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USD/JPY Discussion

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  • Post #77,421
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2018 9:54am Jul 25, 2018 9:54am
  •  YellowFellow
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2015 | 579 Posts
Quoting YellowFellow
Disliked
{quote} Closed with tiny loss..
Ignored
Re-initiated a long U/J
Attached Image
Meditate -> Workout -> Good Food = Good Life!
Double [/Rep]: Fully Blown i (FBi) All Time Return: 69.8%
 
 
  • Post #77,422
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2018 11:05am Jul 25, 2018 11:05am
  •  YellowFellow
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2015 | 579 Posts
Quoting YellowFellow
Disliked
{quote} Re-initiated a long U/J {image}
Ignored
SL Hit.. nonetheless, my view remains Long..
Meditate -> Workout -> Good Food = Good Life!
Double [/Rep]: Fully Blown i (FBi) All Time Return: 69.8%
 
 
  • Post #77,423
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  • Jul 25, 2018 11:09am Jul 25, 2018 11:09am
  •  LethalH97
  • | Joined Aug 2017 | Status: Member | 7 Posts
Does anyone know the reason behind such a wild move suddenly?
 
 
  • Post #77,424
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  • Jul 25, 2018 11:12am Jul 25, 2018 11:12am
  •  arasheed
  • Joined Oct 2010 | Status: Member | 678 Posts
Quoting YellowFellow
Disliked
{quote} SL Hit.. nonetheless, my view remains Long..
Ignored
USD/JPY sliding as the greenback loses ground
The USD/JPY is struggling to hold onto 111.00 as the US Dollar is coming under pressure and as US yields are on the back foot. President Trump will meet the EU Commission President Juncker later in the day.
See FxStreet News
https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/usdjpy
 
 
  • Post #77,425
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  • Jul 25, 2018 11:33am Jul 25, 2018 11:33am
  •  SunTrader
  • Joined Mar 2006 | Status: Trade the reaction not the news! | 10,414 Posts
Yields are actually pulling back a little today.
 
 
  • Post #77,426
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  • Jul 25, 2018 11:43am Jul 25, 2018 11:43am
  •  dn1977
  • | Joined Feb 2015 | Status: Member | 77 Posts
Quoting LethalH97
Disliked
Does anyone know the reason behind such a wild move suddenly?
Ignored
What wild move was that? Didn't see one
 
 
  • Post #77,427
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  • Jul 25, 2018 12:21pm Jul 25, 2018 12:21pm
  •  Dream_trader
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Trader | 170 Posts
Quoting SunTrader
Disliked
Yields are actually pulling back a little today.
Ignored
Do really believe that many of traders here can make optimal fundamental analysis? =)))
Like fund rate change - up doesn't mean that USD will get stronger after that. So... I see enough good data for USD and use fibonacci levels for trading. Now trying take long USD/JPY, but we see what is happening when Trump is US president.

Open long at 111.00, SL 110.75, TP 111.85.
 
 
  • Post #77,428
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  • Jul 25, 2018 12:33pm Jul 25, 2018 12:33pm
  •  SunTrader
  • Joined Mar 2006 | Status: Trade the reaction not the news! | 10,414 Posts
Quoting dn1977
Disliked
{quote} What wild move was that? Didn't see one
Ignored
This one:-
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: UJ wild lol.png
Size: 56 KB
 
 
  • Post #77,429
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  • Jul 25, 2018 12:34pm Jul 25, 2018 12:34pm
  •  SunTrader
  • Joined Mar 2006 | Status: Trade the reaction not the news! | 10,414 Posts
Quoting Dream_trader
Disliked
{quote} Do really believe that many of traders here can make optimal fundamental analysis? =))) ...
Ignored
Not a chance.


 
 
  • Post #77,430
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  • Jul 25, 2018 12:34pm Jul 25, 2018 12:34pm
  •  YellowFellow
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2015 | 579 Posts
Quoting arasheed
Disliked
{quote} USD/JPY sliding as the greenback loses ground The USD/JPY is struggling to hold onto 111.00 as the US Dollar is coming under pressure and as US yields are on the back foot. President Trump will meet the EU Commission President Juncker later in the day. See FxStreet News https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/usdjpy
Ignored
Thanks for the advise!

I do not like to trade news.. it never works for me.. I use VSA mostly.. and try to go opposite of low volume PA..

PS: check my TE, so you know..
Meditate -> Workout -> Good Food = Good Life!
Double [/Rep]: Fully Blown i (FBi) All Time Return: 69.8%
 
 
  • Post #77,431
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  • Jul 25, 2018 2:32pm Jul 25, 2018 2:32pm
  •  dn1977
  • | Joined Feb 2015 | Status: Member | 77 Posts
Quoting SunTrader
Disliked
{quote} This one:- {image}
Ignored
25 pip move is not very wild at all.
 
