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EURUSD

  • #1,116,001
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:06am Jun 13, 2017 3:06am
Thanks for stopping me out before all of this! Wow they are aholes!
  • #1,116,002
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:07am Jun 13, 2017 3:07am
Quoting sakisf
{quote} Nope, 50/50 as usual. I mostly fade the extremes based on historical info, when I get in the middle I get chopped like today. Still working on this thing, at least I get to watch numbers all day instead of hurting my eyes with charts which don't move
Nice, if is preventing hurting your eyes for
Keep it up, maybe you can adjust it in order to be able to make it at least 55%-45% !
GL!
Member
  • #1,116,003
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:12am Jun 13, 2017 3:12am
sell time
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.micM15.png Size: 42 KB
  • #1,116,004
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:14am Jun 13, 2017 3:14am
  •  dot0
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: I pity the fool that fails to laugh | 368 Posts
Quoting zarghami
sell time {image}
i feel it too
c'mon baby, daddy needs brand new clogs...
  • #1,116,005
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:16am Jun 13, 2017 3:16am
Quoting zarghami
sell time {image}
Far from it...
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #1,116,006
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:16am Jun 13, 2017 3:16am
  •  dot0
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: I pity the fool that fails to laugh | 368 Posts
ruma gone? c'mon ff, every thread needs a ruma
c'mon baby, daddy needs brand new clogs...
  • #1,116,007
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:17am Jun 13, 2017 3:17am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Went according to plan, now the bull party can begin on both EU and GU, GU has more room to the upside, so it will be probably more bullish tomorrow, since it couldn't break last week's low today...with 2700 being an easy target to break. I would like to see 2790 before FOMC. EU has troubles in the 1250-80 area, so lets see what happens, but we should definitely re-visit.
And 2700 done...some trades are just too easy...
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #1,116,008
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:19am Jun 13, 2017 3:19am
Quoting Connors
{quote} Told you, I sincerely think it will test & break new highs today. Bulls/Bears both want the same thing and believe me it is a good thing if it does before FOMC. Very nice technical PA.
Talking alone? lolo
Nice plan.
But... i don't really like 99.6% probability to hike tomorrow ...because market doesn't move as expected when big US monetary moves as a very sure thing.
Market likes surprises...

But won't jinx, man! Ok, up with the bulls and down with FOMC
Attached Image
Member
  • #1,116,009
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:20am Jun 13, 2017 3:20am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Nice, if is preventing hurting your eyes for Keep it up, maybe you can adjust it in order to be able to make it at least 55%-45% ! GL!
The good thing with baskets is that they are very forgiving in this range environment. Unless you get caught against a currency in its weakest (i.e. long gbp) or strongest (i.e. short nzd) phase - which you can avoid by taking a quick look at the chart of the base currency vs usd, most of the time the baskets range. So even if you enter in the middle of nowhere you will not have dd bigger than your max profit and vice versa, so you can just wait a few days max to get out with some profit or at be, provided the max dd of your current trades do not exceed your stop loss (like it happened with my cad longs yesterday minutes before cad went ). Maybe that's the 51%.
  • #1,116,010
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:41am Jun 13, 2017 3:41am
Quoting ryder950
{quote} nice ! how have you been doing this year?
Too early to count the chickens...
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #1,116,011
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:42am Jun 13, 2017 3:42am
Short from here. Targeting around 10 pips.

Edit: Out with 3 pips.
"Don't lose your cool, and you will fare well".
  • #1,116,012
  • Jun 13, 2017 3:56am Jun 13, 2017 3:56am
Quoting F.g
Yannitsa mate ....no oil [only olive oil ... ]
LOL
Is it trending ?
  • #1,116,013
  • Jun 13, 2017 4:07am Jun 13, 2017 4:07am
Quoting 1GoodTrade
Posted this chart 2h hours ago on my twitter feed. this is just a short-term view which should unfold until Wednesday when we have the Fed rate decision. {image} Regards, 1GoodTrade --------------------- Follow me on twitter: https://twitter.com/Daytrader213
EURUSD forecast update from yesterday.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: forex33.JPG Size: 72 KB


It was just a scalp trade. Here is the outcome:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: forex39.JPG Size: 73 KB



Regards,
1GoodTrade
---------------------
Follow me on twitter: https://twitter.com/Daytrader213
  • #1,116,014
  • Jun 13, 2017 4:11am Jun 13, 2017 4:11am
There is no point to short and hold into 1170 before FOMC...banks will kill all shorts first and then make it dump. Only scalping until tomorrow...then we will probably break 1170 and close below(at least thats how the PA is acting so far).

