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4 Hour Strategy (MACD)

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  • Post #24,721
  • Quote
  • Oct 26, 2011 12:28pm Oct 26, 2011 12:28pm
  •  mcglunt12
  • | Joined Feb 2010 | Status: Member | 7 Posts
Thank you Phil for all the work you have done with this strategy. I have been pouring over the form for the last month and feel like I have just scratched the surface. I will be reading through here for months to come so I can get a handle on the strategy.

Quoting Ivanes
Disliked
Hi! I'm entering at short position. Only by rules from Phil. Look at pic.
Ignored


I wouldn't call those rules from Phil myself.

You seem to be looking just at the double tops or tweezers on the candlesticks, but the MACD is showing more of a divergence that signals an eventual trend reversal. And as you can see today it has made that change.

The MACD signal is viable, but too rich for my blood. I'd follow Phil’s step in 20-30-50 for this one. And even at that it may be too much it'd be 100+ pips to SL if you put your SL at the first proceeding candle. Potentially it will run up to the 89 SMA which could give you 100+ pips so 1:1, but still to rich for my blood.

I'm playing on the US/JP myself with a long.

What I like about it: Showing divergence between price and MACD for the past couple of days. Broke new ground and showing oversold. I think the MACD is showing signal for a buy at this last move.

What I don't like: Broke new ground lower than before. Close to 21 SMA.

Because of the way the divergence was and the way the MACD was showing I went in a little early (breaking the rules) and am up a few pips for a safety. Goal is 89 and 200 SMA as they are on top of each other.
 
 
  • Post #24,722
  • Quote
  • Edited 10:56pm Oct 26, 2011 10:11pm | Edited 10:56pm
  •  Hookem28
  • | Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 438 Posts
Long USDJPY 75.99

Three wicks and I'm in.
Notice what happened after previous exhaustion candles.
Know this isn't based on the MACD, but I believe it's a high probability trade.
Entry was based on a 50 percent retrace of previous up move.
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  • Post #24,723
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  • Oct 27, 2011 11:28am Oct 27, 2011 11:28am
  •  Ivanes
  • | Joined Jan 2010 | Status: Member | 4 Posts
Hi. This is continuation USDCHF setup by 25.10. The price come back to the 21EMA and move down.
http://ozario.ru/links/usdchf_25.10.2011.gifhttp://ozario.ru/links/usdchf_27.10.2011.gif
 
 
  • Post #24,724
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  • Oct 27, 2011 8:01pm Oct 27, 2011 8:01pm
  •  Morelands
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 585 Posts
Here is a trade that I took last night. You can see by the blue rectangle (on the 4 hr chart) price was in a consolidation period. You can also see the hammer 2 candle before the one I entered that closed above the 21 MA (green). Price has found some pretty good support The yellow candle shows where I entered, it was a TC. The TC candle closed above the consolidation period indicating higher prices to come. The second chart (daily) shows where I exited. I did not think that price would go as high as it did today. I traded my plan, but with more experience I'll be better at letting these type of trades run.
For future trades...today's candle was large and blew though resistance at 1.407x. It would be a nice place to find support for future long trades. However, price may not even make it back that far.
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  • Post #24,725
  • Quote
  • Oct 27, 2011 10:27pm Oct 27, 2011 10:27pm
  •  Morelands
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 585 Posts
I mentioned in my previous post about a possible future trade. For anyone interested in what I'm looking for, go to youtube and look up sion smith. There are approx 38 videos in total and they are based on Phillip's system. One in particular is a guide as to what I'm looking for in the near future. (These videos are basically how I trade). The video date is Dec 18, '09 for 122 pips.
 
 
  • Post #24,726
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  • Oct 28, 2011 5:51am Oct 28, 2011 5:51am
  •  ydaudw
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Junior PA Trader | 282 Posts
Quoting Morelands
Disliked
Here is a trade that I took last night. You can see by the blue rectangle (on the 4 hr chart) price was in a consolidation period. You can also see the hammer 2 candle before the one I entered that closed above the 21 MA (green). Price has found some pretty good support The yellow candle shows where I entered, it was a TC. The TC candle closed above the consolidation period indicating higher prices to come. The second chart (daily) shows where I exited. I did not think that price would go as high as it did today. I traded my plan, but with...
Ignored
So sad, I'm not around when this happen ...
What a strong move.
 
