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Pivot Trading

  • #44,581
  • Sep 12, 2024 12:26am Sep 12, 2024 12:26am
eur usd is goind to explode if 4% hits, i am already long eur usd small position, will add when news are out
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  • #44,582
  • Sep 12, 2024 5:29am Sep 12, 2024 5:29am
very interesting day indeed...
Muni loves you all!
  • #44,583
  • Sep 12, 2024 5:38am Sep 12, 2024 5:38am
Quoting NLtrader
Usd/Jpy on its way back? Nice price action on the bottom.. Crossed adr low Be careful and many green pips to all {image}
thank you, I caught some
141-142 nice support level rn..
jpy for me is still unpredictable, so I only do very shortterm trades
Muni loves you all!
  • #44,584
  • Sep 15, 2024 1:57pm Sep 15, 2024 1:57pm
Guys

I hope Im wrong but what if the US do not lower interest rates?
Davit would always say that the news is factored in already, O Boy, O Boy
1. Gold is way up
2. USDxxx way down
3. xxxUSD way up

Just me thinking
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We obey the structure that results from the market's reaction
  • #44,585
  • Sep 15, 2024 3:51pm Sep 15, 2024 3:51pm
Maybe the weight of the impact of a rate cut on the exchange rates is distorted by geopolitical events and the upcoming US election..
I would argue that no matter how the fed decides, the trajectory of the economical cycle won't change much...
So if the decision (rate cut or not) as you imply is already priced in..it will be a non event .. and there is no need to bother..
Just another trading day in our trading life...
But I guess you want to imply that the market could be on the wrong side..and a significant correction can occur???
Muni loves you all!
  • #44,586
  • Sep 17, 2024 4:58am Sep 17, 2024 4:58am
high impact CAD news in a view hours
I focus on aud/cad
we are between weekly r78 and r100 rn
(caution: higher tfs have bullish momentum, price is at monthly r38)
Muni loves you all!
  • #44,587
  • Sep 17, 2024 10:11am Sep 17, 2024 10:11am
Quoting MuniFX
high impact CAD news in a view hours I focus on aud/cad we are between weekly r78 and r100 rn (caution: higher tfs have bullish momentum, price is at monthly r38)

so far ...gbp/cad would have been the better option
Muni loves you all!
  • #44,588
  • Sep 17, 2024 12:51pm Sep 17, 2024 12:51pm
I say nothing
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We obey the structure that results from the market's reaction
  • #44,589
  • Sep 17, 2024 12:54pm Sep 17, 2024 12:54pm
Davit wojld say the market will start to turn Thuesday or Wednesday. Depending on your trade, I think AudUsd will turn tomorrow. Remember Davit was holding for the swing.
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We obey the structure that results from the market's reaction
  • #44,590
  • Sep 17, 2024 1:49pm Sep 17, 2024 1:49pm
Quoting Egbert
I say nothing {image}
Nice work
  • #44,591
  • Sep 18, 2024 3:34am Sep 18, 2024 3:34am
AUD is still pushing higher..
AUD employment data (high impact news) in 17 hours
Muni loves you all!
  • #44,592
  • Sep 18, 2024 5:20pm Sep 18, 2024 5:20pm
Quoting Egbert
Davit wojld say the market will start to turn Thuesday or Wednesday. Depending on your trade, I think AudUsd will turn tomorrow. Remember Davit was holding for the swing. {image}
Egbert, Who is your Broker? I have friends that want to trade in ZAR.
  • #44,593
  • Sep 18, 2024 7:52pm Sep 18, 2024 7:52pm
Quoting Danapster
{quote} Egbert, Who is your Broker? I have friends that want to trade in ZAR.
Hi
Im trading with XM.

Regards
We obey the structure that results from the market's reaction
  • #44,594
  • Sep 18, 2024 11:34pm Sep 18, 2024 11:34pm
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We obey the structure that results from the market's reaction
  • #44,595
  • Sep 19, 2024 3:46am Sep 19, 2024 3:46am
Quoting Egbert
{quote} Hi Im trading with XM. Regards
Thanks
  • #44,596
  • Sep 21, 2024 6:20am Sep 21, 2024 6:20am
had may first negative week in a long time..
I underestimated the GBP strength..(gbp/cad)
Muni loves you all!
  • #44,597
  • Sep 21, 2024 10:39am Sep 21, 2024 10:39am
Quoting MuniFX
had may first negative week in a long time.. I underestimated the GBP strength..(gbp/cad)
same here! I was quite sure GC would drop by friday down towards the WP, but didn't
  • #44,598
  • Sep 23, 2024 11:09am Sep 23, 2024 11:09am
Hi everyone,

This is my first time posting in this great thread, and I’m hoping to get some feedback based on the attached trades, which I all completed today. Am I on the right track, or is there something I should change?
On the AUDCAD pair, I closed the trade before reaching my original profit target, so overall, all four of my trades made a profit on my demo account. I’m looking for potential turning points on the 4-hour time frame. When a candle touches a level, I switch to the 30-minute time frame and wait for a rejection candle, followed by a move in the direction I anticipate.
I hope I’m heading in the right direction, and I’d greatly appreciate any critique or confirmation.

Best regards,

Milan
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  • #44,599
  • Oct 2, 2024 7:49pm Oct 2, 2024 7:49pm
Quoting hmilan
Hi everyone, This is my first time posting in this great thread, and I’m hoping to get some feedback based on the attached trades, which I all completed today. Am I on the right track, or is there something I should change? On the AUDCAD pair, I closed the trade before reaching my original profit target, so overall, all four of my trades made a profit on my demo account. I’m looking for potential turning points on the 4-hour time frame. When a candle touches a level, I switch to the 30-minute time frame and wait for a rejection candle, followed...
You trade quite similar to me
I wait for a pivot to be touched and then wait for a candle confirmation pattern on 30m chart. (I personally dont use TDI or any of that). I would recommend removing the S38 and R38 lines entirely and only trading R61 & S61 and beyond (It's not that R/S38 don't work, my total profit figures shot up when I removed them completely). Also remove the hard stop loss and instead enter multiple small entries. For example, I enter for every confirmation pattern I see on each pivot line. Those two tips changed the game for me.
  • #44,600
  • Oct 4, 2024 3:43pm Oct 4, 2024 3:43pm
I just wanted to send a shoutout to Davit as well as all the contributors on this thread.

I have started implementing this pivot strategy last week and I can truly say that it has indeed been an absolute game changer for my trading performance, strategy and helped a lot with risk management etc.

LOVE this thread and happy to be part of it all.

Stay safe all
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