GU is more interresting for me currently, waiting for another drop to buy.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU.png Size: 87 KB
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #1,116,015
  • Jun 13, 2017 4:33am Jun 13, 2017 4:33am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Talking alone? lolo Nice plan. But... i don't really like 99.6% probability to hike tomorrow ...because market doesn't move as expected when big US monetary moves as a very sure thing. Market likes surprises... But won't jinx, man! Ok, up with the bulls and down with FOMC {image}
For me what a 99.6% probability of a rate hike means is that the rake hike is fully price in already and I see two scenarios:

1. Rate hike of 25(bps) as widely expected by the market and already fully priced in, then it will lead to a EUR/USD correction as the big boys want to take out some profit from the table.

2. Fed holds the interest rate hike taking the market by surprise, in this scenario the EUR/USD may rally up to 1.1373 or even up to 1.1460.

Traders start your engines!!
  • #1,116,016
  • Jun 13, 2017 4:39am Jun 13, 2017 4:39am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM30storm.png Size: 60 KB


So i entered a 2nd short at a better price, the plan is to obviously close out my first short +2 and let the better one ride, I however have my extra virgin olive oil should the market decide to anal me, need to cushion the hurt lmao
Read in between the price!!!
  • #1,116,017
  • Jun 13, 2017 4:40am Jun 13, 2017 4:40am
Quoting Jonstaples
{quote}
For me what a 99.6% probability of a rate hike means is that the rake hike is fully price in already and I see two scenarios:
1. Rate hike of 25(bps) as widely expected by the market and already fully priced in, then it will lead to a EUR/USD correction as the big boys want to take out some profit from the table.
2. Fed holds the interest rate hike taking the market by surprise, in this scenario the EUR/USD may rally up to 1.1373 or even up to 1.1460. Traders start your...
Perfect analyze! Xactly my thoughts! ...nothing to add.
Member
  • #1,116,018
  • Jun 13, 2017 4:46am Jun 13, 2017 4:46am
Quoting Jonstaples
{quote} For me what a 99.6% probability of a rate hike means is that the rake hike is fully price in already and I see two scenarios: 1. Rate hike of 25(bps) as widely expected by the market and already fully priced in, then it will lead to a EUR/USD correction as the big boys want to take out some profit from the table. 2. Fed holds the interest rate hike taking the market by surprise, in this scenario the EUR/USD may rally up to 1.1373 or even up to 1.1460. Traders start your engines!!
Number 2 is very very unlikely.
FED doesn't like to nor wants to shock the market. If the market was pricing in a hike which the FED where not planning on doing they would make statements leading up to the hike using language that would indicate they where not going to hike.
This would allow the markets to adjust without too much volatility and without upsetting their main clients.

I cannot remember what the threshold is but once it has been reached the FED has never not done what the market expects it to do.
Boxing clever since 76.
  • #1,116,019
  • Jun 13, 2017 4:51am Jun 13, 2017 4:51am
Quoting copi88
{quote} Number 2 is very very unlikely. FED doesn't like to nor wants to shock the market. If the market was pricing in a hike which the FED where not planning on doing they would make statements leading up to the hike using language that would indicate they where not going to hike. This would allow the markets to adjust without too much volatility and without upsetting their main clients. I cannot remember what the threshold is but once it has been reached the FED has never not done what the market expects it to do.
I hope they don't hike for ethical reasons, reminds me of the folly leading up to the 2008 crash, someone needs to speak some common sense into Yellen
Read in between the price!!!
  • #1,116,020
  • Jun 13, 2017 4:54am Jun 13, 2017 4:54am
missed granny Jenny!
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