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  • #1,096,701
  • Mar 15, 2017 10:46am Mar 15, 2017 10:46am
Quoting Don96
CHF about to break now lows for the day... probably going to trigger this bastard to shoot higher some more... AUD tiring, JPY started rising, EURO got stronger.... hmm, AUD will be killed if they do hike, it always is...
and as UCHF up ST, AU down, GU down... only UJ and EURO gain against dollar, if any of these find some strength, then again EURO is going to rise more, bastard
  • #1,096,702
  • Mar 15, 2017 10:46am Mar 15, 2017 10:46am
Quoting frx_trader
{quote} Maybe because of G10 meeting. And market is obviously afraid of Trump point out currency manipulation. USDZAR has been a good source of my profit in history. So this is not shit. I like it. It's just not my lucky day.
yeah scratch it off mate, it's just a shitty day for trading. You'll be fine
with "shit" I didn't mean your favourite pair, I basicly meant all currency markets today.
It's all a mess, we need to wait... I know it's hard...
you are not expected to understand this
  • #1,096,703
  • Mar 15, 2017 10:53am Mar 15, 2017 10:53am
Quoting Drunken
{quote} Sooo Tudor actually does semi-naked trading...?..?
Hi Drunken
Welcome here.

But not get so deep into the discussions, dangerous folks lurk here.

About Tudor - yes. It's all true.
If time permits and I make few pips, I can spill all the beans.
About naked Fridays....
Now Shhhhtttt
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #1,096,704
  • Mar 15, 2017 10:53am Mar 15, 2017 10:53am
Quoting markenglandd
So Don96, since 94% chance of rate hike today and AUD always gets killed when it does, you are short AUD/USD?
yup.. and EU

EURO is doing MY FOCKING HEAD IN I know its probably 99.9% likely to hit the spread and get me b.e on my short,,, its already cleared 4 shorts out in US bastard session..


it wont let me upload a print screen for some other bs reason, I'm short AU 0.7599, stops at b.e

and on ST analysis, EU and AU are going in opposite directions in a team effort to stop me breakeven before anything happens lol, probs both drop 1000 pips with a stealthy rate hike to 1.25% lol
  • #1,096,705
  • Mar 15, 2017 10:54am Mar 15, 2017 10:54am
.5% hike is a possibility
Failing that possibly 4 hikes this year
If it's 3 the dollar is in for it
  • #1,096,706
  • Mar 15, 2017 10:54am Mar 15, 2017 10:54am
EUR/USD long from 1.0608 with tight SL=1.0562, T1= 1.0697, T2=1.0775. Lets see if this baby can continue to fly. 0.25% march hike is calculated in price already, it all depends on what FOMC has to say about trend of future hikes now. I usually don't trade pre FOMC decisions and I might get whipsawed or be plain wrong and price will reverse to 1.0500, but then again, psych level, 1H 200 SMA, 61.8 % fib retracement and double bottom forming around previous resistance combined are all too good signs to miss in my playbook.
  • #1,096,707
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:07am Mar 15, 2017 11:07am
Seems to me nobody here worries about the coming Dutch election result...

very well, maybe USD is not going to cause Euro to crash but politics are...

Voting Polls are going to close at 20 GMT, let's see what will be the dutch people decision...

It's also a good reference for coming French and Germany elections...
There's no harm in being smtm wrong especially if one is promptly found out
  • #1,096,708
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:11am Mar 15, 2017 11:11am
Quoting salifx
Seems to me nobody here worries about the coming Dutch election result......
I do. I'm german.
there is a lot on the table today which effects are widely underestimated and overshadowed by FED.
And there is some serious moneyflow going on, that I can't understand. But who knows what kind of shit these guys are up for, we will see.

Meanwhile..... Aussie on Steroids
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you are not expected to understand this
  • #1,096,709
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:33am Mar 15, 2017 11:33am
Calm before the storm.
  • #1,096,710
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:34am Mar 15, 2017 11:34am
I want to see it breaks the south side.
Already in short !!!

Good luck to you all !!!
Waiting for FED !!!
  • #1,096,711
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:36am Mar 15, 2017 11:36am
Been holding this for 2 1/2 days RSI about to break out and MACD about to converge Price completed AB=CD in that red Zone. Expecting a pull back.
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Lord Forex
  • #1,096,712
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:37am Mar 15, 2017 11:37am
Why do I have the feeling this isn't going to be a .25% hike.... everything acts like something else is afoot.
  • #1,096,713
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:39am Mar 15, 2017 11:39am
Quoting wdlforex
Why do I have the feeling this isn't going to be a .25% hike.... everything acts like something else is afoot.
I say this all day long... something is wrong

How high would you guys estimate the chance of a "we will wait but we promise we will hike later"
I'm a fool and someone must take this position.
I am just guessing!!! I still have this feeling...

(I am a fool and I read charts. that's my shit)
you are not expected to understand this
  • #1,096,714
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:40am Mar 15, 2017 11:40am
Quoting Don96
{quote} euro doing my fucking head in, dropped earlier 15-20 pips quickly and then rises all the way back above the drop, feeling like I'm going to be stopped on all my shorts even before the conference... weird with expectation of a rate hike at 94%, feels strange baffled at where the fuck all this euro interest nonsense bs has come from
This is always happening to kill some short positions.

Some stoploss hunting,a spike high before the hugh drop.

Watch out.
  • #1,096,715
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:41am Mar 15, 2017 11:41am
something does seem up, but it might/probably just positioning for a hike... the last two hike have produced 200 pip moves min... like I said in a previous post... around 1.06 would more than likely open up 1.035 to be snapped this weak...

here we go again, EURO undoing 40 mins down in 10 mins,
  • #1,096,716
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:42am Mar 15, 2017 11:42am
Quoting Teek
{quote} I say this all day long... something is wrong
Ore they want to buy cheeper.

Better not to trade before an event.
  • #1,096,717
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:44am Mar 15, 2017 11:44am
Will be interesting to see what happens... to me once it broke 1.06345, it increased the chances of it screaming higher pre-meeting by a decent amount... but we shall see.
  • #1,096,718
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:45am Mar 15, 2017 11:45am
here's what's gonna happen

miss janet gonna walk into the conference , with salad in her face. She's a bit frustrated at herself because she's been doing this salad diet, and she hasn't lost a pound

because she's annoyed, she's not optimistic about anything. the rate hike is gonna happen, but she's gonna be pessimistic about future hikes..

all...because...of...


salad
  • #1,096,719
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:46am Mar 15, 2017 11:46am
HAHA I can feel the anxiety in this thread! Nobody knows for sure what the hell is happening but but we will see soon enough.

edit: my butt is puckered
  • #1,096,720
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:47am Mar 15, 2017 11:47am
Quoting hilmy83
here's what's gonna happen miss janet gonna walk into the conference , with salad in her face. She's a bit frustrated at herself because she's been doing this salad diet, and she hasn't lost a pound because she's annoyed, she's not optimistic about anything. the rate hike is gonna happen, but she's gonna be pessimistic about future hikes.. all...because...of... salad
Where did this salad thing come from?!? Haha. Keep seeing it but really not sure what it is.
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