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AUD/USD

  • #101,241
  • Apr 13, 2017 8:45am Apr 13, 2017 8:45am
Hi all,

This forum ain't what it used to be.... just fights or people showing off...let's bring back former glory to it.

So i wanted feedback on the following. Thanks!

1) Trump jawboning is BS...how long can it last? I remember the RBA doing the same back in '11 through to '14 was useless...can he really do anything except twitting?
2) Iron ore slumped, crashed, is lying on the floor almost dead...AUD did what? went up 120 pips from the low just a day ago.... any explanations here?
3) Employment in Aussie land is great! Good on ya guys, I left the country unfortunately year ago. NOW, how is that good or thaaaaaat good for the currency? Honestly? What is the economic fundamental behind this? Is there such a direct correlation btw currency and employment?

Cheers!
  • #101,242
  • Apr 13, 2017 10:31am Apr 13, 2017 10:31am
Quoting thewriter30
Hi all, Is there such a direct correlation btw currency and employment? Cheers!
I advise you go back to learning stage, then you'll know there is correlation or not
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: -5.8%
  • #101,243
  • Apr 13, 2017 10:41am Apr 13, 2017 10:41am
Quoting 9jatrader
{quote} I advise you go back to learning stage, then you'll know there is correlation or not
Sarcastic useless comment.
  • #101,244
  • Apr 13, 2017 10:52am Apr 13, 2017 10:52am
Quoting thewriter30
{quote} Sarcastic useless comment.
I did not make any bad comment, just advise. Go back to babypips and start, then you will know how employment, GDP,oil, Gold,CPI, interest rate, politics have to do with Forex. I felt that if you don't know how fundamentals play roles in Forex, you should start again- not bad advice.
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: -5.8%
  • #101,245
  • Apr 13, 2017 10:59am Apr 13, 2017 10:59am
Quoting thewriter30
Hi all, This forum ain't what it used to be.... just fights or people showing off...let's bring back former glory to it. So i wanted feedback on the following. Thanks! 1) Trump jawboning is BS...how long can it last? I remember the RBA doing the same back in '11 through to '14 was useless...can he really do anything except twitting? 2) Iron ore slumped, crashed, is lying on the floor almost dead...AUD did what? went up 120 pips from the low just a day ago.... any explanations here? 3) Employment in Aussie land is great! Good on ya guys, I left the...

AUD is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.
Buy at the Low, Sell at the High You make money by waiting not by trading.
  • #101,246
  • Apr 13, 2017 11:18am Apr 13, 2017 11:18am
Quoting thewriter30
Hi all, This forum ain't what it used to be.... just fights or people showing off...let's bring back former glory to it. So i wanted feedback on the following. Thanks! 1) Trump jawboning is BS...how long can it last? I remember the RBA doing the same back in '11 through to '14 was useless...can he really do anything except twitting? 2) Iron ore slumped, crashed, is lying on the floor almost dead...AUD did what? went up 120 pips from the low just a day ago.... any explanations here? 3) Employment in Aussie land is great! Good on ya guys, I left the...

Hi! I suggest you visit the thread "fundamental trading" by sis.yphus here in forexfactory, it will answer most of your questions. And also I suggest that in your vacant time, you read the book "The Economics of Money, Banking and Financial Markets" by Frederic S. Mishkin, it will give you valuable insights on how financial market works. Cheers!
  • #101,247
  • Apr 14, 2017 9:50am Apr 14, 2017 9:50am
AUDUSD under 4hr chart is stuck inside the Ichimuko cloud with room to drop to 0.7535 and capped at 0.75985 by 200MA.
  • #101,248
  • Apr 15, 2017 7:33pm Apr 15, 2017 7:33pm
friday data was bad i think this will down near 30 pip down then up for 0.7600+
  • #101,249
  • Apr 16, 2017 8:55pm Apr 16, 2017 8:55pm
Quoting Mehiq
friday data was bad i think this will down near 30 pip down then up for 0.7600+
Looking to go long until 0.7640.
Around there, we should see some US data.
If it's good, then 0.7640 area becomes resistance.
This is not investment/trading advise. Will not hold accountable for loss
  • #101,250
  • Apr 16, 2017 8:57pm Apr 16, 2017 8:57pm
Quoting solsys
AUDUSD under 4hr chart is stuck inside the Ichimuko cloud with room to drop to 0.7535 and capped at 0.75985 by 200MA.
I was looking at that target as well.
But there's a tremendous support in the cloud and that long candlestick with short wick.
I'm thinking to go long for a while until 0.7640 area +/-10 pips.
This is not investment/trading advise. Will not hold accountable for loss
  • #101,251
  • Apr 16, 2017 9:00pm Apr 16, 2017 9:00pm
Quoting thewriter30
Hi all, This forum ain't what it used to be.... just fights or people showing off...let's bring back former glory to it. So i wanted feedback on the following. Thanks! 1) Trump jawboning is BS...how long can it last? I remember the RBA doing the same back in '11 through to '14 was useless...can he really do anything except twitting? 2) Iron ore slumped, crashed, is lying on the floor almost dead...AUD did what? went up 120 pips from the low just a day ago.... any explanations here? 3) Employment in Aussie land is great! Good on ya guys, I left the...
I agree with you!

