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  • #1,095,281
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:11am Mar 9, 2017 1:11am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Yes, I prefer to stay on the safe side for days like this, thank you. No hasty trading for me, trying to manage my greed ...NFP tomorrow, the same for me. Your analysis is also argumentated, but I'll consider only the 4th day of 'stubborn' retracement as technical point for my style. Your posts are always decent, you're one of the few! Green it is!
Thanks Tudor.. your words show me already that you have class.. much appreciated mate..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #1,095,282
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:19am Mar 9, 2017 1:19am
Quoting TudorIoan
My Intraday Outlook. In my opinion, today, any technical analysis it's gambling. Technical 'experts' here, feel free to curse me! And the fundamental stuff goes like this, Bearish motivation: - Fed hike next week 90.8% probability (check FOMC countdown site) - ECB no surprise, schedule for QE in progress, ...overall, dovish - Art. 50 soon to be triggered, difficult negociations for Europe on the way - Le Pen polls high and she wants euro substituted by franc I will not trade today unless the banks will anticipate ECB and they will start the party...
me thinks the Euro will be marked up before the ECB statement only for it to tumble after the statement.But my long term bias is bullish
  • #1,095,283
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:19am Mar 9, 2017 1:19am
Quoting Connors
{quote} +1 When I decided to get married, my boss told me: "Getting married is a sign of two things: 1 Your wiener is working 2. You have money" You understand me now cute face? You should be happy, some people assume you have both of these signs

Couldn't understand what you mean by wiener so I did a Google search and this is what came up:

WIENER - slang used by fat balding Irish mens to refer to their male reproductive organs that usually measure about half a normal penis...

You didn't chose to get married....you got boxed in sucker...took the hook line and sinker.

I almost feel bad for you
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #1,095,284
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:30am Mar 9, 2017 1:30am
H1 Chart Last Situation

I turned the green path into a green triangle zone. It is broken but it is being retested at the moment.. (because daily opening rejected bulls' first try)

If green area can block candle closings below itself, bulls will take control.. (hopefully)

Stay Green
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU-09-March-2017-H1-Update1.jpg Size: 119 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #1,095,285
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:30am Mar 9, 2017 1:30am
Quoting JustAndy
{quote} Couldn't understand what you mean by wiener so I did a Google search and this is what came up: WIENER - slang used by fat balding Irish mens to refer to their male reproductive organs that usually measure about half a normal penis... You didn't chose to get married....you got boxed in sucker...took the hook line and sinker. I almost feel bad for you


Asshole!
  • #1,095,286
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:30am Mar 9, 2017 1:30am
Quoting jusstin911
{quote} busted .. FF police, over to you
Fx is the ish... and then it came down like a falling rock
  • #1,095,287
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:31am Mar 9, 2017 1:31am
Good Morning

On the technical side, I am with Tudor here.
Anything but shortterm scalping is basicly doomed to fail, from a technical point of view.
But anyway, here's my view for today:

We are scratching the 78.6% retracement.
I am waiting for long signal for a possible correction into the 1.056/057 zone with 1.058 as strong resistance and then back down short.
It is still too early to take a long position, the 88.6% retracement is very possible.
Also, look at my RSI. As long as we are underneath the 50%, I don't take any long position.
Also, there are no "Exhaustion Candle" showing at the current 78.6% etracement, so it's too shaky to take a long.
To take a short entry I need a correction move first.
I expect a very slow day and I rather stay out and @myself: wait for clear signal

The big fat blue line down there on the chart is the 1.04950 line of doom. If we cross that, it's short for 1.040...
But that's unlikely for today.

Conclusion: BULLSHIT! Stay away, don't trade this!

my H1 chart:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 107 KB
you are not expected to understand this
  • #1,095,288
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:39am Mar 9, 2017 1:39am
So which one is correct?

this one:
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Inside the green path no chances for bulls still.. more waiting while staying short.. Stay Green {image}

or this one
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
H1 Chart Update It could be time to close shorts.. the doji at bottom shows bearish weakness.. So far I waited with shorts open.. from here I will continue waiting with no position.. We also have MACD divergence now on hourly.. Bulls might start pushing soon.. While we dropped below green path, it would be bullish sign to see a jump back into green path.. till then: we just wait.. Stay Green {image}
could be, maybe, would be perhaps, probably...might be?...so much possibilities.

As astute trader do you rotate monitor or use photo shop?
  • #1,095,289
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:42am Mar 9, 2017 1:42am
short at 1.05438, 1st target at 1.05194, 2nd target at 1.05128
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart.png Size: 36 KB
https://bit.ly/3Iel8hJ
  • #1,095,290
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:50am Mar 9, 2017 1:50am
Technically EUR is short here , stop 1.0550, target 1.0510 .
I am not playing it ahead of ECB
  • #1,095,291
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:51am Mar 9, 2017 1:51am
Quoting ruma29
So which one is correct? this one: {quote} or this one {quote} could be, maybe, would be perhaps, probably...might be?...so much possibilities. As astute trader do you rotate monitor or use photo shop?
Just showing the courtesy to answer the question.

