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Dax - Daily analysis and Discussion

  • #281
  • Sep 5, 2017 6:39am Sep 5, 2017 6:39am
beautifully at the 38.2 fibo rebounded and almost at the EMA 10 (4H). Could have potential up to WP 61, if Draghi allows it ....
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  • #282
  • Edited 12:53pm Sep 5, 2017 11:48am | Edited 12:53pm
As expected. 50 period Bollinger bands on the hourly make for good targets.
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  • #283
  • Sep 6, 2017 2:24am Sep 6, 2017 2:24am
I have a nice 92.1% high probability target for the next hours/days/minutes !!! 30 Points profit!!
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  • #284
  • Sep 6, 2017 3:04am Sep 6, 2017 3:04am
Quoting sconcha
I have a nice 92.1% high probability target for the next hours/days/minutes !!! 30 Points profit!! {image}
hi Friend
what does u mean (92.1% high probability) ?
Regard NOOR16
  • #285
  • Sep 6, 2017 3:17am Sep 6, 2017 3:17am
School run this morning, so missed the open. All I can really offer is what most of you can see anyway. My Daily chart does show MA support which has actually been increasing and is stronger now than it was throughout August. The Daily MACD is also rising steadily from beneath the zero line. The Daily resistance is the 200sma which is over and above the price at around the 12,240 level. Going down to the H4 tf, the 200ema for me is my resistance level, and it held yesterday just as it did in August.

For today, my fibs to the upside are 50% @ 12,127, 61.8% @ 148, and 76.4% @ 173.

On the south side, fibs are 50% @ 12,040 ( held as support yesterday, and the day before ) 61.8% @ 11,998; 76.4% @ 11,948

Pivots are :

CP 109
S1 005
S2 938

R1 175
R2 280

I am not expecting a new low today, or for the price to rise higher than yesterday. As always, these are just my own observations
  • #286
  • Sep 6, 2017 3:25am Sep 6, 2017 3:25am
Quoting cat
School run this morning, so missed the open. All I can really offer is what most of you can see anyway. My Daily chart does show MA support which has actually been increasing and is stronger now than it was throughout August. The Daily MACD is also rising steadily from beneath the zero line. The Daily resistance is the 200sma which is over and above the price at around the 12,240 level. Going down to the H4 tf, the 200ema for me is my resistance level, and it held yesterday just as it did in August. For today, my fibs to the upside are 50% @ 12,127,...
great analysis commentary
Regard NOOR16
  • #287
  • Sep 6, 2017 3:36am Sep 6, 2017 3:36am
I have a potential high for eu today at around 11,980, which if it holds, will keep Dax propped up.

ps- sorry, that should be 11,960...I need stronger glasses!
  • #288
  • Sep 6, 2017 3:37am Sep 6, 2017 3:37am
Quoting Noor16
{quote} great analysis commentary
Thanks Noor!
  • #289
  • Sep 6, 2017 4:00am Sep 6, 2017 4:00am
Quoting cat
{quote} Thanks Noor!
welcome my friend .
keep it up
Regard NOOR16
  • #290
  • Sep 6, 2017 7:21am Sep 6, 2017 7:21am
Quoting Noor16
{quote} hi Friend what does u mean (92.1% high probability) ?

It's the strength of the target. 100% means it would go there for sure, really sure.
This one was a strong one above 90% i trade them all.

As you saw, target was touched a while ago

Money in the bank!

Cheers
SC.
  • #291
  • Sep 6, 2017 7:48am Sep 6, 2017 7:48am
Never underestimate Dax...as long as I've been trading it, I still do frequently.

H4 200ema finally broken. H6 200ema is where it is now, with the 200sma just above at 262. Can it now punch above these? Possible divergence with MACD on my 1m chart, so possible sign of a top? Has to confirm though.
  • #292
  • Sep 6, 2017 7:56am Sep 6, 2017 7:56am
Jeepers that is some impressive move today.
  • #293
  • Sep 6, 2017 8:05am Sep 6, 2017 8:05am
[Zitat = Hebelitt; 10259569] schön am 38.2 Fibo erholte sich und fast bei der EMA 10 (4H). Könnte bis zu WP 61 möglich sein, wenn Draghi es erlaubt .... {image} [/ quote]

after reaching R61 or even R78 could return to S38.
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  • #294
  • Sep 6, 2017 8:19am Sep 6, 2017 8:19am
Quoting PariCovek
Jeepers that is some impressive move today.
I'd be looking for a target of 12467 next. I reckon it can do it in due time.
  • #295
  • Sep 6, 2017 9:15am Sep 6, 2017 9:15am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} I'd be looking for a target of 12467 next. I reckon it can do it in due time.
12,500easily possible. Just depends whether they want to take it down again first. Dow looking like it wants 21,900 today.
  • #296
  • Edited 10:46am Sep 6, 2017 9:39am | Edited 10:46am
Hello everybody ...

Ger30sep (h1)

I do not see bullish divergences (and it's very strange) ...
so, I think ... we are inside a (3 compo)5 wave


P.S.
waiting the 4th one and the 5th one (completing the "b3 composed" formation)

... zoom in ... within the 2nd chart
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... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #297
  • Edited 1:38am Sep 7, 2017 12:23am | Edited 1:38am
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  • #298
  • Sep 7, 2017 1:19am Sep 7, 2017 1:19am
Dax definitely looks set to go higher today, so whether it will or not remains to be seen. ECB circus later on, so there will most likely be a big move one way or the other, with momentum very much northbound right now. EU looks like it'll come down today as well.

How high? Who knows. The H6 200ema is now in a supporting position @ 12,248. The next R level I have is the Daily 100sma @ 444, and I think that could easily be reached today if the price ramps up. Above that, the 76.4% fib is sitting today just below 500 @ 490, so that could also be the target. The 61.8% is above@ 370, with today's pivot R1 just below @ 360.

On the downside, as it may fall a bit first even if it does go higher later today, the CP is @ 208, which looks like a potentially strong S level if it gets there.

That's pretty much it from me. Take it away fellas!
  • #299
  • Sep 7, 2017 1:30am Sep 7, 2017 1:30am
Long at 271, aiming for 468. Will let it sit, might take a while for that target, but once clear, I'll put SL at BE. Let's see how we go.
  • #300
  • Sep 7, 2017 2:16am Sep 7, 2017 2:16am
Quoting PariCovek
Long at 271, aiming for 468. Will let it sit, might take a while for that target, but once clear, I'll put SL at BE. Let's see how we go.
Will cut this if she drops below 260. Still holding.
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