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Trading Made Simple

  • #78,821
  • Apr 11, 2017 1:44pm Apr 11, 2017 1:44pm
Quoting Botan626
Some words I want to say. {quote} That's right, Big E opened this thread, he set the rules, but he passed away. The warship without a captain is a tin, floundering around. This thread is in such state, and will never be recovered. {quote} In your home you are the boss, the point is that the home has the boss, who can set any rules he wants and who protects it. This thread lost his owner. Opening a new thread is not an act of capitulation or escape. {quote} What makes you think he will do it in the next several years? {quote} People of his kind understand...
Your idea is not bad.... all this "new tms" thread needs is a policemen. and someone to post the first valuable 700 posts there...

and then to notify people about this thread move. in here regularly.. until they participate there.. those who want to stay here will remain here as they wish.
It's in fear when people show what they truly value.
  • #78,822
  • Apr 11, 2017 3:12pm Apr 11, 2017 3:12pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} {quote} Here my test results on the Daily charts fore the 8 pairs. Entry using the Price Action close above the PAC and using the TDI in the Moderate mode. Exit when the Ha candle close in change of colour. Entry conditions Scalping - Long = Green over Red, Short = Red over Green Active Long = Green over Red & Yellow lines Short = Red over Green & Yellow lines Moderate Long = Green over Red, Yellow, & 50 lines Short= Red over Green, Green below Yellow & 50 line Test data from Dec 2008 till March 2017. Only use Single Entry / Single Exit....
Dear Emmanuel,

I backtested gbpusd from September 2002 until now and the result is positiv.
I used oanda candles, which are 6 per week, I think.

The up spikes in my chart are wins, the down spikes are loosers.
One can see, that the up Spikes are longer than the down Spikes.

My rules:

Buy, when green > red and green > yellow and APB Close > pac and yellow > 50. Sell is analogue.

Exit, when APB changes colour.

The second Chart is the Summation of the trades in currency value.

Best regards from munich.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpusd1.png Size: 39 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdgpb2.PNG Size: 23 KB
  • #78,823
  • Apr 11, 2017 3:37pm Apr 11, 2017 3:37pm
audjpy
audusd
usdjpy

I did not use spread. Buy, sell and Exit is done with open ask. No stop is used.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: audusd.PNG Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy.PNG Size: 68 KB
  • #78,824
  • Apr 11, 2017 3:44pm Apr 11, 2017 3:44pm
Summation of audjpy trades in jpy. Who can handle the draw down since august 2013?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audjpy1.PNG Size: 34 KB
  • #78,825
  • Apr 11, 2017 3:51pm Apr 11, 2017 3:51pm
Quoting ensale
{quote} Your idea is not bad.... all this "new tms" thread needs is a policemen. and someone to post the first valuable 700 posts there... and then to notify people about this thread move. in here regularly.. until they participate there.. those who want to stay here will remain here as they wish.
Stop the chearleader pompom waving stuff and man up and post a TMS trade instead of making out you know how TMS works.
Never argue with a fool; onlookers may not be able to tell the difference.
  • #78,826
  • Apr 11, 2017 3:51pm Apr 11, 2017 3:51pm
Quoting zMinga
Summation of audjpy trades in jpy. Who can handle the draw down since august 2013? {image}
Can't tell what this drawdown means? what is it measured in?
It's in fear when people show what they truly value.
  • #78,827
  • Apr 11, 2017 3:55pm Apr 11, 2017 3:55pm
I´m short two positions GBPCAD daily.
Looks not good. Will decide tommorow, what to do.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpcad.PNG Size: 48 KB
  • #78,828
  • Apr 11, 2017 3:58pm Apr 11, 2017 3:58pm
Quoting Scrambleguy
{quote} Excellent your a star thank you. I'll owe you a bottle of merlot!
Isn't that classed as being commercial
Never argue with a fool; onlookers may not be able to tell the difference.
  • #78,829
  • Apr 11, 2017 4:01pm Apr 11, 2017 4:01pm
Quoting ensale
{quote} Can't tell what this drawdown means? what is it measured in?
it is Yen. The Summation of wins in Yen.
  • #78,830
  • Apr 11, 2017 4:58pm Apr 11, 2017 4:58pm
Quoting zMinga
Summation of audjpy trades in jpy. Who can handle the draw down since august 2013? {image}

