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  • #1,114,621
  • Jun 5, 2017 11:48am Jun 5, 2017 11:48am
It looks to me that it is about to form kind of divergence on daily tf.
If daily closes below 1.1245 we may see at least 1.1175.

Trade smart
No username yet? You are on my ignore list. Fuck off and do not quote me!
  • #1,114,622
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:05pm Jun 5, 2017 12:05pm
Quoting Arnoud
{quote} sorry are you high? a black swan every 3 weeks ? you sure about that and if so please show me examples from the last 12 weeks that means 4 black swans on 1 instrument? it could be my interpretation of a black swan is wrong but up untill now I believed a black swan to be a total unexpected market collapse for some extreme reason. Thanks in advance.
hi, i am just replying to your question not going into an argument. no i am not high but soon i will be.
black swan examples for the last few weeks: any unpredictable event that went against technical analysis or known fundamentals for example: any donald drumpf tweet, boycutting qatar, exit from paris agreement, pop showing frown while drumpf laughing, weapon deal 400 billion dollars, very bad NFP, etc
why do i call these black swans? because they were unexpected, affected the markets in opposite ways conflicting with technicals or fundamental trend.

you dont need to see a 1500 pips down to call it black swan, that would be a mofu black BBS (big black swan)

these SBS (small black swans) will garantee that you remain unprofitable without having anything extreme
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #1,114,623
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:13pm Jun 5, 2017 12:13pm
hi all today trading has been successful.thanks to LEN timing strategy i got from investing.com gbpjpy forum.
  • #1,114,624
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:17pm Jun 5, 2017 12:17pm
Quoting micho
{quote} hi, i am just replying to your question not going into an argument. no i am not high but soon i will be. black swan examples for the last few weeks: any unpredictable event that went against technical analysis or known fundamentals for example: any donald drumpf tweet, boycutting qatar, exit from paris agreement, pop showing frown while drumpf laughing, weapon deal 400 billion dollars, very bad NFP, etc why do i call these black swans? because they were unexpected, affected the markets in opposite ways conflicting with technicals or fundamental...

Black Swan in my opinion is the reason for needing to use pretty SMALL LEVERAGE, a longer timeframe, fewer SL's etc. Because anything but SBS should not upset your original trend direction - also in my opinion.

I'd personally define an event like the SNB fiasco as a large black swan for a currency - and those happen VERY infrequently. You should have your account setup to take profits out periodically and to have it be able to withstand LARGE Black Swans without going fully bankrupt - and able to bounce back. But this could just be the way I work best.
  • #1,114,625
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:21pm Jun 5, 2017 12:21pm
Quoting micho
{quote} hi, i am just replying to your question not going into an argument. no i am not high but soon i will be. black swan examples for the last few weeks: any unpredictable event that went against technical analysis or known fundamentals for example: any donald drumpf tweet, boycutting qatar, exit from paris agreement, pop showing frown while drumpf laughing, weapon deal 400 billion dollars, very bad NFP, etc why do i call these black swans? because they were unexpected, affected the markets in opposite ways conflicting with technicals or fundamental...
Ok thanks for being so clear like that..

Have fun in your space and good trading results to you
Trade
  • #1,114,626
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:26pm Jun 5, 2017 12:26pm
Can someone explain it to me what da f...c is BLACK SWAN?

