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AUD/USD

  • #100,641
  • Feb 9, 2017 11:31pm Feb 9, 2017 11:31pm
Quoting oztrader79
{quote} Sorry does that chart with the red line mean SL and and green lines TP?
in my interpretation lines are supply and demand. Stop loss is not set at all ;besides lines there are some more information on chart , take time and look if you want.
  • #100,642
  • Feb 10, 2017 2:28am Feb 10, 2017 2:28am
Riding down short term for tonight. Good night. GL. Make pips.
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Mr. K
  • #100,643
  • Feb 10, 2017 11:02am Feb 10, 2017 11:02am
Quoting SkyrEk
I am expecting a final leap up towards .7750 before i will execute any short positions. (Dependent on PA ) {image}
Going according to my forecast.

Cheers!

Have a great weekend all!
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  • #100,644
  • Feb 10, 2017 11:25am Feb 10, 2017 11:25am
Went short at 0.76836, seems like a decent setup is forming, lots of supply overhead.

I think this current movement is just a reflection of the iron ore price, and it doesn't have much behind it.
  • #100,645
  • Feb 10, 2017 7:50pm Feb 10, 2017 7:50pm
I think investors are speculating that rates in Australia might not only hold, but rise.This assumption is speculative, as the greater probability is the RBA cuts rates whilst the Fed hikes. Moreover, inflation isnt going anywhere in Aus, and the last GDP report was negative 0.5%. Any easing signal in aus rates will ensure a steep correction.

of course, you also have to factor in the Iron Ore rally.
  • #100,646
  • Feb 10, 2017 8:34pm Feb 10, 2017 8:34pm
Quoting Starcraftmaz
Went short at 0.76836, seems like a decent setup is forming, lots of supply overhead. I think this current movement is just a reflection of the iron ore price, and it doesn't have much behind it.
Very true i would expect the aud to drop on monday if you have a look at 1 min chart it looks like a big sell off occuring. With trump relasing tax incentives i think usd currency will be ok.

Eur currency seems to be very week all round and jpy looking bull every where
  • #100,648
  • Feb 11, 2017 7:07am Feb 11, 2017 7:07am
There is no sign it will break .76. Why should it go down? I think it's carry trade. Other currencies fluctuates wildly. But AU is steady. That's what investors need.
  • #100,649
  • Feb 11, 2017 1:13pm Feb 11, 2017 1:13pm
Quoting thewriter30
Hidden
Typical liberal "Nazi Trump"
Get a realty check dude! Seriously unbrainwash yourself from years of liberal political mambo jumbo.Its almost epic proportions now.Hysteria has no ending from liberal lefties.Give the president that got elected by the American citizens a chance to do his JOB! and he will do outstanding job and is doing great job!
With new tax reductions finally corporations will have an incentive to invest.News flash unions don't create jobs but businesses do!
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #100,650
  • Feb 11, 2017 3:39pm Feb 11, 2017 3:39pm
Its all perspective how people trade BUT for this week coming in the short term 76500 is A VERY STRONG LEVEL.
prediction is theyll accumulate into 7650 and then BOOM.
Hopefully this BOOM to 7750 or even 78c is done on tuesday. Im tipping it will be. Tuesday Asia morning should be a good one.
Buyside only until this move is done.

But once we take 77c, long term this is looking extermely bullish.
  • #100,651
  • Edited 7:32pm Feb 11, 2017 6:38pm | Edited 7:32pm
Quoting Davit
{quote} Typical liberal "Nazi Trump" Get a realty check dude! Seriously unbrainwash yourself from years of liberal political mambo jumbo.Its almost epic proportions now.Hysteria has no ending from liberal lefties.Give the president that got elected by the American citizens a chance to do his JOB! and he will do outstanding job and is doing great job! With new tax reductions finally corporations will have an incentive to invest.News flash unions don't create jobs but businesses do!
to be fair trump has already gone against constitution, spruiking ridiculous shit, is a child, the WORST role model we coyld ever ask for our kids. The guys a rapist, hates women, has already done illegal things as president, is dumb as fuck except for business bullshit talk. To think he is the leader of the world is sickening. He will be inpeached very soon. Cannot act like that for too long. Its a joke. What a disgraceful human being he is. This whole camapign is about himself and his business. The largest advertising campaign of all time.
YES the system has burnt people for years and YES the media are dogs and YES we need change in politixs but THIS?? THIS IS FAKE. Trump is playing us. And while people say THATS SOO smart he is really only fooling the dumbass masses out there WITH fear and using their anger. Nothing knew. He is a complete tool. Not the leader of the free world we need. $40b wall?? Just to ruin usas service industry?? Ha what a joke. You wonder whats behind this? He will pocket from this somehow. Probably got indian and chinese workers ready that he makes profit from.
Trump love?? Seriously?? . But looking around at systems and patterns and EAs people actually believe is how/why price moves in markets not hard to see how trump got in.
  • #100,652
  • Feb 11, 2017 9:09pm Feb 11, 2017 9:09pm
79xx (green shade / 50 fib resistance) and monthly 34ema which has been directing/following traffic for at least the last 2 decades looking good for long target off the 4hr retest, before the Aussie crap hits the fan I feel.
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Come with me if you want to live....
  • #100,653
  • Feb 11, 2017 9:34pm Feb 11, 2017 9:34pm
A little more up before it goes to the down side.