With TMS 5-Method ME/ME money management strategy, that drawdown won't happen.
There is dynamic cut-loss which is the first level protection of trading capital
The 2nd level protection is the Equity Protection.
The worst case scenario is POSL to protect our trading capital against event like Jan 15, 2015.
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #78,831
  • Apr 11, 2017 5:00pm Apr 11, 2017 5:00pm
Quoting zMinga
Im short two positions GBPCAD daily. Looks not good. Will decide tommorow, what to do. {image}

just follow your trade plan and you will be fine.
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #78,832
  • Apr 11, 2017 5:36pm Apr 11, 2017 5:36pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
XAUUSD Week 07 For those who believe in market harmonics stuff, what do you think of this XABCD and completion of the AB=CD leg? is there a time duration for the CD leg or just test your patience? {image}

Here is an update to that Week 07 XABCD stuff.
It took 8 weeks to complete the CD leg and it was not one single big wave. It went sideways with several waves, swing high - swing low. How many candles average per swing?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAUUSD Week 15 Apr 11.png Size: 71 KB
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #78,833
  • Apr 11, 2017 6:16pm Apr 11, 2017 6:16pm
Quoting farhad10
{quote} I think no one should public the TE because it may harm the performance due to stress. So Emmanuel; I recommend to hide it just for your self . ( it's better ) Regards

Hi Farhad,

You got a point. Thanks.

I will cope with whatever stress that come my way. I do perform better under stress, its unusual but true.
It is all a part of my Peak Performance training to develop my mental strategies and knowing when and how to avoid self sabotage.
Trading success has a big part in the trader's mind. It starts find and having bliss. Every trader must go through that stage of transformation in their life.

Kind regards,
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #78,834
  • Apr 11, 2017 6:27pm Apr 11, 2017 6:27pm
Quoting zMinga
{quote} Dear Emmanuel, I backtested gbpusd from September 2002 until now and the result is positiv. I used oanda candles, which are 6 per week, I think. The up spikes in my chart are wins, the down spikes are loosers. One can see, that the up Spikes are longer than the down Spikes. My rules: Buy, when green > red and green > yellow and APB Close > pac and yellow > 50. Sell is analogue. Exit, when APB changes colour. The second Chart is the Summation of the trades in currency value. Best regards from munich. {image} {image}

Hi zMinga

Thanks for sharing your test results.

You are right, Oanda has the New York open Sunday candle so there are 6 D1 candles per week.

The trade count ( the number of trades) in your tests are quite the same as mine. So far this is one important back-test data we need to know and use this data to develop our trading system for D1 chart trading.
To develop a trading system we need other data from our back-test using historical data. We can discuss this in our system development which I have plan in our new thread. Lots of stuff to build up the new thread content.

Kind regards,
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #78,835
  • Apr 11, 2017 7:11pm Apr 11, 2017 7:11pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} With TMS 5-Method ME/ME money management strategy, that drawdown won't happen. There is dynamic cut-loss which is the first level protection of trading capital The 2nd level protection is the Equity Protection. The worst case scenario is POSL to protect our trading capital against event like Jan 15, 2015.
Hi emmanuel,

Would you mind explaining a bit more about this? I mean the dynamic cut-loss, and equity protection. To what extent and how would that prevent the drawdown?

I did similar backtest. I think the result is contingent on whether one get that 1 or 2 "runs" with massive pips. Without that 1 or 2 runs, the profit of the strategy would be just around breakeven.
And it seems to me that it's important to distinguish the ranging market condition, as that's when the majority of the losses happen, which I am still working on.

