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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #28,941
  • Edited 7:37am Feb 3, 2017 5:56am | Edited 7:37am
S&P Long @ 2277.75
T1 +1.5 points
1 to go

FLAT +6 points

Price now in the Y single zone and filling it.
Big Gap up to last Week friday low @ 2288 zone.

All waiting for US news now.

Non proff Gap so could go down first to close the Y gap @ 2276 (Y close)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES 03-17 (15 Minute) 2017_02_03.png Size: 31 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,942
  • Edited 7:33am Feb 3, 2017 6:04am | Edited 7:33am
Still Short Gold @ 1217.5

FLAT +80 points

Closed the Gap of Feb 1 @ 1208 zone
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GC 04-17 (15 Minute) 2017_02_03.png Size: 25 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GC 04-17 (14 Range) 2017_02_03.png Size: 68 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,943
  • Feb 3, 2017 8:41am Feb 3, 2017 8:41am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
S&P Long @ 2277.75 T1 +1.5 points 1 to go FLAT +6 points Price now in the Y single zone and filling it. Big Gap up to last Week friday low @ 2288 zone. All waiting for US news now. Non proff Gap so could go down first to close the Y gap @ 2276 (Y close) {image}

S&P tries to reach the 2289-90 zone to close the GAP.

Now there is a light trades zone/pocket down to 2280/2278.
DAX doesn't/didn't follow to the upside
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,944
  • Feb 3, 2017 8:43am Feb 3, 2017 8:43am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote}DAX doesn't/didn't follow to the upside
Wow yeah...very off sync with Dow oO Do you have an idea why?
"Men Who Can Both Be Right & Sit Tight Are Uncommon" ~ Jesse Livermore
  • #28,945
  • Edited 9:00am Feb 3, 2017 8:47am | Edited 9:00am
Quoting michisuperfr
{quote} Wow yeah...very off sync with Dow oO Do you have an idea why?
Yes I do.

Some DAX trades do have brains. They see that the S&P is Overbought and need to go down.
So DAX doesn't follow to the upside.

S&P went up to the +0.5% from Y close and thats a hesitation or return level.

DAX is waiting now on its IB downside @ 11.625 to see what the US markets will gone do.
If the S&P pops again the DAX will follow to the 50% of its today IB @ 650 zone
If the S&P drops, the DAX will follow as well outside its IB zone
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,946
  • Edited 9:17am Feb 3, 2017 8:55am | Edited 9:17am
Last US news to be deliverd in 5 Min.

Last to numbers lower then expected.
So all the good and bad news has to be digested by the markets now.

S&P closed the GAP of Jan 27 now.
Next up taget could be 2293 Weekly POC and +0.75% from Y close

Down targets
2281/single TPOs
2276 Y close
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,947
  • Feb 3, 2017 9:22am Feb 3, 2017 9:22am
NFP kicked some positive momentum, we will see will it last, (ES and NQ close/ at resistance) but for now, since NYSE open, not a single negative tick read

NYSE TICK 1m chart, right from the dashed line is today

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nyse-tick-3feb.PNG Size: 99 KB


addon:
AND when you look at tick that strong - you do not want to short the resistance on it 4th test

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NQ-bo-feb3.PNG Size: 86 KB


Failed break is also a posibility, but don't short range bound market when tick is +1000
Range bounde market usualy have mediocre tick values.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #28,948
  • Feb 3, 2017 9:23am Feb 3, 2017 9:23am
GOLD long @ 1219.7

T1 +15 points
1 lot to go
Target 1224 zone and 1226 zone +0.5% Y close

FLAT +20 p last lot.
price wants to go back inside todays IB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GC 04-17 (15 Minute) 2017_02_03.png Size: 26 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,949
  • Feb 3, 2017 9:29am Feb 3, 2017 9:29am
First time in a rather long time that the DAX and Nikkei did not run with the DOW today. On a normal day where the DOW would be up 1.3% the DAX would be up around 2.5%
  • #28,950
  • Feb 3, 2017 9:31am Feb 3, 2017 9:31am
Quoting stylinex
First time in a rather long time that the DAX and Nikkei did not run with the DOW today. On a normal day where the DOW would be up 1.3% the DAX would be up around 2.5%
Europe has bigger problems then US at this moment.
Greece/Italy bank/money problems/ Elections coming up.

US has one problem only. Trump.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,951
  • Edited 9:51am Feb 3, 2017 9:37am | Edited 9:51am
S&P Short

T1 +1.25 points x 2 lot
1 to go

FLat -1 point last lot.

S&P wants to hit 2293 Weekly POC first. Just did now
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES 03-17 (8 Range) 2017_02_03.png Size: 83 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,952
  • Feb 3, 2017 10:24am Feb 3, 2017 10:24am
NQ short

T1 +5p
Flat +3.5 last lot.
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,953
  • Feb 3, 2017 12:47pm Feb 3, 2017 12:47pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} Europe has bigger problems then US at this moment. Greece/Italy bank/money problems/ Elections coming up. US has one problem only. Trump.
Don't know about that mate... Europe doesn't have dt in charge.
Que Sera
  • #28,954
  • Feb 3, 2017 2:18pm Feb 3, 2017 2:18pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} Europe has bigger problems then US at this moment. Greece/Italy bank/money problems/ Elections coming up. US has one problem only. Trump.
Hopefully we will see some volatility then starting in March for a correction or pullback.
  • #28,955
  • Feb 3, 2017 2:36pm Feb 3, 2017 2:36pm
From Belgium to Trump

Inserted Video
  • #28,956
  • Feb 3, 2017 2:37pm Feb 3, 2017 2:37pm
Germany second.. This Trump is a world class clown

Inserted Video
  • #28,957
  • Edited Feb 5, 2017 12:15am Feb 4, 2017 11:44pm | Edited Feb 5, 2017 12:15am
Dow Jones Index - Predictions for 2017 based on the 10 years cycle.

Sixer
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image
  • #28,958
  • Feb 5, 2017 4:10am Feb 5, 2017 4:10am
DAX. Based on monthly, current monthly candle is only on 1 week, means not clear signal.
On weekly chart, last weekly candle is red, which means test on the bottom of this candle. But last few weekly candles are with higher bottoms, lower tops. In this case the bottoms are more important, because the trend is upward. Soon there will be cross sma 50/ 100 below the price.
Based on daily and h4, DAX is over diagonal support. The pp of this small wave is 11710, important point for watching.
So for monday, I expect test 11710, depends of the pp is possible test 12150, over 11710. Below 11710, next stop is 11122. Current corrective wave is not completed.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: forex 841.png Size: 54 KB
  • #28,959
  • Feb 5, 2017 4:34am Feb 5, 2017 4:34am
So if DAX not break 11710, the next support is 11400. Below 11400, test 11122. Over 11710 this is level 11700 - 12580.
Based on small charts, I expect for Monday after opening European session test 11620 - 30, I think to go long from this point 11630, tp 11710. Depends of 11710 resistance there is possibility for nice green daily candle on Monday.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: forex 843.png Size: 63 KB
  • #28,960
  • Feb 5, 2017 6:23am Feb 5, 2017 6:23am
Big gaps to fill bellow on us indices & Japan in trouble ATM...

think we'll open down tomorrow.
Que Sera
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