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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #4,201
  • Mar 10, 2017 9:45am Mar 10, 2017 9:45am
Gold scalping
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,202
  • Mar 10, 2017 10:21am Mar 10, 2017 10:21am
Quoting vvFish
Gold scalping {image}
Super, as always!
  • #4,203
  • Mar 11, 2017 11:38pm Mar 11, 2017 11:38pm
Tuesday
10:30
03/14/17
SE Consumer Price Index GOOD
(SE CPI), Sweden, EURSEK
The average response when triggers trigger points in the first minute after the release.
Probability of bidding.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,204
  • Mar 14, 2017 3:34am Mar 14, 2017 3:34am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,205
  • Mar 14, 2017 3:36am Mar 14, 2017 3:36am
Quoting vvfish
tuesday 10:30 03/14/17 se consumer price index good (se cpi), sweden, eursek the average response when triggers trigger points in the first minute after the release. Probability of bidding.
Неправильно время указано, да?
  • #4,206
  • Edited 1:43pm Mar 14, 2017 3:41am | Edited 1:43pm
Wednesday
14:30
15.03.17
US Core of the consumer price index
(US Core CPI), United States, USDJPY
The average reaction when triggers trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability of bidding.
Thoughts on "smart traders"

Probably, the dollar will remain cautious all day long until the publication of the FOMC protocols and Janet Yellen's speech this evening. But such interesting news for him can move a few quotations. Unfortunately, news of inflation and retail sales go simultaneously.

Wednesday
16:30
15.03.17
US Oil and oil products reserves
(US Crude Oil Inventories), USA, #CL
The average reaction when triggers trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability of bidding.

Wednesday
20:00
15.03.17
1 Comments
US Interest rate CRITICAL
(US Federal Funds Rate), US, USDJPY
The average response when triggers trigger 80.00 points in the first minute after the release.
20% probability of bidding.

Wednesday
23:45
15.03.17
NZ GDP Growth HOT!
(NZ GDP), New Zealand, NZDUSD
The average reaction when triggers trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability of bidding.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,207
  • Mar 14, 2017 3:45am Mar 14, 2017 3:45am
Quoting Botan626
{quote} Неправильно время указано, да?
The time is correct.
Check the transition of your broker daylight saving time.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,208
  • Mar 14, 2017 4:07pm Mar 14, 2017 4:07pm
Quoting vvFish
{quote} The time is correct. Check the transition of your broker daylight saving time.
Hey vvFish, great job! What time zone are the times you post for the news items?

If this has been asked and answered before, I apologize for the duplication.
  • #4,209
  • Mar 14, 2017 4:58pm Mar 14, 2017 4:58pm
Quoting nondisclosure00
{quote} Hey vvFish, great job! What time zone are the times you post for the news items? If this has been asked and answered before, I apologize for the duplication.
GMT +2.
  • #4,210
  • Mar 15, 2017 1:03am Mar 15, 2017 1:03am
I think there is a way to trade NFP... So this strategy is only activated once a month... It takes time to test. Otherwise you can trade any high impact news... we never know how intense will be the price movement
  • #4,211
  • Mar 15, 2017 4:34am Mar 15, 2017 4:34am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,212
  • Mar 15, 2017 7:33am Mar 15, 2017 7:33am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,213
  • Mar 15, 2017 9:42am Mar 15, 2017 9:42am
Thoughts on "smart traders"
US Federal Funds Rate
With the increase in the probability of an increase in the interest rate of the Fed, the probability of trading decreases. If today the probability of a rate increase is taken into account by the markets by 93% according to the version of the CME Group futures analysis, accordingly, the chances for trading are only 7%.
Option, when there may be a signal - the data will not match the forecast. What will be the disappointment of prices, if the Fed does not raise the interest rate ... Then we can talk about the total sale of the dollar, which so far seems unlikely.
Everything is standard: the forecast rate for this meeting is 1%, the previous 0.75%, respectively, the growth rate from 0.75% to 1% is nothing for the market is not interesting (no bidding), because the data are equal to the forecast in this case, this is already Discounted in prices. In this case, in case of a yield on the forecast, volatility can arise only in the event that information appears about the Fed's future plans, and this is the protocols, or Janet Yellen's press conference.
For those who recently began to follow the news and the formation of a fundamental background, it is likely that this meeting will not bring anything, since there is practically no chance of an algorithmic signal.
It is likely that the focus will be on the dot market from the FOMC, a graphical representation of the expectation of the interest rate levels of the members of the Committee. It looks like this.
Attached Image

The main essence of this "schedule" is the set expectations in three interest rate increases in 2017, in which the market, there are, or at least there were little doubts. Doubts are practically dispelled, but here "practically", just and will be specified, and pour out on quotations additional volatility.
The next key meeting of the FOMC will take place in June, the probability of a second rate hike at the moment is 50%. If these expectations do not materialize then a series of dollar sales is waiting for us.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,214
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:42pm Mar 15, 2017 11:42pm
Thursday
11:00
16.03.17
NO Interest rate
(NO Interes Rate), Norway, EURNOK
The average response when triggers trigger points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability of bidding.
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Norges Bank moved from the team "we can reduce the rate" in the team "we do not plan to reduce". Given the growth in oil quotes, the Bank may be busy with a wait-and-see position and observe the base variable of the consumer price index. Probably, we will not see any changes here.

Thursday
13:00
16.03.17
TR Interest rate of REPO CRITICAL
(TR Repo Rate), Turkey, USDTRY
The average response when triggers trigger 40.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability of bidding.
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Turkey did not go to raise the interest rate at the previous meeting, as the markets expected (-0.5% against the forecast, which led to a signal). This time, forecasts do not imply a change in the interest rate from the current 8%, but political tensions adversely affect the rate of the lira, which may, with a small probability, somehow affect the additional measures on the part of the Turkish bank. Watching ...

Thursday
14:00
16.03.17
GB Official BA Bid
(GB Official Bank Rate), England, GBPUSD
The average response when triggers trigger 80.00 points in the first minute after the release.
10% probability of bidding.

Thursday
16:30
16.03.17
US Natural gas reserves
(US Natural Gas Storage), USA, #NG
The average response when triggers trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
35% probability of bidding.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,215
  • Mar 16, 2017 4:04am Mar 16, 2017 4:04am
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  • #4,216
  • Mar 16, 2017 7:07am Mar 16, 2017 7:07am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,217
  • Mar 16, 2017 2:02pm Mar 16, 2017 2:02pm
Quoting vvFish
{image}
Big money
+
  • #4,218
  • Mar 16, 2017 2:19pm Mar 16, 2017 2:19pm
Quoting Gigant
{quote} Big money
very big
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,219
  • Mar 17, 2017 3:29am Mar 17, 2017 3:29am
Quoting vvFish
{quote} very big
  • #4,220
  • Edited 9:05am Mar 17, 2017 7:38am | Edited 9:05am
CAD
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scalping
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USD
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
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