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AUDNZD

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  • Post #61
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  • Oct 26, 2011 1:26am Oct 26, 2011 1:26am
  •  Geene
  • | Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Member | 715 Posts

It seems like the (perfect) opportunity to me.
Trader from Croatia
 
 
  • Post #62
  • Quote
  • Oct 26, 2011 2:10am Oct 26, 2011 2:10am
  •  ChipsnPips
  • | Joined Sep 2011 | Status: Broke Millionaire | 60 Posts
Quoting Geene
Disliked

It seems like the (perfect) opportunity to me.
Ignored
It seems you entered the trade prior to, and traded through the AUD CPI release. If it was posative news it would have gone against you? Unless you knew the results before the release wouldn't this trade be more like 50/50 gambling?

I too have just started watching the pair and was waiting for the 3185 level for a short. I still believe it may reach this level by end of the week/early next week.
just my 2c :-)
Enter Signature
 
 
  • Post #63
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  • Oct 26, 2011 4:27am Oct 26, 2011 4:27am
  •  Geene
  • | Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Member | 715 Posts
Quoting ChipsnPips
Disliked
It seems you entered the trade prior to, and traded through the AUD CPI release. If it was posative news it would have gone against you? Unless you knew the results before the release wouldn't this trade be more like 50/50 gambling?

I too have just started watching the pair and was waiting for the 3185 level for a short. I still believe it may reach this level by end of the week/early next week.
just my 2c :-)
Ignored
Quote
Disliked
It seems you entered the trade prior to, and traded through the AUD CPI release. If it was posative news it would have gone against you? Unless you knew the results before the release wouldn't this trade be more like 50/50 gambling?

No...no..
Trader from Croatia
 
 
  • Post #64
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  • Oct 26, 2011 4:30am Oct 26, 2011 4:30am
  •  uncleti88
  • | Joined Aug 2011 | Status: Member | 57 Posts
Spreads are bigger for these pair compared to some
 
 
  • Post #65
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  • Oct 26, 2011 4:42am Oct 26, 2011 4:42am
  •  Geene
  • | Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Member | 715 Posts
Quoting uncleti88
Disliked
Spreads are bigger for these pair compared to some
Ignored
It doesn't matter if you enter a sell limit order .
Trader from Croatia
 
 
  • Post #66
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  • Oct 26, 2011 4:51am Oct 26, 2011 4:51am
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Live and learn. | 20,635 Posts | Online Now
Quoting uncleti88
Disliked
Spreads are bigger for these pair compared to some
Ignored
5pip on Oanda. not a great choice to scalp but it trends well sometimes
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
  • Post #67
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  • Nov 17, 2011 12:43am Nov 17, 2011 12:43am
  •  DerekV
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 10 Posts
Wondering anyone still trading this pair?

This thread has been quite for sometimes.

Anyway, I took a trade, Short @ 3200 and stop 3285 with target @ 3035.

The trade is purely based on support/Resistance and price/momentum divergence.

So far the trade has gone according to plan and currently(5:40 London time) price at nippling at previous low, 1HR chart. If prices punch through the low (3145) then I expect the Double Top formation to play out with double top target around 3080.
 
 
  • Post #68
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2011 12:57am Nov 17, 2011 12:57am
  •  MTsnowrider
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 5 Posts
Quoting DerekV
Disliked
Wondering anyone still trading this pair?

This thread has been quite for sometimes.

Anyway, I took a trade, Short @ 3200 and stop 3285 with target @ 3035.

The trade is purely based on support/Resistance and price/momentum divergence.

So far the trade has gone according to plan and currently(5:40 London time) price at nippling at previous low, 1HR chart. If prices punch through the low (3145) then I expect the Double Top formation to play out with double top target around 3080.
Ignored
This thread seems to be a sleeper, but I frequently trade this pair with success. I agree with short term short @ 3200. Overall I think this pair is heading up, but not until after some correction down.
 
 
  • Post #69
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2011 5:09am Nov 17, 2011 5:09am
  •  DerekV
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 10 Posts
Quoting MTsnowrider
Disliked
This thread seems to be a sleeper, but I frequently trade this pair with success. I agree with short term short @ 3200. Overall I think this pair is heading up, but not until after some correction down.
Ignored
Thanx MTsnowrider. It is now fighting hard at around 3150. Need a decisive breakthrough (southward) from 3150 to head to 3100.