 
  • Post #77,432
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2018 2:47pm Jul 25, 2018 2:47pm
  •  SunTrader
  • Joined Mar 2006 | Status: Trade the reaction not the news! | 10,414 Posts
Quoting dn1977
Disliked
{quote} 25 pip move is not very wild at all.
Ignored
You did notice that is a one minute chart?

Down, back up and back down again - for no particular reason that I can tell.

It happens but I would still think of it as wild.

Also we are talking about USDJPY which doesn't really have big, big daily or intra day moves.
 
 
  • Post #77,433
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2018 3:02pm Jul 25, 2018 3:02pm
  •  dn1977
  • | Joined Feb 2015 | Status: Member | 77 Posts
Quoting SunTrader
Disliked
{quote} You did notice that is a one minute chart? Down, back up and back down again - for no particular reason that I can tell. It happens but I would still think of it as wild. Also we are talking about USDJPY which doesn't really have big, big daily or intra day moves.
Ignored
I don't look at 1 minute chart at all , its all noise. and the reason it made that very small move is simple, someone Took a trade.
 
 
  • Post #77,434
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  • Jul 25, 2018 3:14pm Jul 25, 2018 3:14pm
  •  PayTheLimit
  • Joined Aug 2009 | Status: Ride the Pig | 31,178 Posts
near support here a second time, shall we start to trade under it for a few hours, I might be willing to consider shorts on a retest of 111.10.....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: USDJPYH1.png
Size: 41 KB
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
 
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  • Post #77,435
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  • Jul 25, 2018 3:30pm Jul 25, 2018 3:30pm
  •  darthPip
  • Joined Jan 2017 | Status: Member | 366 Posts
Quoting dn1977
Disliked
{quote} I don't look at 1 minute chart at all , its all noise. and the reason it made that very small move is simple, someone Took a trade.
Ignored

The move coincided with this news btw:
https://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=797809

Must have screwed up lots of stops for longs.Changed all my green positions into red ! Was stopped out with some loss.
Your friendly neighbourhood Sith
 
 
  • Post #77,436
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2018 4:35pm Jul 25, 2018 4:35pm
  •  SunTrader
  • Joined Mar 2006 | Status: Trade the reaction not the news! | 10,414 Posts
Quoting dn1977
Disliked
{quote} I don't look at 1 minute chart at all ...
Ignored
I don't either. I looked to make a point - that you failed to grasp. Oh well.

Current daily ATR(14) is 0.743. That bar was 0.287 which works out to 39% of daily. Or nowhere near typical.
 
 
  • Post #77,437
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2018 4:37pm Jul 25, 2018 4:37pm
  •  SunTrader
  • Joined Mar 2006 | Status: Trade the reaction not the news! | 10,414 Posts
Quoting darthPip
Disliked
{quote} The move coincided with this news btw: https://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=797809 Must have screwed up lots of stops for longs.Changed all my green positions into red ! Was stopped out with some loss.
Ignored
I hadn't checked but kinda what I thought. Drumpf at it again.
 
 
  • Post #77,438
  • Quote
  • Edited 5:21pm Jul 25, 2018 5:08pm | Edited 5:21pm
  •  hellsbells
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 970 Posts
UJ has broken the upward trend line that started about March 22. I stared at the screen like an unhealthy crazy person for too long yesterday and ended up over trading the range bound market, however I did get a short in . My TP was/is approx 110.580 ie 50 SMA on daily. It didn't quite hit it. I'm leaving TP or even dropping it more, I think there's more down to come unless the H4 candle proves to be a hammer, But i think the broken TL is more important.
And for the bear dreamers, it's getting towards the end of the month, there could be a shooting star rejection of 50 SMA on monthly chart. That could be interesting. How about TP of 103.100 at $30k with a super bearish month candle. #sighsndreams
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • Post #77,439
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2018 5:15pm Jul 25, 2018 5:15pm
  •  dn1977
  • | Joined Feb 2015 | Status: Member | 77 Posts
Quoting SunTrader
Disliked
{quote} I don't either. I looked to make a point - that you failed to grasp. Oh well. Current daily ATR(14) is 0.743. That bar was 0.287 which works out to 39% of daily. Or nowhere near typical.
Ignored
The point I was trying to make, which you failed to grasp is , its pointless looking at a 1 minute chart and getting excited about a 25 pip move. you got a lot to learn. oh well.
 
1
  • Post #77,440
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2018 7:15pm Jul 25, 2018 7:15pm
  •  Winston Reed
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Hobby Trader | 4,477 Posts
Quoting SunTrader
Disliked
{quote} You did notice that is a one minute chart? Down, back up and back down again - for no particular reason that I can tell. It happens but I would still think of it as wild. Also we are talking about USDJPY which doesn't really have big, big daily or intra day moves.
Ignored
Your failure to understand low time frame price movement, which is no different than any other time frame price movement, doesn’t make it “for no particular reason”. It’s just that you don’t understand it....period.....
 
 
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