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MT4: how to change "EURUSD" to "#EURUSD"? 3 replies

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  • Post #16,821
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  • Jul 30, 2008 3:49am Jul 30, 2008 3:49am
  •  rogerdoger
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 796 Posts
Quoting MTF Test
Disliked
EUR/USD: Market Suggests U.S Bad News Factored, We Have Doubts. London, July 30. Seems like we have been here so many times before you think the market would learn. There is clearly an air of optimism over the Dollar"s fate following yesterday"s rebound in U.S consumer confidence and the resulting rally in U.S stocks and all of a sudden the bad news emanating from the States has been fully factored. Granted the stars appear to be better aligned with oil coming clear off its record highs and fresh associated optimism over inflation. However, nobody wants to be the last to trade into a more sustained Dollar recovery and as such the positive vibes are now reverberating around the broader market to the point where potential bad news is being discounted. Note we still have U.S GDP and the labour report to come this week and the banking world remains as fragile as ever.
EUR/USD sank to 1.5555 last session having peaked at 1.5770 the day before. Early Wednesday price action suggests the market is not totally convinced of the Dollar"s newfound popularity and that Tuesday"s performance might bring a bout of consolidation at best or even a tentative recovery in the EUR today. We see risk of a gradual climb back to the 100-day MA line, today at 1.5665, but favour consolidation between 1.5560 and 1.5620.
Ignored
do you have a link to where you found this?
thanks
 
 
  • Post #16,822
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  • Jul 30, 2008 3:53am Jul 30, 2008 3:53am
  •  finian204rea
  • | Joined Jul 2008 | Status: Member | 148 Posts
i think the eur would move high by 9.00gmt after eur central bank chiefs speech on interest rate and i think it would boost the eur up to 1.5650.

im i write?
 
 
  • Post #16,823
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  • Jul 30, 2008 4:00am Jul 30, 2008 4:00am
  •  sol
  • | Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Member | 73 Posts
1.6 will be back no doubt about it.
Gravity always wins
 
 
  • Post #16,824
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 4:01am Jul 30, 2008 4:01am
  •  InterMarketA
  • | Joined Jul 2008 | Status: Member | 3 Posts
EUR/USD gave "Overly Bullish" signal yesterday 0.18, right after "Overly Bearish" 11.7 Put/Call reading on 07/28/08: Options traders have been united on the directional decisions for the past two days..
AUD/USD CONTINUED WITH STRONG BEARISH SENTIMENT FOR THE THIRD DAY IN A ROW (1.52). OPTIONS FOLKS CONTINUED TO BET ON THE AUSSIES FALL!
However, Gold and Oil are currently Oversold, ready for the rally!
US Yield Curve Sentiment signaled -0.75%, Bullish for USD (Curve Flattened).
 
 
  • Post #16,825
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  • Jul 30, 2008 4:05am Jul 30, 2008 4:05am
  •  cesare76fx
  • | Joined Oct 2007 | Status: Member | 551 Posts
Quoting finian204rea
Disliked
i think the eur would move high by 9.00gmt after eur central bank chiefs speech on interest rate and i think it would boost the eur up to 1.5650.

im i write?
Ignored
If we get a hawkish speech we might see more then 1.5650, by the way, are they planned to give a speech today??
I'm long again, will trail my stop and minimize risk because of the two main news from US.
 
 
  • Post #16,826
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  • Jul 30, 2008 4:36am Jul 30, 2008 4:36am
  •  Shadowfx
  • Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Pro FX-Trader | 488 Posts
Quoting finian204rea
Disliked
i think the eur would move high by 9.00gmt after eur central bank chiefs speech on interest rate and i think it would boost the eur up to 1.5650.

im i write?
Ignored
As far as I am aware there is no speech today, please share your source on this, we have EUR Consumer Confidence release at 9.00 (GMT)

Cheers
 
 
  • Post #16,827
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 4:56am Jul 30, 2008 4:56am
  •  fatguy
  • | Joined Jul 2008 | Status: Member | 14 Posts
BUY under 1,5615
Target min..1,5665....
 
 
  • Post #16,828
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 4:58am Jul 30, 2008 4:58am
  •  Shadowfx
  • Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Pro FX-Trader | 488 Posts
Morning..as expected a small retrace so far towards "comfort level" at 1.560, dont ask me why EUR always seems to try to find round numbers to stabilize on...

Today is a bit tricky, EUR consumer confidence news might spike it lower to max 1.556 or on positive news an attempt to reach daily pivot at 1.563.

DAX recovered, but is slowly dropping in the European session
Oil still low at 122.5, no signs of recovery
DJI seems to have regained confidence again and should proceed upwards today after opening bell

I expect no large movements till both US news items (NFP & Oil Inv) been released today

If positive ( I do agree 1.556 - 1.550 has very strong LTL's) the attempt will be made to break them in order to seek targets below 1.550

My forecast today:

Overall I'm still Bearish but on alert for a market sentiment switch after US News release.

