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  • #1,095,621
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:00am Mar 10, 2017 7:00am
Quoting sakisf
Any predictions for NFP? Banks in fxstreen expect 195 (avg), 0.03% earnings and 4.7% unemployment. I am 40% <150, 40% >150 <260, 20% >260, earning 0.02%, 4.8% unemployment, 100% bored waiting for the weekend to start in 3 hours. {quote} {image}
BTW, how could you have my favorite bear melted?!?!?! lol
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  • #1,095,622
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:01am Mar 10, 2017 7:01am
We are in a LONG only long term phase by my long term trend indicator unless the EURUSD can close definitively below 1.05420. Should be short term long support at 1.0577 here also.

I'm expecting it to trade down to 1.0577 and find support in the news. If it gets around 1.05420 without breaking, I'd buy more. I'm thinking it trades down by 1.05420 at worst, but that would be the "ultimate low" and it would not break that unless this is a BULL trap and it is changing back to SHORT phase on the longer term. At the risk of having egg on my face for being wrong, I'm already long and sitting on a 10% gain - so if it fell to around 1.05420 but not below, I would/have to buy more. Wanted to be long since I think there is a chance of it just screaming upward and not pulling back at all to those lower prices.

If it starts to trade below 1.05420, all bets might be off and might be back to SHORT phase for longer term.
  • #1,095,623
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:04am Mar 10, 2017 7:04am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Well, I know that banks you're talking about TDS : 225k Danske : 190k Lloyds : 185k RBC CM : 200k BNPP : 185k Natixis : 185k BMO CM : 200k BBH : 190k The average is ideed 195k! ...but there are more important banks not mentioned ...it looks like a manipulative selection because there are the banks that makes an average only below the estimate 200k ....well, I guess they pick up only the Big Dogs who go under estimatinos Ok, I might be awfully wrong, but it looks like manipulative!
I know some others (efxnews) also post reports but I just went to the first in google. I am hoping for a <150k because it will open up new trading environment and craps and might make rate hike not so certain. Otherwise we will just get in a new range 1.0420-1.0520.

Red's (strawberry/cherry) my favorite too!
  • #1,095,624
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:04am Mar 10, 2017 7:04am
Why do I think it would spike down a little and than jump up like crazy. Anyone agree wit this one?
  • #1,095,625
  • Edited 7:17am Mar 10, 2017 7:05am | Edited 7:17am
Quoting Teek
{quote} I couldn't sleep last night. Had this thought in the back of my head, like "why not take a look at my old Pivot template" Got out of bed, fired up the machine and spend some hours just backtesting. Looking for exhaustion (hammer) candles on the H1 in line with Pivots of the last three days. Measured entries/stops/TPs and came to the conclusion that this might be a very relaxing and very profitable thing to do. What you just saw on these two charts, were the first two active H1 Pivot scalps. It did work like a charm in the past and it tames...
OMG, you're so impulsive. I like it!!! You remind me when I started to drill on Forex
Keep up the good work, pal!
(suggestion: more brevity, concision, ...less poetry )
Member
  • #1,095,626
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:08am Mar 10, 2017 7:08am
Quoting DwainUK
Why do I think it would spike down a little and than jump up like crazy. Anyone agree wit this one?
I am wondering if it spikes down a bit to 1.0577 and/or 1.0566 finds support for LONG and then shoots back up.

I'm LONG bias given my long term indi's as of right now/the past few days (the signals usually last about 10ish days and really LONG just started). As mentioned, no SHORTS for me unless it definitively closes below 1.05420 - I usually try to wait for an OPEN of daily bar to OPEN below the price like this to tell if possible. Long above 1.05420! =D
  • #1,095,627
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:09am Mar 10, 2017 7:09am
bearish week still intact..will we see another friday reversal like last time or continuation?

if it reverses, i think target could be 1.07 either today or monday

if not, 1.05 is that magic number today or next week
  • #1,095,628
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:13am Mar 10, 2017 7:13am
Game plan 0663 needs to be kissed and what ever happens there we shall see, may be a short there back to 1.0577 to end the week......NFP due. Good Luck trader.