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  • #100,654
  • Feb 12, 2017 11:33pm Feb 12, 2017 11:33pm
Heres a freebie for the kids
tomorrow asia session
BUY
stop loss 7634
entry inbetween 7645 to 7655
take Profit 7730 to 7749

i obviously cant help you with perfect entry and exit or time LOL BUT im giving YOU PARAMETERS hours before. My guess asian morning this will go down. 1:2, 1:3 if you play cards right. Can risk quite a lot of your account. Although not knowing how things are done you probably wont.
  • #100,655
  • Feb 12, 2017 11:46pm Feb 12, 2017 11:46pm
any reasons why??
(hint chart or written reasons)
over the years I've had a few A/cs, 3 still live; a few blown on something like this.
I will get my head around this, but always can be wrong
  • #100,656
  • Feb 12, 2017 11:56pm Feb 12, 2017 11:56pm
Quoting WolGod
Heres a freebie for the kids tomorrow asia session BUY stop loss 7634 entry inbetween 7645 to 7655 take Profit 7730 to 7749 i obviously cant help you with perfect entry and exit or time LOL BUT im giving YOU PARAMETERS hours before. My guess asian morning this will go down. 1:2, 1:3 if you play cards right. Can risk quite a lot of your account. Although not knowing how things are done you probably wont.

Last week you were saying for sure it was going up and the exact opposite happened.
  • #100,657
  • Feb 13, 2017 12:14am Feb 13, 2017 12:14am
Quoting Ill-b-back
79xx (green shade / 50 fib resistance) and monthly 34ema which has been directing/following traffic for at least the last 2 decades looking good for long target off the 4hr retest, before the Aussie crap hits the fan I feel. {image} {image} {image} {image}
this is an example of good analysis, instead of random calls with a "guys bet your account on this call"
  • #100,658
  • Feb 13, 2017 4:36am Feb 13, 2017 4:36am
Quoting oztrader79
{quote} this is an example of good analysis, instead of random calls with a "guys bet your account on this call"
Fibs and moving averages and a 79c is good analysis? Got to be joking.
and i was wrong was I? What happened at 76170?? All perspective and TIMING. Wait are you the guy who sold top edge thinking you got it right because you made some profit? LOL You mustve held for two days. Thats a great risk management strategy. Not. you gambled on a top edge and won a gamble. Congrats. You had no idea how lucky you got as opposed to whats happening tomorrow (hopefully not usa tonight) Its going up. Sorry i cant be there to help you with entrys and exits but geez parameters should be enough.
  • #100,659
  • Edited 4:55am Feb 13, 2017 4:44am | Edited 4:55am
Quoting WolGod
{quote} Fibs and moving averages and a 79c is good analysis? Got to be joking. and i was wrong was I? What happened at 76170?? All perspective and TIMING. Wait are you the guy who sold top edge thinking you got it right because you made some profit? LOL You mustve held for two days. Thats a great risk management strategy. Not. you gambled on a top edge and won a gamble. Congrats. You had no idea how lucky you got as opposed to whats happening tomorrow (hopefully not usa tonight) Its going up. Sorry i cant be there to help you with entrys and exits...
I don't know what the hell you are talking about, I'm long actually.

My point is the view of people who explain their analysis (better still if they attach charts) is worth more than just calls - but especially when you add that people should bet big on the call, expect people to ask how you arrived at the call.

As I said, a week ago you were making this same call and it fell. You are again making the call, do you just make the same calls until you are right? No? Then it would help to explain your position.
  • #100,660
  • Feb 13, 2017 4:44am Feb 13, 2017 4:44am
AUD seeing some buying today...looks like a setup..not a strong buying from desks as it it has no conviction....it seems like they going to hit this hard as soon as little bit is built....would be very cautious on buying AUD at this point. At the high against the USD in comparison to other commodity linked currencies. Possible downgrade by Moodys and SP. There is no reason for the strength at this point. Look at NZD...it's fallen and can't get up..batter up AUD
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