S. waiting b5 (@12000 TP 12600) ( so ... 400 down ? ... 600 up ?)( wait and see ...) {image} {image}

if this ... is the 5th (the last one), we are ... within its 4th one


P.S.
it would miss the final shot (5th one inside the 5th wave) and the ... trigger of b4 (maybe)
but Gold ... (m30) is under its ma200
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #349
  • Sep 11, 2017 7:43am Sep 11, 2017 7:43am
Algo's are tracking the Dow this year, just like it was doing 30 years ago, then wooshka the Dow dropped like 22% in October 1987... I think the planets are aligning for a big unexpected drop in that month this year. I'd be watching for bearish reversal signs in the Asia Equities, then hitting US Equities with shorts.
  • #350
  • Sep 11, 2017 7:56am Sep 11, 2017 7:56am
(if I'm not wrong ...)
I do not feel so: I see a top in next year


P.S.
something I already wrote in post 158
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #351
  • Sep 11, 2017 8:55am Sep 11, 2017 8:55am
90 min diversion still in place with MACD.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Germany.png Size: 50 KB
  • #352
  • Sep 11, 2017 8:57am Sep 11, 2017 8:57am
Quoting mag00
(if I'm not wrong ...) I do not feel so: I see a top in next year P.S. something I already wrote in post 158
Agree, I actually think Equities markets will actually top in 2019... But we can get an unexpected drop at these levels.
  • #353
  • Sep 11, 2017 9:01am Sep 11, 2017 9:01am
Quoting cat
90 min diversion still in place with MACD. {image}
I wonder if we will close this week the GAP (12305-12380/90).
  • #354
  • Sep 11, 2017 9:29am Sep 11, 2017 9:29am
Shorts Dow 22011, Shorts Dax 12476... Not sure on these.
  • #355
  • Sep 11, 2017 9:33am Sep 11, 2017 9:33am
I've got a potential Dow top at around 027.
  • #356
  • Sep 11, 2017 9:49am Sep 11, 2017 9:49am
I am watching 12500 now for a short to 12460 with tight SL...
  • #357
  • Sep 11, 2017 9:58am Sep 11, 2017 9:58am
Quoting PariCovek
Shorts Dow 22011, Shorts Dax 12476... Not sure on these.
Added another Short on Dow at 22020.

I think Dax might break down here. Dow still a bit bullish
  • #358
  • Sep 11, 2017 10:01am Sep 11, 2017 10:01am
Quoting Wachturm
I am watching 12500 now for a short to 12460 with tight SL...
What with this diversion, and those very bearish 10m candles, and I think you might be waiting a long time to short at 12,500. Check out the 30m shooting star just formed as well.
  • #359
  • Sep 11, 2017 10:04am Sep 11, 2017 10:04am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} Added another Short on Dow at 22020. I think Dax might break down here. Dow still a bit bullish
Took some risk off on the Dow trade for +12... And some risk off on the Dax at +10. Now just holding these puppies at BE SL
  • #360
  • Sep 11, 2017 10:09am Sep 11, 2017 10:09am
Quoting cat
{quote} What with this diversion, and those very bearish 10m candles, and I think you might be waiting a long time to short at 12,500. Check out the 30m shooting star just formed as well.
Yes thanks for pointing that out. I have a long bias today, I only like to short at the extremes ( way past ADR)
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