Disliked{quote}...--> France will be on the headlines in the upcoming weeks, the Neonazi woman can trigger something juicy in the upcoming days especially if polls keep turning against her...Ignored
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Disliked{quote}...--> France will be on the headlines in the upcoming weeks, the Neonazi woman can trigger something juicy in the upcoming days especially if polls keep turning against her...Ignored
Disliked{quote} Do you mean by that euro* relief rally in the short term !! because I don't seem to be able to quantify france election risk compared to US hikes in euro* % weight .Ignored
Disliked{quote} In general laying bed, but Syria was nor will be any twitter play. It is the key long term play along Ukraine for few years, and any feed you get in between is meaningless only becouse its tiny micro play to what macro players of elites have laid it down. Whenever it seems like pause it never was (pointed before) nor will be. No such thing as peace, reverse, kill terorism, etc.... Syria is macro play of a complex macro play of recycling energy flows for EU/petrodollar, and dont fall in trap that nearby plotters (Egyput, SA, KT) are party...Ignored
Disliked{quote} Do you mean by that euro* relief rally in the short term !! because I don't seem to be able to quantify france election risk compared to US hikes in euro* % weight .Ignored
Disliked{quote} Normally when I say "I have no clue what you are talking about." Its kind of a rhetorical thing. But with a lot of your posts I honestly do (I think) want to know what you are talking about. This one is probably a discussion for a different thread though. I just like how you got some unique way of describing everything in like terms. No offense, Im probably just not putting it together.Ignored
Disliked{quote} Well its a bit less clearer than I would have like it now. On the one hand, a short term relief rally is a no brainer but it only come on the second round. Also it will be pretty much digested if the difference (as is widely expected) is too big to close. An actual proper shocker will be Le Pen flopping and not passing to the second round (not really expected) as it will be a extremely positive signal for European markets that are already in strong foot from the macro front. On the other hand, obviously the neonazis winning in France could...Ignored
Dislikedhttps://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...73#post9650473 we will see what happens then. eu upper target 1.13 and norm at 1.108x still valid. 1.13 usually needs 1.0585 before that run. staying above 1.0339 keeps 1.13xx valid. bounce norm (1.0585/1.0340). usd 101.52 is usual before a drop. 101.52/103.82 {image}Ignored
Dislikedcorrect me if i am wrong ... firstly when the eu got the bottom in march 2015 at that time the ez nos. were not that good so we got a compressed zone between 1.17x and 1.04x ... now in the current situation right now both ez and us nos. are good so we are getting a range bound between 1.09x to 1.03x with the the most important FA level 1.061x 1.063x .... i think both bears and bulls are getting frustrated at the moment .... and the speculators are saying everywhere all is fine .... its really getting bored seeing the PA reaction .... i have levels...Ignored
DislikedIf anything I'd say market is simply looking for further confirmation of the status quo (3+ hikes). Numbers this year so far don't support a dovish outlook for FED at all NFP will be expected to beat now @earlobe, the retrace from the first line to the last line is AB=CDIgnored
Disliked{quote} Just to be patient buddy. Still it can be painted a sharp momentum leg down. Look the previous ones. And there was days it was standing still and also where price retraced at those legs too. {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} True. Minutes can be dovish against expectations without a dovish outlook. They hiked after all. That's not dovish. But comments re: how many more can be like you said, confirmation of status quo (market expects) or not.Ignored
Disliked{quote} If my understanding of "normalization" is correct, I think hiking interest rate is no more at the driving seat, but inflation. Hence, I think the importance of the minutes is the language around inflation.Ignored