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  • #1,108,621
  • May 5, 2017 11:17pm May 5, 2017 11:17pm
Quoting Forexgain
Another weekend upside gap opening without filling previous gap. Is this thing ever happened in Forex market...? ( so far trading since 2010 & don't remember this sort of incidence in any major's) Curiously asking because just now went short EUR/USD at 1.0990 (10 Standard Lots) and looking to hold this position over weekend.
Turn off the scream, but still look forward to your next talk！
Cheers!
  • #1,108,622
  • May 5, 2017 11:20pm May 5, 2017 11:20pm
If tragedy happen and Macron win EURUSD might go to 1.1155 or so and if best happen to france by le pen's victory then market and EURUSD will crash: the bigger drop the better.
  • #1,108,623
  • May 5, 2017 11:30pm May 5, 2017 11:30pm
The world has already seen what happens when you make silly decisions like Trump and Brexit. My money is on Macron through the weekend. Let's hope euro blows its roof all the way to 1.13 by the end of the next quarter.
  • #1,108,624
  • May 6, 2017 1:34am May 6, 2017 1:34am
For the profit pls vote la pen i have bigger sell before close .... so bad
  • #1,108,625
  • May 6, 2017 1:54am May 6, 2017 1:54am
Quoting ruma29
If tragedy happen and Macron win EURUSD might go to 1.1155 or so and if best happen to france by le pen's victory then market and EURUSD will crash: the bigger drop the better.
It is funny you mentioned that number, I was looking at where it could gap to. It might trade higher say 50-70 pips above the open, but that should make it reverse real hard.

As for the vote, this is 2017, not 2016 when everything went beserk. The Euro Zone is doing good now, and I'm sure there are forces in play that would prevent a disaster from happening.
Extended time for voters is over.

There are three market maker levels above nearby, the highest is at 1.12537
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  • #1,108,626
  • May 6, 2017 3:33am May 6, 2017 3:33am
Quoting macdulio
{quote} It is funny you mentioned that number, I was looking at where it could gap to. It might trade higher say 50-70 pips above the open, but that should make it reverse real hard. As for the vote, this is 2017, not 2016 when everything went beserk. The Euro Zone is doing good now, and I'm sure there are forces in play that would prevent a disaster from happening. Extended time for voters is over. There are three market maker levels above nearby, the highest is at 1.12537 {image}
number came from weekly chart(no indictor involved) it is just 150-60 pips and market moves price nearly that much for less important things if they need /want...
merkel and gang and market should respond to election result not to create it...unfortunately they use fear in different form to shape voter's decision.
as I said it is about immigration as common factor for brexit, trump and le pen. french people knows better than many immigration side effects ...

who is going to win doesn't effect my life, french people will decide what matters for them, but i sincerely wish le pen to be next president.
  • #1,108,627
  • May 6, 2017 3:51am May 6, 2017 3:51am
this last day should serve as a lesson, a trader should only trade what is there....all the rest are only illusions fed by emotions...
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,108,628
  • May 6, 2017 4:09am May 6, 2017 4:09am
Looks like Macron has set up offshore companies and dodge IRS in France, press is in blackout during the weekend, if he wins Monday all hell will break lose in France when the documents start getting national media coverage. There will be huge hedging and selling pressure on Sunday due to this risk. Hope I am wrong.
  • #1,108,629
  • May 6, 2017 6:25am May 6, 2017 6:25am
Only a LePen win would cause all markets to correct and cover their gaps.. from Euro to Gold to Dax.

I almost feel i have watched this movie before ...well twice Brexit and Hillary Bull Runs..

Before elections... markets were so upbeat... then after election massive corrections..

In fact on US election week..markets gaped up... i told a buddy..
Quote
A gap up and people think Hillary will win? Naah bruh... Trump is winning!

This market is really expecting Macron to win ... if he does not win ... i assure you all gaps will be covered... i.e EU will crush , DAX will crush , Gold will spike like crazy

IMHO... this is one election event not to trade... best to be flat and trade the reaction..

This email leak will definitely shock the OTC market...

Lets wait for the price feed on Sunday we see..
practising coitus interruptus
  • #1,108,630
  • May 6, 2017 6:36am May 6, 2017 6:36am
I usually don't post but this is interesting. EU is at the end of there QE. Dragging can deny it for few more months but inflation has already caught up and they will act sooner or later. Macron email leaks nothing special in it. Happened over weekend so actually if Macron wins, the upside may be huge because it gives a resounding French people commitment to EU and that they are not worried about this hacks. Other thing is despite such massive leak, he still looks clean, which gives him a good character certificate. I see the euro going back up from here and this is a catalyst for up and not down. Their could be minor hiccups but trend I feel fundamentally will be up. Just see what happened to usd once they unwound the QE. Euro at huge discount because of QE, which is due to come off table sooner than later. Short term may be hiccup but long term huge upside.
Macron to win election.
  • #1,108,631
  • May 6, 2017 7:25am May 6, 2017 7:25am
Resistance still ahead...Long it more.
plenty pips to all
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Follow the Flow and Grow
  • #1,108,632
  • May 6, 2017 8:19am May 6, 2017 8:19am
Quoting FlowCycler
Resistance still ahead...Long it more. plenty pips to all {image}
If Emmanuel Macron wins the elections in France there'll be another big bullish gap. I didn't dare open a position though.
  • #1,108,633
  • May 6, 2017 8:26am May 6, 2017 8:26am
Might be an interesting read for you guys. Found this article regarding the French general elections.
http://www.marketfutures.co.uk/2017/...e-or-nonsense/


Agree with all the comments regarding markets expecting a Macron victory. Good luck to all longs should the unexpected happen
  • #1,108,634
  • May 6, 2017 8:42am May 6, 2017 8:42am
maybe macron will win and there will be a gap down because the market already has priced in his victory

could gap down because of profit taking
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #1,108,635
  • May 6, 2017 9:02am May 6, 2017 9:02am
The market will still go where it wants to regardless of who wins.I vote north! ,no business now for south.
Follow the Flow and Grow
  • #1,108,636
  • May 6, 2017 10:03am May 6, 2017 10:03am
Quoting MrPresident
maybe macron will win and there will be a gap down because the market already has priced in his victory could gap down because of profit taking
if there is profit taking from bulls it should be above 1.1 because much of cluster their buying is around 1.084 - 1.099 area,
however should there is a gap down on monday maybe it because crazy bears attacking, if so then the move down would be temporary because i would expect bulls to counter and at the end PA should come back to retest 1.1
  • #1,108,637
  • May 6, 2017 10:12am May 6, 2017 10:12am
Quoting MrPresident
maybe macron will win and there will be a gap down because the market already has priced in his victory could gap down because of profit taking
likely scenario
underlying fundamental weaknesses on Euro still present.French elections don't change it.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #1,108,638
  • May 6, 2017 10:30am May 6, 2017 10:30am
Going long...(500k) position size I highly believe EUR/USD will be bullish...but can never be to sure (45.8 pip stop loss)

Good luck Traders!!!!
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  • #1,108,639
  • May 6, 2017 11:50am May 6, 2017 11:50am
Quoting Davit
{quote} likely scenario underlying fundamental weaknesses on Euro still present.French elections don't change it.
True, and i think that Macaron win is already counted in EU price.
  • #1,108,640
  • May 6, 2017 12:19pm May 6, 2017 12:19pm
Monday possible big gap down
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