At the time I posted your first quoting "Inside the green path no chances for bulls still.. more waiting while staying short.." price WAS inside the green path and therefore no chances for bulls. Because market is alive and constantly changing, this post was describing the very "moment" of the chart I had added to it.

5 hours later.. I repeat "5 HOURS LATER" I posted your second quoting explaining why I am closing shorts now "the doji at bottom shows bearish weakness" let's read again: "THE DOJI AT BOTTOM" has just appeared.. we didn't know that 5 hours earlier. So it is a re-analysis.. because why my friend? Yes.. you can guess: Market is alive.. market constantly changes.. so I am adding to what I said earlier.. It is the hourly chart I am talking about.. and 5 hours later allow me to change my previous opinions.. I hope that answers your question..

Stay Away
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #1,095,292
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:53am Mar 9, 2017 1:53am
Quoting Teek
Good Morning On the technical side, I am with Tudor here. Anything but shortterm scalping is basicly doomed to fail, from a technical point of view. But anyway, here's my view for today: We are scratching the 78.6% retracement. I am waiting for long signal for a possible correction into the 1.056/057 zone with 1.058 as strong resistance and then back down short. It is still too early to take a long position, the 88.6% retracement is very possible. Also, look at my RSI. As long as we are underneath the 50%, I don't take any long position....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart.png Size: 38 KB


i like this one. IT IS BETTER TO WAIT FOR CLEAR SIGNAL.
https://bit.ly/3Iel8hJ
  • #1,095,293
  • Mar 9, 2017 1:55am Mar 9, 2017 1:55am
Bearish until it manages to make sustained closes above ema20 on hourly. Then have bounce at 0510, which if broken will lead to under 0493 - don't think it will hold for 3rd time.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4ea609d89b7b49cb9de88d66920e20f1.png Size: 58 KB
  • #1,095,294
  • Mar 9, 2017 2:00am Mar 9, 2017 2:00am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} You are staying on the safe side. Your arguments are quite logical. I also don't rely heavily on technicals today. It just makes sense to me that: -Price drop slowed down at fib 61.8 to 78.6 levels at the moment -On the hourly chart I shared price jumped back one stair up into green path -4th day of stubborn and boring retracement -One hammer candle on hourly approximately 16 hours ago -One doji 2 hours ago -My Shark and Cypher patterns on H4 are also still not violated Based on these signs I opened long at 1.0529.. let's see if Thursday...
I am agree
  • #1,095,295
  • Mar 9, 2017 2:03am Mar 9, 2017 2:03am
Quoting arya.aryaee
{quote} I am agree
Thanks Arya.. let's see if our boss will agree too.. oh.. you are asking who our boss is? LOL.. it's Mrs. Market...

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #1,095,296
  • Mar 9, 2017 2:04am Mar 9, 2017 2:04am
kpmg started ignoring me.. maybe I baffled him with my long side convictions who knows
  • #1,095,297
  • Mar 9, 2017 2:08am Mar 9, 2017 2:08am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Yes, I prefer to stay on the safe side for days like this, thank you. No hasty trading for me, trying to manage my greed ...NFP tomorrow, the same for me. Your analysis is also argumentated, but I'll consider only the 4th day of 'stubborn' retracement as technical point for my style. Your posts are always decent, you're one of the few! Green it is!
You posted a strong BEARISH conviction for the next 4 days. Now it will be an honor for me to see how this one plays out.
  • #1,095,298
  • Mar 9, 2017 2:10am Mar 9, 2017 2:10am
Things happened as expected so far. Price turned back above green triangle after a retest.

Now the next H1 chart question: Could bulls push price above red trendline too? Let's hope so..

Stay Green
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU-09-March-2017-H1-Update2.jpg Size: 146 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #1,095,299
  • Mar 9, 2017 2:10am Mar 9, 2017 2:10am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Thanks Arya.. let's see if our boss will agree too.. oh.. you are asking who our boss is? LOL.. it's Mrs. Market... Stay Green
haha Ata, I think it's safe to mention RB as our Boss
  • #1,095,300
  • Mar 9, 2017 2:15am Mar 9, 2017 2:15am
Quoting jusstin911
{quote} haha Ata, I think it's safe to mention RB as our Boss
LOL.. RB's are actually working behind her back.. she doesn't know.. Mrs. Market always wants to give money to wise people who listen to her

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
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