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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #24,421
  • Jun 6, 2011 3:35am Jun 6, 2011 3:35am
i don't think USD/JPY will go lower than 79.80. Bernanke will talk tomorrow. Hang in there
  • #24,422
  • Jun 6, 2011 3:38am Jun 6, 2011 3:38am
Quoting realjumper
Yep......maybe 79.80 and if that goes.....79.50 will be next
We'll see, said I, quietly laughing in myself
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  • #24,423
  • Jun 6, 2011 3:42am Jun 6, 2011 3:42am
Quoting KillerWhale
We'll see, said I, quietly laughing in myself
lol.......it's a lottery this piece of shit pair!!!!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #24,424
  • Jun 6, 2011 3:44am Jun 6, 2011 3:44am
Quoting tankokjian
this will be my trading plan at the moment.

sell at 79.88
buy at 79.56

the 2 horizontal lines will be my SLs....
Not a single hair on my body is thinking of selling this pair at the moment.
Just waiting and buying @ strategic places is my only option here.
My b/e is now 80.24

Wish everyone success, there are big positive $$$'s in the air here, just keep patience in place.

Shamu
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  • #24,425
  • Jun 6, 2011 3:46am Jun 6, 2011 3:46am
Quoting KillerWhale
Not a single hair on my body is thinking of selling this pair at the moment.
Just waiting and buying @ strategic places is my only option here.
My b/e is now 80.24

Wish everyone success, there are big positive $$$'s in the air here, just keep patience in place.

Shamu
I admire your confidence, but I don't share it!! I don't think anything much can be sorted out on this pair until we know what that idiot Bernanke is going to do at the end of the month!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #24,426
  • Jun 6, 2011 4:11am Jun 6, 2011 4:11am
Quoting realjumper
I admire your confidence, but I don't share it!! I don't think anything much can be sorted out on this pair until we know what that idiot Bernanke is going to do at the end of the month!
End of the month?
Just google for it, more and more people are talking QE3 is the only option, not as a stimulus for the economy (of course they will call it that way), but to keep the $$ from falling through the floor.

And yes I'm confident, still no s/l's used, I can go a long way still. and lol, as far as I'm concerned, they can go try a new all time record low.

I'm prepared for action in a split second. It's 4:10 AM here but no going back to sleep now.

Shamu
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  • #24,427
  • Jun 6, 2011 4:13am Jun 6, 2011 4:13am
Quoting KillerWhale
End of the month?
Just google for it, more and more people are talking QE3 is the only option, not as a stimulus for the economy (of course they will call it that way), but to keep the $$ from falling through the floor.

And yes I'm confident, still no s/l's used, I can go a long way still. and lol, as far as I'm concerned, they can go try a new all time record low.

I'm prepared for action in a split second. It's 4:10 AM here but no going back to sleep now.

Shamu
But Moody's is after US AAA credit rating so yes Jumper, surprises could be in the air.
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  • #24,428
  • Jun 6, 2011 4:21am Jun 6, 2011 4:21am
Quoting KillerWhale
End of the month?
Just google for it, more and more people are talking QE3 is the only option, not as a stimulus for the economy (of course they will call it that way), but to keep the $$ from falling through the floor.

And yes I'm confident, still no s/l's used, I can go a long way still. and lol, as far as I'm concerned, they can go try a new all time record low.

I'm prepared for action in a split second. It's 4:10 AM here but no going back to sleep now.

Shamu
Hi Shamu,

don't get over-confident, I was recently and it was expensive....
I don't see how a possible QE3 will keep the $ from falling through the floor, can you explain?
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #24,429
  • Jun 6, 2011 4:35am Jun 6, 2011 4:35am
Quoting USD-Bear
Hi Shamu,

don't get over-confident, I was recently and it was expensive....
I don't see how a possible QE3 will keep the $ from falling through the floor, can you explain?
Sorry Bear, at this hour of the night..... hadn't had much sleep, getting things mixed up.
US might HAVE TO raise the debt sealing, because QE3 WILL probable MAKE the $ falling through the floor.