p.s Not the bird !!!
  • #1,114,627
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:27pm Jun 5, 2017 12:27pm
Quoting denisius
Can someone explain it to me what da f...c is BLACK SWAN? p.s Not the bird !!!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
  • #1,114,628
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:30pm Jun 5, 2017 12:30pm
Quoting denisius
Can someone explain it to me what da f...c is BLACK SWAN? p.s Not the bird !!!
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/blackswan.asp
The trader IS the holy grail.
  • #1,114,629
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:31pm Jun 5, 2017 12:31pm
Quoting dwe213
{quote} https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
Thanks tho! I guess I slept over that day when it was discussed in my philosophy class back in university!
  • #1,114,630
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:32pm Jun 5, 2017 12:32pm
Quoting yousername
{quote} I'm here to see how is everyone doing. I have some free time to read people downfall and success. I just scalped long EURO 10K lot, with $133K profit. Only 1 pip and i'm grateful for it. Enough to pay for my kid's college
You serious? Wish had that money.
  • #1,114,631
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:50pm Jun 5, 2017 12:50pm
The EUR/USD pair had a very positive session during the day on Friday, bouncing off of the 1.12 level and continuing to go much higher after that. The market looks as if it is going to continue a move higher as we closed at the very top of the range. When you look at the longer-term charts, we are consolidating between the 1.05 level on the bottom and the 1.15 level on the top. I think pullbacks continue to offer value, and we should continue to go towards the 1.15 level over the next several weeks. I have no interest in selling, I believe that the market continues to show bullish pressure over the longer term regardless, and with that I believe that the 1.1150 level is now going to offer a “floor” in what looks to be extreme strength.
if you my trade,My-post analysis, subscribed to ME
  • #1,114,632
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:55pm Jun 5, 2017 12:55pm
Ok question to all of you pros here. What is the difference between 10 orders of 0.1 volume or 1 with 1.0

i see a lot of you here opening 10-20-30 positions on same pare towards same direction with small sizes. And I never got that. I got 1-2 open trades per pair at the time with higher volume. Is it just personal style of trading or I don't know something?
  • #1,114,633
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:57pm Jun 5, 2017 12:57pm
Quoting denisius
Can someone explain it to me what da f...c is BLACK SWAN? p.s Not the bird !!!


its an unexpected event, usually swans are white but sometimes you will see black ones. when you see one, run for your life
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cover-blackswan.jpg Size: 253 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: FooledByRandomness-by-NassimTaleb.jpg Size: 188 KB
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #1,114,634
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:57pm Jun 5, 2017 12:57pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} You serious? Wish had that money.
that's only
$100,000/pip

at 1:50 leverage, he needs at least $22 mil in the account at the current rate

anybody has a bullshit radar? mine's broken...

j/k

good for him....
  • #1,114,635
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:58pm Jun 5, 2017 12:58pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} You serious? Wish had that money.
lol, made me smile too... and drool... and... laugh... and the same cycle again and again
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #1,114,636
  • Jun 5, 2017 1:00pm Jun 5, 2017 1:00pm
Quoting denisius
Ok question to all of you pros here. What is the difference between 10 orders of 0.1 volume or 1 with 1.0 i see a lot of you here opening 10-20-30 positions on same pare towards same direction with small sizes. And I never got that. I got 1-2 open trades per pair at the time with higher volume. Is it just personal style of trading or I don't know something?
10 orders of .1 can be better average entry, if it goes against you, or worst entry if it goes your way..
  • #1,114,637
  • Jun 5, 2017 1:04pm Jun 5, 2017 1:04pm
Quoting hilmy83
{quote} that's only $100,000/pip at 1:50 leverage, he needs at least $22 mil in the account at the current rate anybody has a bullshit radar? mine's broken... j/k good for him....
Image how he went broke. " 1 pip and you done!"
  • #1,114,638
  • Jun 5, 2017 1:19pm Jun 5, 2017 1:19pm
Quoting micho
{quote} lol, made me smile too... and drool... and... laugh... and the same cycle again and again
I do not find it even remotely funny .
  • #1,114,639
  • Jun 5, 2017 1:34pm Jun 5, 2017 1:34pm
Quoting yanitsa
{quote} I do not find it even remotely funny .

Why not ? If you have 22 mil on trading accounts then you ether very rich and spoiled kid or you very smart and I don't know what type of broker deal with that kind of accounts rather than hedge funds. My goal here 5 accounts by 100k . That's all I need.
  • #1,114,640
  • Jun 5, 2017 2:01pm Jun 5, 2017 2:01pm
Quoting hilmy83
{quote} that's only $100,000/pip at 1:50 leverage, he needs at least $22 mil in the account at the current rate anybody has a bullshit radar? mine's broken... j/k good for him....
Exactly , no way . This one needs verification or he will be mocked for the rest time he is here.
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