Also I use a statetograph.mql script and statement.txt to plot trades in your trade explorer onto MT4 chart, would you mind if I put it here to make it easier for people to see your trades?
  • #78,836
  • Apr 11, 2017 7:48pm Apr 11, 2017 7:48pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
Trading the day chart and trading only once a day, what is the test results using the past 10 years data? GBPUSD back-testing using 2530 price bars I have in my MT4 history. using the TDI Moderate entry with PAC and HA candle change colour for exit. {image}
The claim is 22,300 pips profit, pips. As an example, the trade entered 2/27 shows a result of 1616 pts, points. Also know as pipettes. A pipette is 1/10th of a pip. The result of the trade was a win of 161.6 pips. ...Therefore 22,300 pipettes equals 2,230 pips. Over the span of 10 years equals 223 PIPS/year, or 223/12, 18.58 PIPS/month.
Vincit qui se vincit.
  • #78,837
  • Apr 11, 2017 7:51pm Apr 11, 2017 7:51pm
Quoting michael_k
Hi v2vboni, {quote} I am trading D1 so obviously my trades are taken in a much "slower" mode compared to someone trading M15 for example. It would be exceptionally stupid taking a trade just be to be able to post something on an internet forum, don't you think? Anyway, I am still holding my AUDUSD trade (https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...92#post9735592). I will be probably closing it end of today / early tomorrow, it looks like it is getting stalled.

yes, I agree... you'll look totally so very stupid to do such ; )- but good to know that you posted once in a while....

by the way, it seems AUDUSD is on a MACD bullish divergence at the moment.
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #78,838
  • Edited 8:20pm Apr 11, 2017 8:05pm | Edited 8:20pm
Quoting v2vboni
GU | Long | foreseen a TDI bounce via Multi TF analysis and a little help with TMS Angleator {image}
update only....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Image2.png Size: 30 KB


...on D1 ---on a tail end of bearish exhaustion, and TDI crossings (reversal sign) action may continue to build up more momentum... with 5 EMA - HA PA. Otherwise, I'll just let the market filled my BE-SL +pips

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Image1.png Size: 33 KB
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #78,839
  • Apr 11, 2017 8:19pm Apr 11, 2017 8:19pm
Quoting antonym
{quote} Hi emmanuel, Would you mind explaining a bit more about this? I mean the dynamic cut-loss, and equity protection. To what extent and how would that prevent the drawdown? I did similar backtest. I think the result is contingent on whether one get that 1 or 2 "runs" with massive pips. Without that 1 or 2 runs, the profit of the strategy would be just around breakeven. And it seems to me that it's important to distinguish the ranging market condition, as that's when the majority of the losses happen, which I am still working on. Also I use...

Hi antonym,

The reason why I did not want to use TE and show TE in FF is because this is a public forum. We do not know what other people will use this information for and we do not have any control.

Please do not use those tools you mentioned on on my TE data.

If members here want to see my trade details, they can ask and I will show them myself.
My trades are for FF members only and not all people in general which is seen here in public.

Thank you.
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #78,840
  • Apr 11, 2017 8:27pm Apr 11, 2017 8:27pm
Quoting Pippopotamus
{quote} The claim is 22,300 pips profit, pips. As an example, the trade entered 2/27 shows a result of 1616 pts, points. Also know as pipettes. A pipette is 1/10th of a pip. The result of the trade was a win of 161.6 pips. ...Therefore 22,300 pipettes equals 2,230 pips. Over the span of 10 years equals 223 PIPS/year, or 223/12, 18.58 PIPS/month.

I see what you mean.
The system tester I use will show each trade entry to exit in points.
But in the overall test periods, it will show the overall trades nett in pips.

I did mention that the test period was Dec 2008 till March 2017 and trade trades were based on Day chart timeframe.

If the overall nett results was in total pippettes 32,323 then I would not be trading forex for 10 years just for 3232.3 pips profit. There are other instruments which yield better results. My properties rental yield is 6% to 7% per annum as passive income and very low risk and with capital appreciation.
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
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