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  • #1,101,481
  • Apr 4, 2017 12:41am Apr 4, 2017 12:41am
Quoting TudorIoan
Aussie and Cable falls as the RBA Reserve Bank Board statement about monetary policy! ...may drag EUR/USD? ...we'll see

I'll wait till the chart is clear!
  • #1,101,482
  • Apr 4, 2017 12:53am Apr 4, 2017 12:53am
Quoting kittikann.s
{quote} I'll wait till the chart is clear!
Quoting PIPot
{quote} No
It looks like so. Not at all indeed
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  • #1,101,483
  • Apr 4, 2017 12:57am Apr 4, 2017 12:57am
My Intraday Outlook.
(ahead London)

Euro range bound.
Looks untradable for the trend players and reasonable to the range trading.
We might see a continuing range ahead Draghi today (although no impact speech expected - bla-bla about the 5 euros bill(!)
and ahead ISMs + FOMC minutes tomorrow ...and the NFP.

Mind the fakes ! (see yesterday)
Testing the 1.0650 zone could also meaning that the Bull want a correction ...but no one had the guts to start this in the risky NFP week...

My Intraday S/R levels on the chart below.

I don't know what to do yet.
Play the range ( like - buy the bottom, sell the top - thing)
or bet on the bears since we're in a bearish trend lately ...I'll see about that later.

Have a good trading day you all!
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  • #1,101,484
  • Apr 4, 2017 12:59am Apr 4, 2017 12:59am
Quoting PatienceFx
this wedge is preventing me from taking any positions {image}
Very suggestive graphics based on Zig-Zag indi. Interesting. Keep it up!
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  • #1,101,485
  • Apr 4, 2017 1:08am Apr 4, 2017 1:08am
Watching 1.0642... If it breaks, Keeping my STACK of shorts at 1.067 .... otherwise, run for my life
  • #1,101,486
  • Apr 4, 2017 1:16am Apr 4, 2017 1:16am
SOMEHOW I THINK WE WILL KNOW CLEARER BY THE "ECB President Draghi Speaks"

WHICH DIRECTION UP OR DOWN!
  • #1,101,487
  • Apr 4, 2017 1:20am Apr 4, 2017 1:20am
We will not go below 1.0620 and come back above 1.0730
For the jinns time is not like a river but like an ocean!
  • #1,101,488
  • Apr 4, 2017 1:31am Apr 4, 2017 1:31am
It looks like Sell Side wins all over the chartboard today
Let's sell, guys! ...kidding, just suit yourself, I'm selling like this:
SL 1.0674
sold 1.0663
T1 1.0652
T2 1.0641
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  • #1,101,489
  • Edited 1:56am Apr 4, 2017 1:35am | Edited 1:56am
Position trading: It's funny to see how most of the developed countries central banks are pushing the exchange rate down in order to push for exports and curb the imports ... this cycle of competitive devaluation must end in order to the prices to go up decisively ... but also it seems many central banks are under extreme pressure to push the rates higher , so as I see technicals can work out so far but one should be very careful the next policy makers move ... the end is near of low exchange rate environment globally against the USD

the best performers in the next 3 months would the commodity linked currencies such as the CAD and AUD

Any views ?
  • #1,101,490
  • Apr 4, 2017 1:36am Apr 4, 2017 1:36am
Quoting kittikann.s
SOMEHOW I THINK WE WILL KNOW CLEARER BY THE "ECB President Draghi Speaks" WHICH DIRECTION UP OR DOWN!
None
No impact on Draghi's speech expected - it will be some bla-bla-bla about the 50 euros bill speech
But I don't know if it will be a Q&A session at the end of it. That can be nasty...

...anyone here knows anything about it ...if Q&A?
Member
  • #1,101,491
  • Apr 4, 2017 1:48am Apr 4, 2017 1:48am
Finally some movement .... This could be a day when dollar takes a ride ..

Aussie Kiwi GBP lower

Euro looking suss

JPY looking strong

EUR/JPY 200 DMA at 117.70 could spell a major sell off ..

Lets see if volatility is back ..

Hedge funds have reset for Q2 so perhaps they need to lash out to make up for their woeful returns in Q1
  • #1,101,492
  • Apr 4, 2017 1:52am Apr 4, 2017 1:52am
My long trigrrred at 1.0657
  • #1,101,493
  • Apr 4, 2017 1:57am Apr 4, 2017 1:57am
.
GPB/USD have had a hard decline this morning which also effect the euro/USD. The question is where is the GPB going now? A New drag down to 1.2420 or under will make the euro decline . I am temped to buy now but will await the News. I still keep the positive bias til under 1.0640
  • #1,101,494
  • Apr 4, 2017 1:58am Apr 4, 2017 1:58am
Quoting TudorIoan
It looks like Sell Side wins all over the chartboard today Let's sell, guys! ...kidding, just suit yourself, I'm selling like this: SL 1.0674 sold 1.0663 T1 1.0652 T2 1.0641
1.0652 my T1 hit! ...my levels are such an intraday trampoline sometimes, ..but I hope it will drop more

This is my business today. My levels for the intraday hedging scheme, chart below.
Attached Image
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  • #1,101,495
  • Apr 4, 2017 1:58am Apr 4, 2017 1:58am
Quoting MarianneOslo
. GPB/USD have had a hard decline this morning which also effect the euro/USD. The question is where is the GPB going now. I am temped to buy now but will await the News. I still keep the positive bias til under 1.0640
GBP and AUD could be excellent buy now
  • #1,101,496
  • Edited 2:20am Apr 4, 2017 2:00am | Edited 2:20am
Quoting RazorFish
{quote} GBP and AUD could be excellent buy now

I bought this pair this morning at 1.2425 but already out. It looks quite bearish to me and if it goes more Down the euro will og down
  • #1,101,497
  • Apr 4, 2017 2:04am Apr 4, 2017 2:04am
I wonder how the market would look like by the end of the week , any views ?
  • #1,101,498
  • Apr 4, 2017 2:05am Apr 4, 2017 2:05am
closed my last euro trade. GL
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Pecuniae obediunt omnia
  • #1,101,499
  • Apr 4, 2017 2:08am Apr 4, 2017 2:08am
That would be the less risky sell for me :

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Money moves the market, not an indicator.
  • #1,101,500
  • Apr 4, 2017 2:26am Apr 4, 2017 2:26am
It smells like bear barbecue on the 1.0650 line again !
Anyway, I hope I'll get my T2 1.0641
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