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  • #1,094,501
  • Mar 4, 2017 4:42am Mar 4, 2017 4:42am
Quoting silas66
{quote} why a big gap down on Monday??? Why not a big gap up.....
Look at what happened when Yellen started her speech. The same will happen when Asia opens and when Europe opens.
Hope this answers your question.
No username yet? You are on my ignore list. Fuck off and do not quote me!
  • #1,094,502
  • Mar 4, 2017 4:43am Mar 4, 2017 4:43am
EURO response was nothing but French election polls. It doesn't matter whether you believe it or not. France is one of the supper powers among the Euro Zone. Germany is another great supper power in the Euro Zone. Market/price will always respond to political issues from these two countries. If US election, UK referendum were able to set the market on fire, why do we think that French and German political news will not "explode" our charts?
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
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  • #1,094,503
  • Mar 4, 2017 5:07am Mar 4, 2017 5:07am
Quoting silas66
{quote} why a big gap down on Monday??? Why not a big gap up.....
A gap up is fair only if the election polls runs over the weekend.. Otherwise, we should see a gap down and a little drop before going to 1.065 then turn down crashing like a mud house ..

I hope we looking forward to catching that drop
  • #1,094,504
  • Mar 4, 2017 5:36am Mar 4, 2017 5:36am
Fundamental analysis is always a double-edged thing információ.ez few daring to be based on commerce.
I think when I see trade.
  • #1,094,505
  • Mar 4, 2017 5:40am Mar 4, 2017 5:40am
Quoting tiborf71
Fundamental analysis is always a double-edged thing informci.ez few daring to be based on commerce. I think when I see trade.
It becomes a double-edged sword when we take position around the news. Allow it to settle down and then you look for setup,if you're not already in
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
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  • #1,094,506
  • Mar 4, 2017 7:12am Mar 4, 2017 7:12am
Quoting tiborf71
Fundamental analysis is always a double-edged thing informci.ez few daring to be based on commerce. I think when I see trade.
We had spike and RB action on Friday. And almost any Friday...
Now, i believe only the first part of the market action - little down.
The rest is noise. Haha. Look at Trump spike 200 pips up 200 down.
It's a robbing day... Friday ...coming week....?
So that's my fundamentals.

Quoting NotAtrader
{quote} Look at what happened when Yellen started her speech.
The same will happen when Asia opens and when Europe opens. Hope this answers your question.
Hmmm.
I did some of my analysis - there's some easy target 0555.
There's more downside. But i covered this...
Now - the LOGICAL direction is down. 0500 to 0435.
Soooooo Sunday night must gap up to kill the shorts. Of course!!! RB don't sleep.

The double bottom worries me. Or W pattern in Jusstin-ish.
It's clearly a sign of strength... there was inverted H&S... very strong..... I have no doubt that little players and technical gurus will be long.
So what should I do....? What a RB will do.....
It's a total mystery Enigma

Anyway, i discovered that posting here etc diminish my trade time. That's because i avoid writing, demo, and real trading at the same time.
And the existence of RB was cast in grave doubt
And some pseudo -gurus say that the trend is up etc.... What trend, it's just stop-hunt.???

Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote}Patience brothers No hurry, no big deal. Just full day of spikes.
....opening shorts about.....0570...... But only after spike up. Or Monday!!! {image}
Done
But i see that from a smaller timeframe this "spike " can be considered strong impulse or God-send sign
Whatever. ✌
People can squeeze pips everywhere and anytime. GL.
Just spare me the preaching 1.10 and 1.18 coming.... Pound 1.50 i heard last month Yen 65 soon?? LOL.

I'm setting myself little challenge. I will not post anything (comments in news section excluded) until 0510 is reached.
When - give it a week. Even the days before after Fed.
If not.....I will go on 14 day fasting. Like TUDOR had to do one How's the Herculean labours going buddy? You have 10 left or cracking them ??

And if it goes below that 0510... I'll feel fully vindicated and would expect some words of mild awe and cheering A monument or little statue, erected in the Church's yard in my honor will be welcomed

If 0400 is breached.....hmmm. A big city building to be renamed "The NOT"

What a big post!!! That's because I love you guys.
And had time
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Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #1,094,507
  • Mar 4, 2017 7:39am Mar 4, 2017 7:39am
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Hmmm. I did some of my analysis - there's some easy target 0555. There's more downside. But i covered this... Now - the LOGICAL direction is down. 0500 to 0435.
Yes mate this is exactly what I'm saying. I am not sure about 0435 though (one day in the near future yes), but 0500 - 10 is within the range.
And yes the new logical direction is down. Both fundamentals and technicals suggest that IMO.

And yes I may be completely wrong.
No username yet? You are on my ignore list. Fuck off and do not quote me!
  • #1,094,508
  • Mar 4, 2017 8:44am Mar 4, 2017 8:44am
Don't forget, US has to vote on debt ceiling March 15th. Increased ceiling will lead to inflation and weaker dollar. Gold has been increasing steadily for last 30 days without corresponding movement on EURUSD which would typically support weakening USD. Oscillators on EURUSD show we will be gapping up on open and going higher early in the week. Anybody see the same scenario?
"What the wise do in the beginning, fools do in the end."-Warren Buffet
  • #1,094,509
  • Mar 4, 2017 9:37am Mar 4, 2017 9:37am
there is some logical argument supported by 0500-0435?
peace
  • #1,094,510
  • Mar 4, 2017 9:37am Mar 4, 2017 9:37am
Ok here are some key point to watch in next trading days. In simple words: price will make new range in orange box, probably support will be one of green lines if price break down from box then is time to sell and breakout up is buy signal target1 for buy around 1.7000 target2 1.7645 for sell t1 1.04960 ,t2 1.0448
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  • #1,094,511
  • Mar 4, 2017 11:00am Mar 4, 2017 11:00am
Hello! New WaveTrading -
Inserted Video
Have a good weekend!
Trend is your the best friend. Ever
  • #1,094,512
  • Mar 4, 2017 11:26am Mar 4, 2017 11:26am
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} some pseudo -gurus say that the trend is up etc.... What trend, it's just stop-hunt.??? }
  • #1,094,513
  • Mar 4, 2017 12:19pm Mar 4, 2017 12:19pm
Quoting MXT
{quote}
For me it was not necessarily that the trend was up rather that while it was going down on Wednesday - the way that it stalled at certain supports indicated to me that this was a "fake" down momentum (I guess you can call it some form of manipulation). Although I do agree with KPMG intial down trend starting from 1.06290 was probably a genuine market momentum downwards but towards the end of the short-term down trend It should not gone that extra 50-70 pips or so.