Make Moouula
  • #1,095,629
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:13am Mar 10, 2017 7:13am
Quoting sakisf
{quote} I know some others (efxnews) also post reports but I just went to the first in google. I am hoping for a <150k because it will open up new trading environment and craps and might make rate hike not so certain. Otherwise we will just get in a new range 1.0420-1.0520. Red's (strawberry/cherry) my favorite too!
Sakisf, I bow you! Really.
I mean I haven't the guts to trade before those really great market events like NFP and FOMC monetary policy decisions!
You seem a smart and reasonable trader. Just a few guys here trade considering on the economical-finacial fundamentals
And even less smart guys in the world (don't consider the drunk ones, dummies, gamblers and guppies) dares to open ahead great events ...based only on REASON!
Member
  • #1,095,630
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:17am Mar 10, 2017 7:17am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Sakisf, I bow you! Really. I mean I haven't the guts to trade before those really great market events like NFP and FOMC monetary policy decisions! You seem a smart and reasonable trader. Just a few guys here trade considering on the economical-finacial fundamentals And even less smart guys in the world (don't consider the drunk ones and dummies) dares to open ahead great events ...based only on REASON!
I am flat

Just waiting for a scalp or 2. Not gonna hold anything more than 5m as I am going away for the weekend and not in the mood to read news/check charts etc.
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  • #1,095,631
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:19am Mar 10, 2017 7:19am
Quoting sakisf
{quote} I am flat Just waiting for a scalp or 2. Not gonna hold anything more than 5m as I am going away for the weekend and not in the mood to read news/check charts etc. {image}
good plan. much better than gambling.
  • #1,095,632
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:20am Mar 10, 2017 7:20am
Quoting sakisf
{quote} I am flat Just waiting for a scalp or 2. Not gonna hold anything more than 5m as I am going away for the weekend and not in the mood to read news/check charts etc. {image}
Great strategy! lolololol
Member
  • #1,095,633
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:22am Mar 10, 2017 7:22am
short at 1.06018. take profit at 1.05614. stop loss at 1.06087
https://bit.ly/3Iel8hJ
  • #1,095,634
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:24am Mar 10, 2017 7:24am
anyone on EUR/NOK? i have never looked at this pair before... but it seems more 'trendable' although looks like my stops would be ripped to pieces way too often...

3500 pips in 15 days.. not bad eh
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  • #1,095,635
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:27am Mar 10, 2017 7:27am
Quoting Don96
anyone on EUR/NOK? i have never looked at this pair before... but it seems more 'trendable' although looks like my stops would be ripped to pieces way too often... 3500 pips in 15 days.. not bad eh {image}
Isn't the spread on something like that terrible? I suppose if you have longer term positions and goals, then maybe. Just don't try to scalp if the spread is terrible.. unless you are your own broker.
  • #1,095,636
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:27am Mar 10, 2017 7:27am
Quoting jaisis21
short at 1.06018. take profit at 1.05614. stop loss at 1.06087
OMG, I hope it's a small volume or Demo. You can go for a quick scalp after few seconds the NFP ...but not necessary before!
Good luck to you, anyway!

2 minutes to the fireworks, people!
Member
  • #1,095,637
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:32am Mar 10, 2017 7:32am
OMFG 235k!!! But the Hourly Average Earnings 0.2% ... mixed?!
Member
  • #1,095,638
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:35am Mar 10, 2017 7:35am
Double manipulation I'd say.
First, they selected the banks who released estimations under 200k.
Then, even NFP good, they buying euros in the first moments?!?!?!?!?!?!?
Obviously manipulation!!!
Member
  • #1,095,639
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:35am Mar 10, 2017 7:35am
load of nonsense for higher to drop next week...
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  • #1,095,640
  • Mar 10, 2017 7:36am Mar 10, 2017 7:36am
Quoting TudorIoan
OMFG 235k!!! But the Hourly Average Earnings 0.2% ... mixed?!
Mixed, but strong, similar to last month, after NFP on february, on the following day it started to go down, I think it will try higher but will go down in the next day... I can be wrong, sure, but, it is what I think now.
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