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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #5,361
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:21am Oct 26, 2011 11:21am
For those who missed streaming links and are interested in politicians jawboning:

http://ec.europa.eu/avservices/ebs/s...ution=0#101007

T.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #5,362
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:21am Oct 26, 2011 11:21am
if current price's volume and action stays the same, im seeing begiinning of minor downtrend to demand.

volume now is saying either its a pullback to this uptrend, or the start of the downtrend. my sell is loaded and is in minor profit of ~5 pip range for now.
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #5,363
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:24am Oct 26, 2011 11:24am
You can see a strong resistance forming at 1.39. Macd has crossed zero and It could break back but for what?
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Lets do this...
  • #5,364
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:26am Oct 26, 2011 11:26am
Quoting jcminvest
You can see a strong resistance forming at 1.39. Macd has crossed zero and It could break back but for what?
volume is what we need now. right now there is no signal, volume is still normal and even.
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #5,365
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:27am Oct 26, 2011 11:27am
Quoting bumapatria
if current price's volume and action stays the same, im seeing begiinning of minor downtrend to demand.

volume now is saying either its a pullback to this uptrend, or the start of the downtrend. my sell is loaded and is in minor profit of ~5 pip range for now.
Mine too. And I hit the jackpot on oil. Oh, well, it would be a jackpot if I entered with 3 lots, with smaller leverage it is less amazing. But still I am quite happy. around 30 trades like that and I will be really happy
  • #5,366
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:28am Oct 26, 2011 11:28am
Quoting jcminvest
You can see a strong resistance forming at 1.39. Macd has crossed zero and It could break back but for what?
are you using PHilp's 4h macd strategy, buddy?
  • #5,367
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:29am Oct 26, 2011 11:29am
Quoting josechu
are you using PHilp's 4h macd strategy, buddy?

roger that, for about 6 years
Lets do this...
  • #5,368
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:29am Oct 26, 2011 11:29am
Quoting PipTrapper
probably 1.39 will hold

ADD: This is normal harmonics. It has to test the support turned resistance that it broke so violently.
That is something I need to keep in mind, the testing of the lines that got broken, in the event you find yourself in a bad trade and can at least try to recoup some of the losses of the retrace.
  • #5,369
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:31am Oct 26, 2011 11:31am
Lol, while Barrosso was walking around reporters, not willing to give a speech, one couldnt stand it and started to shout: "How can the rest of the world take you seriously when you cant do anything about austerity!" Hehe.

Btw, probably the most informative speech (except of austrian prime minister which was in german and i didnt understand), was by finnish prime minister Jyrki Katainen:

"Hopefully we can agree on the issues which relates to the firewall like recapitalization scheme and how to make EMSF more efficient. Those are the 2 most important things because we have to make sure that the other countries and the financial don't suffer before any particular reason"

T.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #5,370
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:33am Oct 26, 2011 11:33am
Quoting nyfx718
That is something I need to keep in mind, the testing of the lines that got broken, in the event you find yourself in a bad trade and can at least try to recoup some of the losses of the retrace.
Watch out, retesting broken S/R is... Well, not mandatory. It happens often, but it may not happen. (It sounded as you wanted to hold loser until you get a pullback).

Hmm, our dear PM said, that he insists that EZ matters should be discussed by all EU countries... I can understand his point, but this is not EUR positive, that there will be even more politicians to quarrel
  • #5,371
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:38am Oct 26, 2011 11:38am
Quoting Blobik
Mine too. And I hit the jackpot on oil. Oh, well, it would be a jackpot if I entered with 3 lots, with smaller leverage it is less amazing. But still I am quite happy. around 30 trades like that and I will be really happy
either you trade safe and be profit like that in long term, or be more risky and make easy fast money now.

jsut remember its zero-sum. either you win or lose. R/R of 4:1 and all that is bull-!@$!@#. its 1:1 you win or lose. you are right or wrong at the time of your trade.

if your target is 100 pips profit, you lose 100. you lose.