Rangebound between 1.556 & 1.563 depending on EUR news
If market sentiment stays in place and US News is positive we might see another drop today testing lower 1.55 levels, possible entering 1.54.
Retrace scenario on negative news could see upwards break of 1.563

As always..Just my 2 cents...
 
 
  • Post #16,829
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 5:00am Jul 30, 2008 5:00am
  •  JgrB
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Mar 2008 | 242 Posts
Shorts take care

JP Morgan Analysts sees additional writedowns for some European banks:

UBS additional CHF8.4B writedown

DB additional €5.6B writedown

SG additional €3.0B writedown
 
 
  • Post #16,830
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 5:03am Jul 30, 2008 5:03am
  •  JgrB
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Mar 2008 | 242 Posts
Quoting JgrB
Disliked
Shorts take care

JP Morgan Analysts sees additional writedowns for some European banks:

UBS additional CHF8.4B writedown

DB additional €5.6B writedown

SG additional €3.0B writedown
Ignored
... but on the other hand:

Euro-Zone Jul Consumer Confidence Consensus -18. Consumer Confidence -20. Previous Jun -17.
 
 
  • Post #16,831
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 5:08am Jul 30, 2008 5:08am
  •  Jurrasic
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Live long and have fun :) | 1,386 Posts
Came right back up and seems to go higher, looks good.
On the path to Enrichment.
 
 
  • Post #16,832
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 5:09am Jul 30, 2008 5:09am
  •  txfx
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: € $ ¥ £ | 164 Posts
Quoting Shadowfx
Disliked
Morning... As always..Just my 2 cents...
Ignored
Nice post Shadow... is it any wonder why you have so many dedicated followers to your postings?! Very helpful.
 
 
  • Post #16,833
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 5:18am Jul 30, 2008 5:18am
  •  Shadowfx
  • Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Pro FX-Trader | 488 Posts
Quoting txfx
Disliked
Nice post Shadow... is it any wonder why you have so many dedicated followers to your postings?! Very helpful.
Ignored
Thank you

Update:

Eur News hardly any impact...but...DAX drops further..IMO rangebound has just become more narrow till US Open, float around 1.560 level
Further retrace attempt maybe to reach 1.563 for the scalpers..but if DAX keeps dropping we wont get there...

Just my 2 cents...
 
 
  • Post #16,834
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 5:20am Jul 30, 2008 5:20am
  •  finian204rea
  • | Joined Jul 2008 | Status: Member | 148 Posts
Quoting fatguy
Disliked
BUY under 1,5615
Target min..1,5665....
Ignored
how sure are you of this trade?
 
 
  • Post #16,835
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 5:28am Jul 30, 2008 5:28am
  •  Jurrasic
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Live long and have fun :) | 1,386 Posts
Considering the uptrend slowed down, I'm a bit less certain of the uptrend now. Nevertheless I have profit locked in from yesterday's lows except EJ but still overall profit and if it crushes down then 5540-5530 will probably be the low and a great buying area.
On the path to Enrichment.
 
 
  • Post #16,836
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 5:52am Jul 30, 2008 5:52am
  •  Jurrasic
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Live long and have fun :) | 1,386 Posts
ok, I'm out of all trades with small profit. I wouldn't be surprised if EU and GU make a new low now, though not anough to trade it. It should though provide great buying points.
On the path to Enrichment.
 
 
  • Post #16,837
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 6:03am Jul 30, 2008 6:03am
  •  cesare76fx
  • | Joined Oct 2007 | Status: Member | 551 Posts
My longs are closed. I have tried to get back in the trend for the past week and the $ has been getting stronger and stronger.
I'm short now, just following price action, I still believe we will see the uptrend again, but I'm now trading just what the charts are showing me and not what I think. I will trail my stop closely.
 
 
  • Post #16,838
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 6:12am Jul 30, 2008 6:12am
  •  Jurrasic
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Live long and have fun :) | 1,386 Posts
Decided to take just a small short as well, 20 pip sl right above 56 30 pip tp. Starting to look bad though.
On the path to Enrichment.
 
 
  • Post #16,839
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 6:16am Jul 30, 2008 6:16am
  •  finian204rea
  • | Joined Jul 2008 | Status: Member | 148 Posts
Quoting JgrB
Disliked
... but on the other hand:

Euro-Zone Jul Consumer Confidence Consensus -18. Consumer Confidence -20. Previous Jun -17.
Ignored
does this make the eu to go down or up?
 
 
  • Post #16,840
  • Quote
  • Jul 30, 2008 6:21am Jul 30, 2008 6:21am
  •  Shadowfx
  • Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Pro FX-Trader | 488 Posts
Quoting Jurrasic
Disliked
Decided to take just a small short as well, 20 pip sl right above 56 30 pip tp. Starting to look bad though.
Ignored
IMO...there is "room" to play for scalpers between 1.558 & 1.561 (L Short Term TL & H Short Term TL) till US Open and News to come later, nice wedge to scalp within.

Just my 2 cents...
 
 
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