Who knows I'm probably wrong.
  • #1,094,514
  • Mar 4, 2017 12:41pm Mar 4, 2017 12:41pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} And some pseudo -gurus say that the trend is up etc.... What trend, it's just stop-hunt.???
Just a quick question for everybody on here regarding stop-hunts. If this was a genuine stop hunt, which it definitely could have been, wouldn't the hunt have at least pulled back down and ended the week at a lower point than what it currently sits at now? Do stop hunts usually take longer than a day to materialize on the chart? I assume it wasn't a stop hunt because it did not even pull back down, not even 25% of they day's move since Friday's closing price.

Thoughts anyone?
  • #1,094,515
  • Edited 1:42pm Mar 4, 2017 1:08pm | Edited 1:42pm
In abouth one week the will be an election in the Netherlands but so far it is expected that the anti EU parti With Geert Wilders will not get enough votes to get a New election abouth stay in EU or not. In april there will be an election in France and the same result can be expected tha La Pen will not get enough votes for a New EU election. This may rise the EU and the result from apoll in France yesterday was due to the rise in EU.

Apart from the coming elections the EUsone is improving. If the People votes for the stay in EU parties we will se a strongerEU


http://www.dutchnews.nl/news/archive...nd-a-tv-roast/
  • #1,094,516
  • Mar 4, 2017 1:15pm Mar 4, 2017 1:15pm
Quoting MarianneOslo
In abouth one week the will be an election in the Netherlands but so far it is expected that the anti EU parti With Geert Wilders will not get enough votes to get a New election abouth stay in EU or not. In april there will be an election in France and the same result can be expected tha La Pen will not get enough votes for a New EU election. This may rise the EU and the result from apoll in France yesterday was due to the rise in EU. Apart from the coming elections the EUsone is improving. If the People votes for the stay in EU parties we will...
Nice fundamental insight. I think next week will be price correction for EURUSD and just swing before the fed rate.
Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing.
  • #1,094,517
  • Mar 4, 2017 1:22pm Mar 4, 2017 1:22pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Just spare me the preaching 1.10 and 1.18 coming.... Pound 1.50 i heard last month Yen 65 soon?? LOL. I'm setting myself little challenge. I will not post anything (comments in news section excluded) until 0510 is reached. When - give it a week. Even the days before after Fed. If not.....I will go on 14 day fasting. Like TUDOR had to do one How's the Herculean labours going buddy? You have 10 left or cracking them ?? And if it goes below that 0510... I'll feel fully vindicated and would expect some words of mild awe and cheering...
You are risking to not have a monument soon But its possible! I will vote for you here if you make it. But if we go to 1.08 first just well have to reallocate the funds for my monument. And when we hit 1.10 and much much higher later on, you can name a whole city after me haha. It is counterintuitive to be long right now. As it was also counterintuitive to enter a long at thursday NY. But trading is not about intuition, If it was that easy, you and me would be drinkin champagne with some beautiful girls on your yacht and not posting here
  • #1,094,518
  • Mar 4, 2017 2:35pm Mar 4, 2017 2:35pm
gap will certainly be, but where?
many open positions over the weekend.

1. FF
2. Oanda
3. Dukascopy
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  • #1,094,519
  • Mar 4, 2017 2:38pm Mar 4, 2017 2:38pm
Quoting MarianneOslo
In abouth one week the will be an election in the Netherlands but so far it is expected that the anti EU parti With Geert Wilders will not get enough votes to get a New election abouth stay in EU or not. In april there will be an election in France and the same result can be expected tha La Pen will not get enough votes for a New EU election. This may rise the EU and the result from apoll in France yesterday was due to the rise in EU. Apart from the coming elections the EUsone is improving. If the People votes for the stay in EU parties we will...
And if you on top of that mention the election in Germany, where Merkel and CDU are set to lose, that would make your fundamental insight useless.
I would predict juicy spikes instead of trend direction, as we all know that the big boys of Euro-economy are not interested in dealing with a strong .

PS: And what about Grexit? What about the fact the Poland and Hungary want to get themselves out of EU and that Italy is not far from discussing that possibility too?

However, we are about to trade millions of pips before any of this happens, so happy trading so long.
No username yet? You are on my ignore list. Fuck off and do not quote me!
  • #1,094,520
  • Mar 4, 2017 2:46pm Mar 4, 2017 2:46pm
Quoting NotAtrader
{quote} And if you on top of that mention the election in Germany, where Merkel and CDU are set to lose, that would make your fundamental insight useless. I would predict juicy spikes instead of trend direction, as we all know that the big boys of Euro-economy are not interested in dealing with a strong . However, we are about to trade millions of pips before any of this happens, so happy trading so long.

What is the point with Your comment?
My point is that it is only one week to the election in the Netherlands which may show the euro direction next week and there are also some in the US that doesnt want a strong USD.
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