nice trades blob
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #5,372
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:42am Oct 26, 2011 11:42am
Quoting nyfx718
That is something I need to keep in mind, the testing of the lines that got broken, in the event you find yourself in a bad trade and can at least try to recoup some of the losses of the retrace.
Doesn't always happen, especially in a strong trend. You need to be able to cut a loser and move on to the next trade.
I don't care which way the market is going as long as it's going my way
  • #5,373
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:42am Oct 26, 2011 11:42am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader

Btw, probably the most informative speech (except of austrian prime minister which was in german and i didnt understand), was by finnish prime minister Jyrki Katainen

T.
He is a moron who drag finland to this same crises by BS:ing about greece to be able to handle it's debts while he was financial minister....
  • #5,374
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:44am Oct 26, 2011 11:44am
Quoting bumapatria
either you trade safe and be profit like that in long term, or be more risky and make easy fast money now.

jsut remember its zero-sum. either you win or lose. R/R of 4:1 and all that is bull-!@$!@#. its 1:1 you win or lose. you are right or wrong at the time of your trade.

if your target is 100 pips profit, you lose 100. you lose.

nice trades blob
Thanks. I prefer using mental stop... It sometimes gets buggy, but overall my trades with normal SL end worse than the ones without, that I babysit. Eventually i set sometimes SLs at BE, when I can't babysit any longer.
  • #5,375
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:46am Oct 26, 2011 11:46am
Am pretty sure BOJ is speaking
  • #5,376
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:50am Oct 26, 2011 11:50am
Quoting nyfx718
That is something I need to keep in mind, the testing of the lines that got broken, in the event you find yourself in a bad trade and can at least try to recoup some of the losses of the retrace.
Well the idea is to enter your trade after the retrace and not before it.
That way if it is only a retrace you don't go underwater, and if it is a reversal, your loss is less.

Example...

1. Price breaks downwards through 1.39 support to 1.38 and PA says it is possible reversal downwards. The high is 1.3950

2. Wait for price to come back up to either 61.8% retrace of the entire move (1.3950 to 1.38)

3. Sell with TP of 1/2 position at 1.38 and leave other half to decide later. Put stop loss above 1.3950.

4. If you lose, you only lose 50 pips

5. If you had sold at 1.38 then loss would be 150 pips.

.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #5,377
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:51am Oct 26, 2011 11:51am
What just happened, I just read through the euro draft. There is noting new in there why is the market rallying.
  • #5,378
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:51am Oct 26, 2011 11:51am
Quoting PipKiller
Doesn't always happen, especially in a strong trend. You need to be able to cut a loser and move on to the next trade.
disagree. and agree . there are pros and cons to this. it minimizes risk exposure, and protects ur profit even more. that i agree, and is great MM. disagree because, have been rescuing trades ever since, and overall "i dont lose". i might lose 100 pips here and some there, but at the end of the day i dont lose. he is right about rescuing a trade. most dont do this because of the increased risk exposure, but in the end of the day, are you going to profit or lose? thats the point. right now im rescuing my euro short minor loss (still open) with a gold long. if i see im losing on one side, i can profit on the other. contradictory positions are not always negative. +200 on gold, good to cover up running loss for euro short. the more capital space i also give for the risk of loss on it. so if done properly, rescues are important to rescue our soldiers, snipers, and scouts alike on the battlefield. its like our aid team. stop loss is nothing of an aid team. it stops your wound from bleeding thats what it is, but not all the time. i dont think stops would take effect on the japan tsunami if u went long on the yen, or if u shorted before the snb intervention. there is always a chance to get ur profit back. but it doesnt come without a catch of course.

its amazing for those who can hold and just lose. its not my style at all heeh... i respect people who can do things i cant..

its controversial
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #5,379
  • Oct 26, 2011 11:59am Oct 26, 2011 11:59am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Do not quit smokiing before big trade related events. I've eaten all cookies in a house and now I wander to fridge every 10 minutes. Only thing I get from this event is 10 pounds and thats not in currency
  • #5,380
  • Oct 26, 2011 12:00pm Oct 26, 2011 12:00pm
Nice pb on the 1 hr, but, I'm not taking it, 1 hr till close, and the Euros are talking after the close.
Yay! Pips for everyone!
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