I have my finger X.
 
 
  • Post #70
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2011 7:58pm Nov 17, 2011 7:58pm
  •  Firstfx
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: Member | 15 Posts
Yea, the short at 1.3215 is golden right now. I shorted 5 times my normal position size with a stop at about 1.3315 (this was more like an emergency stop - true stop about 40 pips) - to make about 40 pips profit .

Also shorted three normal positions at about 1.3210 to 1.3215 three times for about 40 pip profit each.

Basically there are several items that are creating this temporary top at about 1.3225.

-61.8% fib related to 1.38 high to 1.23 low.
-Channel slope similar to prior two large runs - May 2009 to about Dec 2009
and April 2010 to March 2011 - funny but so far the increasing slopes match.
-Fairly large run up from about 1.2360 to current price with no real pull back yet.
-Past top/resistance at this area
-RSI daily near 70 (although this pair has gone higher in past)

Next resistance is farily high up on this pair at about 1.3518.
 
 
  • Post #71
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2011 1:11am Nov 18, 2011 1:11am
  •  MTsnowrider
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 5 Posts
Quoting Firstfx
Disliked
Yea, the short at 1.3215 is golden right now. I shorted 5 times my normal position size with a stop at about 1.3315 (this was more like an emergency stop - true stop about 40 pips) - to make about 40 pips profit .

Also shorted three normal positions at about 1.3210 to 1.3215 three times for about 40 pip profit each.

Basically there are several items that are creating this temporary top at about 1.3225.

[color=black][font=Verdana]-61.8%...
Ignored
Good technical analysis here! I took profit earlier this week on a longer term trade @ 1.3125 after nice ride up from 1.27. I've taken a few shorts on rallies to 1.3210 area this week. Still looking for more pullback before any break above 3225 area. Daily RSI is looking a bit high and probably needs some more unwinding. I love this pair for slow and steady pips. I made good profit during the previous large runs you mentioned. Eventually look to see a possible re-test of 1.38 highs from March. Of course this is Forex, and news can always send it down for a more significant correction.
 
 
  • Post #72
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2012 12:10pm Jan 5, 2012 12:10pm
  •  Mehrdadovic
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Number 10 | 74 Posts
MAYBE BAT :
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  • Post #73
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  • Jan 10, 2012 6:52pm Jan 10, 2012 6:52pm
  •  hornsant
  • | Joined May 2011 | Status: Member | 228 Posts
there seems to be room to go down to the 1.27 area.
 
 
  • Post #74
  • Quote
  • Jan 24, 2012 12:00am Jan 24, 2012 12:00am
  •  VanDemon
  • | Joined Aug 2011 | Status: Go with the flow | 53 Posts
just broke through 1.2957... next level 1.2945 then i'm in short.
"We demand rigidly defined areas of doubt and uncertainty." - Douglas Adams
 
 
  • Post #75
  • Quote
  • Mar 7, 2012 10:57am Mar 7, 2012 10:57am
  •  sniperfxmy
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 224 Posts
knock! knock!

anyway... short and aim for support zone hope by tomolo
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  • Post #76
  • Quote
  • May 23, 2012 2:31am May 23, 2012 2:31am
  •  Paulenok
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Bear | 1,009 Posts
Hi! Closed above, so I am long. 4H TF suggested me buying aswell, as we could see third bounce; now, having a confirmation, I feel pretty confident about this.
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  • Post #77
  • Quote
  • May 23, 2012 2:42am May 23, 2012 2:42am
  •  Paulenok
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Bear | 1,009 Posts
TP was hit, +100.

Resistance at 1.3015 seems crucial, be careful there.
 
 
  • Post #78
  • Quote
  • May 23, 2012 10:48am May 23, 2012 10:48am
  •  Paulenok
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Bear | 1,009 Posts
One must be patient now )
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  • Post #79
  • Quote
  • May 23, 2012 12:09pm May 23, 2012 12:09pm
  •  Paulenok
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Bear | 1,009 Posts
Short at 1.29921
 
 
  • Post #80
  • Quote
  • May 23, 2012 1:50pm May 23, 2012 1:50pm
  •  Paulenok
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Bear | 1,009 Posts
Ausie open gonna get us some more action, will keep eye on 1.29165.
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