 
  • Post #24,727
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  • Oct 29, 2011 4:50am Oct 29, 2011 4:50am
  •  Phillip Nel
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2006 | 2,223 Posts
Hope you got the move on Friday

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...06#post5083206
 
 
  • Post #24,728
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  • Nov 2, 2011 9:13pm Nov 2, 2011 9:13pm
  •  ydaudw
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Junior PA Trader | 282 Posts
2 Pinbar and TC

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  • Post #24,729
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  • Nov 2, 2011 9:21pm Nov 2, 2011 9:21pm
  •  ydaudw
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Junior PA Trader | 282 Posts


http://www.xtranormal.com/watch/12631896/finding-trades
 
 
  • Post #24,730
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  • Nov 2, 2011 9:36pm Nov 2, 2011 9:36pm
  •  Morelands
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 585 Posts
Quoting ydaudw
Disliked
2 Pinbar and TC

Attachment 822147
Ignored
Nice trade, I caught the same one. However your sell price was much better than mine. I was in around 5965 and exited at 5900. I'm currently in the EUR trade. I sold at 3708. I was late on my EUR TC (by 17 pips) b/c I wanted to exit my GBP trade 1st. My profit target is 3475.
 
 
  • Post #24,731
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  • Nov 2, 2011 10:20pm Nov 2, 2011 10:20pm
  •  ydaudw
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Junior PA Trader | 282 Posts
Quoting Morelands
Disliked
Nice trade, I caught the same one. However your sell price was much better than mine. I was in around 5965 and exited at 5900. I'm currently in the EUR trade. I sold at 3708. I was late on my EUR TC (by 17 pips) b/c I wanted to exit my GBP trade 1st. My profit target is 3475.
Ignored
Thanks Raymond.
I woke up late to catch the EU move same with you around 3700 but I didn't take it. My SL usually around 50, so I do not dare to take it.
 
 
  • Post #24,732
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  • Nov 3, 2011 12:00am Nov 3, 2011 12:00am
  •  cscheat
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Lets trade Gbp/Jpy !!! | 169 Posts
Quoting ydaudw
Disliked
Thanks Raymond.
I woke up late to catch the EU move same with you around 3700 but I didn't take it. My SL usually around 50, so I do not dare to take it.
Ignored
Hi ydaudw,

I'm new to this system.

i found that this system works best in EU & GU...

any advice for EU chart now? I'm now looking at it...

now MACD is at -0.0045...
Trading Forever !!!
 
 
  • Post #24,733
  • Quote
  • Nov 3, 2011 1:17am Nov 3, 2011 1:17am
  •  ydaudw
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Junior PA Trader | 282 Posts
Quoting cscheat
Disliked
Hi ydaudw,

I'm new to this system.

i found that this system works best in EU & GU...

any advice for EU chart now? I'm now looking at it...

now MACD is at -0.0045...
Ignored
Hi cscheat, go ahead throw your chart ...
I'm no expert here ... still learning here

Price will find nearest support around 3650, if not able to break it then we would see double bottom.
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If price able to break that support, we are looking to next weekly support there.
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  • Post #24,734
  • Quote
  • Nov 3, 2011 2:07am Nov 3, 2011 2:07am
  •  cscheat
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Lets trade Gbp/Jpy !!! | 169 Posts
hi bro,

tq for all advice !

so how long you had been using this strategy?

i think will go through the Lessons 1-13 first !
Trading Forever !!!
 
 
  • Post #24,735
  • Quote
  • Nov 3, 2011 3:19am Nov 3, 2011 3:19am
  •  ydaudw
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Junior PA Trader | 282 Posts
Quoting cscheat
Disliked
hi bro,

tq for all advice !

so how long you had been using this strategy?

i think will go through the Lessons 1-13 first !
Ignored
Few months ... yes, 13 lessons is a good start
Although I'm not even finish those lessons yet

I combine this method with other strategy that is how I finally understand the rhythm what Phillip talk about.
 
 
  • Post #24,736
  • Quote
  • Nov 3, 2011 5:02am Nov 3, 2011 5:02am
  •  Morelands
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 585 Posts
Quoting ydaudw
Disliked
Thanks Raymond.
I woke up late to catch the EU move same with you around 3700 but I didn't take it. My SL usually around 50, so I do not dare to take it.
Ignored
Just closed it for 25 pip loss
 
 
  • Post #24,737
  • Quote
  • Nov 4, 2011 3:07pm Nov 4, 2011 3:07pm
  •  Arrow
  • | Joined Sep 2010 | Status: Trading the Market Rhythm | 98 Posts
I am watching.
Own your own mind.
 
 
  • Post #24,738
  • Quote
  • Nov 9, 2011 3:37am Nov 9, 2011 3:37am
  •  ydaudw
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Junior PA Trader | 282 Posts
so quite .... where is everybody ...
ranging for few days ...

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  • Post #24,739
  • Quote
  • Nov 9, 2011 10:22am Nov 9, 2011 10:22am
  •  crazytfcjx
  • | Joined May 2011 | Status: Member | 4 Posts
Watch and learn (from Nortrom in DOTA)~~
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  • Post #24,740
  • Quote
  • Nov 9, 2011 7:33pm Nov 9, 2011 7:33pm
  •  cscheat
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Lets trade Gbp/Jpy !!! | 169 Posts
is it coming ?
Attached Image
Trading Forever !!!
 
 
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