1 and 2, you can make up any reason on it. That is why we have good businesses in market reasearch to justify/find alibi on the recent movement.

3. Now that is good. That could be a strong support for the upside move.

Good luck mate.
This is not investment/trading advise. Will not hold accountable for loss
  • #101,252
  • Apr 17, 2017 7:28am Apr 17, 2017 7:28am
Quoting yousername
{quote} I agree with you! 1 and 2, you can make up any reason on it. That is why we have good businesses in market reasearch to justify/find alibi on the recent movement. 3. Now that is good. That could be a strong support for the upside move. Good luck mate.
Thanks an useful comment. For those condescending guy telling me to go back to baby pips and such.. .well thanks but you are missing the point.

I know what i know and in 10 years reading more BS about what could maybe casually hopefully explain an up or down move won't help.

If it was about reading you all be rich you know it all and you ain't

Let me tell you how the market works;

The markets is a contrarian bitch. It will do anything to fck you up. Think of the latest down move. First it did all in its power to hit ad many stop losses as possible. Then and only then it went down.

It is a lottery really except for certain hard to find moments were it actually does what is supposed to and if you are in you make money.

For all newbies out there listen carefully. There is always a seamlessly satisfactory explanation of why something went up or down. Bullshit that helps nothing. Next time you will not be able to make money out of the same explanation believe me.

So cutting to the chase and seeing what is actually happening regardless of all BS news

AUD couldn't break MID 0.77 and each time it bounced and went down pretty hard whichis usually what happens when priced lose steam

When going down every body jumped in to go short using the motto "I told you AUD is going down " which I have been hearing since 2011. Then the bitch said "really?" And went all the way up enough to destroy any position with a stop loss...which i don't use by the way
  • #101,253
  • Apr 17, 2017 7:42am Apr 17, 2017 7:42am
Quoting thewriter30
{quote} Thanks an useful comment. For those condescending guy telling me to go back to baby pips and such.. .well thanks but you are missing the point. I know what i know and in 10 years reading more BS y
So continuing previous post.. .

The next move is down except of course a Real Game Changing Piece of News changes things...and that news IS NOT BLODY AUD EMPLOYMENT going up. Is much more than that. Not sure if am clear on this. Real movers are to me iron ore for instance. That is significant to AUD and it is plummeting...yet it goes up. Go figure

So today or at 0.76 or as some say at 0.7640 it will resume down if no game changer materialized. You can't tell when and this is the other issue. Fibonacci etc to me are all BS . They work 50% of the time and I am being generous. Maybe they work better in daily timeframes...

Point is when it will go short you need to be in BEFORE the move happens because it is too fast to catch ehrn it does. It always is. Remember market is a bitch. It won't give you the chance to enter smoothly. So you take a risk. And the risk is when do you enter? Of course in this example the higher the better but nobody knows when it will turn. Nobody
The stop losses will kill you so the only way to make money in the market is having a lot of money yourself to ride the high dangerous waves against you

If you have little money you got to use micro orders really....yeah I know some guys will tell you they made 100000 out of a 10000 account... And even though they are geniuses they want you to pay them 2000 bucks to teach you how they did it... ridiculous

Let's talk again in 2 weeks. Today AUD is almost 0.76. If no game changer it will go back down.

Which are game changer?

1. Rare hikes slow down but real facts on this not speculations....and guess what most of the time it is all speculation so it is very hard to know

2. Iron ore reversing. For instance iron required to build weapons because ww3 started

3. Unexpected shit such as 3 or four months of really bad us data
  • #101,254
  • Apr 17, 2017 8:17am Apr 17, 2017 8:17am
pending short from 0.7630 area
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #101,255
  • Apr 17, 2017 9:17am Apr 17, 2017 9:17am
If only we always quote our TF each time we post referring to any level- s/r. It would be better
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: -5.8%
  • #101,256
  • Apr 17, 2017 9:20am Apr 17, 2017 9:20am
A particular level in one time frame could be so risky in another TF. Just advice please
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: -5.8%
  • #101,257
  • Apr 17, 2017 9:25am Apr 17, 2017 9:25am
Quoting 9jatrader
A particular level in one time frame could be so risky in another TF. Just advice please
yea, i'm on the daily chart and i never look at the lower time frames
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #101,258
  • Apr 17, 2017 9:29am Apr 17, 2017 9:29am
Quoting MrPresident
{quote} yea, i'm on the daily chart and i never look at the lower time frames
Great. If others can follow the steps by quoting TF always
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: -5.8%
  • #101,259
  • Apr 17, 2017 9:31am Apr 17, 2017 9:31am
I have been in short position since 2nd March. I often use the weekly candle for SL, otherwise I would have been out
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: -5.8%
  • #101,260
  • Apr 17, 2017 9:33am Apr 17, 2017 9:33am
That is the reason when you are too picky with SL and having too tight SL is like having no SL
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: -5.8%
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