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  • #1,102,081
  • Apr 5, 2017 6:48pm Apr 5, 2017 6:48pm
Quoting oztrader79
{quote} Not necessarily, looks like a base may be forming for a move up.
At the current price, it seems more probable to go to 10652 before 10710 before nfp, even if after NFP it rallies to 108, I think after a strong nfp it will touch 10635 to 106 the most and really can bounce there, as the last two months adp around to 50% higher, nfp will come at least 10% higher than consensus, probably around to 20%, analyzing last months behavior. It improbably will go higher before nfp friday, is what I think right now, good night
  • #1,102,082
  • Apr 5, 2017 6:51pm Apr 5, 2017 6:51pm
Quoting digger1
trying damn hard to hold that quarterly open level ,,,,,,,4 hour view ,,,,,cheers {image}
I enjoy seeing your posts with charts.
For whatever it's worth...
Just for point of reference.
/cheers
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  • #1,102,083
  • Apr 5, 2017 6:55pm Apr 5, 2017 6:55pm
Quoting renanvito
{quote} At the current price, it seems more probable to go to 10652 before 10710 before nfp, even if after NFP it rallies to 108, I think after a strong nfp it will touch 10635 to 106 the most and really can bounce there, as the last two months adp around to 50% higher, nfp will come at least 10% higher than consensus, probably around to 20%, analyzing last months behavior. It improbably will go higher before nfp friday, is what I think right now, good night
Yes def agree with that analysis, my thinking too. When you posted the daily chart saying it looked bearish, I thought you meant another significant leg down (below 1.06).
  • #1,102,084
  • Apr 5, 2017 6:56pm Apr 5, 2017 6:56pm
Quoting pkimnyc
{quote} I enjoy seeing your posts with charts. For whatever it's worth... Just for point of reference. /cheers {image}
yep good chart, nice and clean.
  • #1,102,085
  • Apr 5, 2017 7:29pm Apr 5, 2017 7:29pm
Quoting renanvito
{quote} At the current price, it seems more probable to go to 10652 before 10710 before nfp, even if after NFP it rallies to 108, I think after a strong nfp it will touch 10635 to 106 the most and really can bounce there, as the last two months adp around to 50% higher, nfp will come at least 10% higher than consensus, probably around to 20%, analyzing last months behavior. It improbably will go higher before nfp friday, is what I think right now, good night
What our rational minds think is probable may not be how the market interprets things ,,,,,,,,,,, daily chart the little orange circle in the big green circle from last quarters open was the last fomc meeting,,,,,, ,, you know the one where they raised interest rates and the eur was going to drop like a stone ,,,,,,,,, it didnt ,,,,,it was gonna drop at every level possible all the way up to 200sma on the daily ,,,,,,,,currently its fought like heck to keep the quarterly open ,,,,,,the patterns on smaller timeframe chart are not bearish patterns ,,,,I dont see the daily as bearish atm either ,,,,,above the open,,,,,,,, bullish patterns the last 2 days unless somebody besides retailers steps in and sells enough to negate those patterns its working on going up,,,,,,,,time will tell, just pointing what we think is probable may not be to the market ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,see whats on your charts,,,,,,,,, not what you want the chart to show you ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,cost me a lot of money to learn that lesson, cheers,,,, one more freebie lol,,,,,,I trust a double top or bottom a 3rd one not so much
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  • #1,102,086
  • Apr 5, 2017 7:35pm Apr 5, 2017 7:35pm
Quoting pkimnyc
{quote} I enjoy seeing your posts with charts. For whatever it's worth... Just for point of reference. /cheers {image}
Thank you,,,means a lot from someone that has been around a while and seen many come and go.
  • #1,102,087
  • Apr 5, 2017 9:09pm Apr 5, 2017 9:09pm
Quoting renanvito
{quote} At the current price, it seems more probable to go to 10652 before 10710 before nfp, even if after NFP it rallies to 108, I think after a strong nfp it will touch 10635 to 106 the most and really can bounce there, as the last two months adp around to 50% higher, nfp will come at least 10% higher than consensus, probably around to 20%, analyzing last months behavior. It improbably will go higher before nfp friday, is what I think right now, good night
good analysis
  • #1,102,088
  • Apr 5, 2017 9:38pm Apr 5, 2017 9:38pm
Quoting reggiecjh
{quote} {image} Still holding on to the shorts. Not done yet
Hi all. Remember me? I'm back! So here's an update from my previous chart! I understand it's quite a distance from my 1.06 but I've launched some buys (pardon my itchy hands) @ 1.0675. Good or bad move? You tell me!

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Never let success get to your head because the market will punish you
  • #1,102,089
  • Apr 5, 2017 10:21pm Apr 5, 2017 10:21pm
This daily candle on the us dollar and telling me that us dollar may be going down.....So eurusd should move up some....But at what speed we don't know...it has been super slow
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Drawdown is more important than Account Size !
  • #1,102,090
  • Apr 5, 2017 10:34pm Apr 5, 2017 10:34pm
Quoting procrude
This daily candle on the us dollar and telling me that us dollar may be going down.....So eurusd should move up some....But at what speed we don't know...it has been super slow {image}
101.10 could be tested, expecting fake breaks there before I can JOYFULLY LONG the E/U
  • #1,102,091
  • Apr 5, 2017 10:40pm Apr 5, 2017 10:40pm
My Intraday Outlook.
(ahead London)

Again, EUR/USD range bound.
Dead week untradable for the trend players and nice to the range trading.