That also keeps the risk of losing AAA rating away.

We need 4 hour close above 80 to keep UY from falling further, we'll see.

Shamu
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  • #24,430
  • Jun 6, 2011 4:39am Jun 6, 2011 4:39am
Quoting KillerWhale
Sorry Bear, at this hour of the night..... hadn't had much sleep, getting things mixed up.
US might HAVE TO raise the debt sealing, because QE3 WILL probable MAKE the $ falling through the floor.

That also keeps the risk of losing AAA rating away.

We need 4 hour close above 80 to keep UY from falling further, we'll see.

Shamu
mmm, would say get some sleep looks like you need it...
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #24,431
  • Jun 6, 2011 4:46am Jun 6, 2011 4:46am
Quoting USD-Bear
mmm, would say get some sleep looks like you need it...
After London close maybe?
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  • #24,432
  • Jun 6, 2011 8:38am Jun 6, 2011 8:38am
If QE3 is announced I expect dollar to strengthen vs. the yen even though it will likely fall against the Euro, Pound, Aussie, Loony etc.
  • #24,433
  • Jun 6, 2011 9:45am Jun 6, 2011 9:45am
Quoting Kas1
possible scenarios i see for the week to come...blue boxes are short areas, white for long...i favour a break to the upside since this is the bottom of the trading range im looking at...i think it makes sence to risk less on any shorts
changed my view a bit...right now waitn for a break to try and look for shorts under 8004
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  • #24,434
  • Jun 6, 2011 4:50pm Jun 6, 2011 4:50pm
Maybe new short target, 79.300, look at weekly ema lines
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  • #24,435
  • Jun 6, 2011 6:19pm Jun 6, 2011 6:19pm
how can QE3 strengthened the usd in short time, QE3 is a double edged sword it cuts both ways. i expect to see price ranging at 80.16 and 79.70. QE can only weaken the dollar even more. it will be interesting to see if BOJ prints more money to counter the effects of a new stimulas plan.



Quoting wh92stang
If QE3 is announced I expect dollar to strengthen vs. the yen even though it will likely fall against the Euro, Pound, Aussie, Loony etc.
  • #24,436
  • Jun 6, 2011 7:04pm Jun 6, 2011 7:04pm
Quoting tankokjian
how can QE3 strengthened the usd in short time, QE3 is a double edged sword it cuts both ways. i expect to see price ranging at 80.16 and 79.70. QE can only weaken the dollar even more. it will be interesting to see if BOJ prints more money to counter the effects of a new stimulas plan.
QE3 won't strengthen the US dollar. As I said, the dollar index will likely weaken if there is a QE 3. However, I expect the dollar to strengthen versus the Yen do to the expected boost to the US economy.

Contrary to popular belief, Quantitative easing is not "printing money", it is merely an asset swap where the Fed swaps bank reserves for treasuries or other yield bearing assets. Unless the banks actually lend more money, which they don't because they lend based on the deposits they have, not their reserves, the inflationary effect is mitigated because the money never gets into the economy.
  • #24,437
  • Jun 6, 2011 8:56pm Jun 6, 2011 8:56pm
'Noda is watching the market closely'.......haven't heard that one for a couple of weeks!!

www.forexlive.com
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #24,438
  • Jun 6, 2011 10:47pm Jun 6, 2011 10:47pm
Usd/Jpy Buy 79.80/85 then 79.70/75 then 79.45/50, sell 80.40/45 then 80.55/60 then 80.75/80

Usd/Jpy This pair is still on daily downtrend, retracement is at 80.40 break and base above is to 80.90 then 81.10/20 must hold, while 80.00 might hold for low but if breaks would target my above buy signals
  • #24,439
  • Jun 7, 2011 12:31am Jun 7, 2011 12:31am
anyonw knows the site for interest rates for central banks ?
  • #24,440
  • Jun 7, 2011 1:15am Jun 7, 2011 1:15am
goodmorning.
trend short. price go up, breakout trendline and GOOOO!!!!!


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