We might see a continuing range ahead NFP tomorrow.
FOMC document yesterday doesn't change much in the market's view.
Again, Draghi today no impact speech expected.
Hopefully, US Unemployment data will bring some volatility.

Testing the 1.0680-90 zone is meaningful now, no bull guts.
On the downside 1.0635-50 zone as support.

My Intraday range S/R levels easy to spot on the chart below.
Range trading today for me. Sell the top, buy the bottom... whatever they are.

Have a good trading day you all!
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Member
  • #1,102,092
  • Apr 5, 2017 10:52pm Apr 5, 2017 10:52pm
Quoting procrude
This daily candle on the us dollar and telling me that us dollar may be going down.....So eurusd should move up some....But at what speed we don't know...it has been super slow {image}
HI

YES, it was and still slow , the movement of the EU is still slow, but hey... look there to the E/T and U/T , the movements of the prices to north for both pairs were strong and still strong, that is confirming the idea and the theory that, the big players do not want the EU to move , it would be a Tie for this pair between E and U currencies, so they put force to move other pairs contains either E or U.

yesterday, the EU should move to north as the USD was at night weak, but instead, the ET moved to the north and ST also moved to the north in the same ratio.

the E wants that the EUR to be weak to get more investments in their area, while the U wants the USD to stay weak compared to the Eur to get more investments in their area too, so it is a tie 1.03 to 1.09 is the range for this tie since few months.

so, the force to push the Eur pairs to above to the north is having approximately equivalent force nearly to the south... so it is tie

if you return to the bull and bears indicators in for the EUR pairs today , all of them are in tie except ET and UT.

i do not know, may be i am wrong, but this is what i can judge from the slow movement for these pairs and the fast managed movement of the other E pairs
GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
  • #1,102,093
  • Apr 5, 2017 11:11pm Apr 5, 2017 11:11pm
Quoting TudorIoan
My Intraday Outlook. (ahead London) Again, EUR/USD range bound. Dead week untradable for the trend players and nice to the range trading. We might see a continuing range ahead NFP tomorrow. FOMC document yesterday doesn't change much in the market's view. Again, Draghi today no impact speech expected. Hopefully, US Unemployment data will bring some volatility. Testing the 1.0680-90 zone is meaningful now, no bull guts. On the downside 1.0635-50 zone as support. My Intraday range S/R levels easy to spot on the chart below. Range trading today for...
all ways waiting for your post man...
  • #1,102,094
  • Apr 5, 2017 11:12pm Apr 5, 2017 11:12pm
maybe we move up toward 1.0720, and the UJ toward 110...I can't make heads or tails of it

smallest weekly range since like forever...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,102,095
  • Apr 5, 2017 11:13pm Apr 5, 2017 11:13pm
the German Factory Orders m/m is 3.4% and much more than the last month( -6.8%), so, the EU should move in some way strongly to the north, but it is still ranging and still weak.

but hey... look there to the E/T and U/T , the movements of the prices to north for both pairs were strong and still strong, that is confirming the idea and the theory that, the big players do not want the EU to move , it would be a Tie for this pair between E and U currencies, so they put force to move other pairs contains either E or U.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
  • #1,102,096
  • Apr 5, 2017 11:17pm Apr 5, 2017 11:17pm
Keep selling EUR , If that's you all want and keep justifying a retest , bearish candle sticks and so forth , sometimes I wonder if I am in a kindergarten here...it's like playing tennis with really bad tennis players
  • #1,102,097
  • Apr 5, 2017 11:19pm Apr 5, 2017 11:19pm
Quoting RazorFish
Keep selling EUR , If that's you all want and keep justifying a retest , bearish candle sticks and so forth , sometimes I wonder if I am in a kindergarten here...it's like playing tennis with really bad tennis players

dude, what the hell are you talking about anyway?
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,102,098
  • Apr 5, 2017 11:21pm Apr 5, 2017 11:21pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} dude, what the hell are you talking about anyway?
Visit the posts since yesterday , and you wouldn't believe the kind of people you are interacting in here.. they all talk like prison breakers
  • #1,102,099
  • Apr 5, 2017 11:22pm Apr 5, 2017 11:22pm
Quoting RazorFish
Keep selling EUR , If that's you all want and keep justifying a retest , bearish candle sticks and so forth , sometimes I wonder if I am in a kindergarten here...it's like playing tennis with really bad tennis players
but in most cases the fundamentals will not match the price patterns and also it will not match the technical analysis, so how come you are so sure ? it is only guessing game . it is either white or black 50%:50%
GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
  • #1,102,100
  • Apr 5, 2017 11:23pm Apr 5, 2017 11:23pm
Quoting Samer1970
{quote} but in most cases the fundamentals will not match the price patterns and also it will not match the technical analysis, so how come you are so sure ? it is only guessing game . it is either white or black 50%:50%
That's fine , but hey with all due respect do not undermine any persons integrity and respect please
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