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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #3,981
  • Jan 20, 2017 5:00am Jan 20, 2017 5:00am
Quoting vvFish
{quote} http://www.timeserver.ru/
I have this one
https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/

but doesn't tell me when frankfurt opens for trading. try again:
Quoting ruma29
what time frankfurt opens(ET)?
  • #3,982
  • Jan 20, 2017 5:04am Jan 20, 2017 5:04am
Quoting ruma29
{quote} I have this one https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/ but doesn't tell me when frankfurt opens for trading. try again: {quote}
Why ask the question, if you know the answer?
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,983
  • Jan 20, 2017 5:11am Jan 20, 2017 5:11am
Quoting vvFish
{quote} Why ask the question, if you know the answer?
I do not know the answer...you could say 1 hour before or after London ...or something else...

It looks too complicated
  • #3,984
  • Edited 8:06am Jan 20, 2017 5:26am | Edited 8:06am
Quoting ruma29
{quote} I do not know the answer...you could say 1 hour before or after London ...or something else... It looks too complicated

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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,985
  • Jan 20, 2017 6:46am Jan 20, 2017 6:46am
Quoting ruma29
On november 8/9 2016, market celebrated trump's victory!...in last days economy did not change and even if he say something will not have immediate effect: takes time Trump's personality request that he is in center of attention all day every day. That means that he will be on twitter this time with executive power, press conference unofficially every day... There is nothing for retail trader to interpret what he says. How market makers will interpret it, anyone knows? Absolutely not, it is impossible. How to trade under such circumstances? retail...
Japan PM adviser: Japan should intervene in FX if USD plunges 7 to 8 yen in a day

Adviser to the Japanese PM Koichi Hamada

  1. Some danger Trump could base decisions on 'wrong economics' if he doesn't heed good advice
  2. Japan need not cooperate with Trump on economic policies just to please him
  3. Japan does not need to stick to fiscal 2020 target for primary budget surplus
  4. Government should postpone further sales tax increase if Japan's economy stays in deflation
  5. Japan should intervene in FX mkt if dollar plunges 7-8 yen per day

Hamada is emeritus professor of economics at Yale University and a Cabinet adviser

Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,986
  • Jan 20, 2017 7:34am Jan 20, 2017 7:34am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,987
  • Jan 20, 2017 8:15am Jan 20, 2017 8:15am
Great weekend to everyone.
Inserted Video
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,988
  • Jan 21, 2017 2:01am Jan 21, 2017 2:01am
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Homework: Deal with the Turkish Lira
In addition to the new indicator on the calendar, you will also find four (!) Quarterly indicator ready for publication next week.
The ECB raised its inflation forecasts for 2017: from 1.2% to 1.4%. At the same time, the ECB noted that the completion of the incentive program (QE) is still too early to speculate.
Janet Yellen argues, the need to adjust monetary policy as the economy may overheat. The Fed is independent. Fiscal policy can affect the forecasts. Too long wait for a rate hike may lead the economy into recession.
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Theresa May said in Davos that Britain will remain an active participant in Europe. Earlier Tuesday, in its report, it was noted "we are coming out of the EU, but remain in Europe."
Goldman Sachs quietly moved from London to Frankfurt.
The Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged: 0.5%.
Teresa May 12 marked the main points of the negotiation process to resolve the EU (for example, close the border for the free migration). At the same time, the British prime minister wants to keep trade with the EU "the most free as possible."
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Dudley, Bernard Williams: speakers Fed officials speak positively about the US economy at the moment.
Trump believes the dollar high.
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Homework by Tuesday
Please note in your calendar, a new indicator TR interest repo rate added on request, which we published earlier. Please read the terms of trade with your broker for USDTRY.
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This week will be followed by a number of important quarterly publications: AU Consumer Price Index, of NZ Consumer Price Index, GB Advance GDP growth and US Preliminary GDP growth, which came to our rating of "top indicator for 2016".
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,989
  • Jan 21, 2017 2:03am Jan 21, 2017 2:03am
Tuesday
14:00
24/1/17
TR interest repo rate
(TR Repo Rate), Turkey, USDTRY
Average reaction when trigger 40.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,990
  • Jan 23, 2017 6:02am Jan 23, 2017 6:02am
scalping
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,991
  • Jan 24, 2017 2:20am Jan 24, 2017 2:20am
Quoting vvFish
Tuesday 14:00 24/1/17 TR interest repo rate (TR Repo Rate), Turkey, USDTRY Average reaction when trigger 40.00 points in the first minute after the release. 15% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Served first, it will not be included in this guarantee time. Thanks to all who deal with characters after the decimal point and more meaningful cost item that is very similar to the Scandinavian pair. Who has not had time to try a pair on trial before the auction - it's time to do it now.
In addition to the standard rate, and two overnight interest rates will be published. As a result, three digits, REPO (aka Interest Rate) remains a major market reaction. The conflict is possible, but unlikely. Will the delay is not known, since the indicator began to buy only 17 at the request of traders.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,992
  • Jan 24, 2017 5:02am Jan 24, 2017 5:02am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,993
  • Jan 24, 2017 5:08am Jan 24, 2017 5:08am
Wednesday
2:30
25/1/17
AU Consumer Price Index GOOD & DELAY
(AU CPI), Australia, the AUDUSD
The quarterly indicator.
the likelihood of delays and set the indicator data.
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.

Wednesday
17:30
25/1/17
US reserves of crude oil and petroleum products
(US Crude Oil Inventories), USA, #CL
Average reaction when trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Wednesday
23:45
25/1/17
NZ Consumer Price Index HOT!
(NZ CPI), New Zealand, NZDUSD
Average reaction when trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
2% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,994
  • Jan 25, 2017 9:37am Jan 25, 2017 9:37am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,995
  • Jan 25, 2017 10:29am Jan 25, 2017 10:29am
NZ CPI
Most Sinking in this indicator - is the annual rate, which is published after the quarterly. Accordingly, when small deviations over the headliner has a chance to get a stop primary reaction, if the data block will not be supported by the data of the year.
Note that the head of the RBNZ will deliver approximately one hour after the release.
RBNZ moving toward increasing their likelihood of interest rate. Against trampodollara uncertainty, it would be nicer to see growth indicators higher than forecast.
The last release we saw a sudden movement of the market before the release - it is worth to be careful: a sharp market movement burns alleged reaction at the moment of release. At such moments should go to higher triggers, and sometimes even give up the trade. Fortunately, an indicator usually arrives on time, but it is necessary to keep your finger on the pulse.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,996
  • Jan 25, 2017 3:50pm Jan 25, 2017 3:50pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,997
  • Jan 25, 2017 3:52pm Jan 25, 2017 3:52pm
Thursday
11:30
26/1/17
GB Advance GDP growth
(GB Prelim GDP), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 70.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.

Thursday
17:30
26/1/17
US Natural Gas Reserves
(US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG
Average reaction when trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,998
  • Jan 26, 2017 1:04am Jan 26, 2017 1:04am
Quoting vvFish
Average reaction when trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release. 15% probability trades.
Hi VVFish, thanks for sharing, this has become my point of reference on every news events.

Could you advise:

1. typically how many seconds after news release would you enter your trigger?

2. as above quoted triggered range, what would be your TP and SL like?
  • #3,999
  • Jan 26, 2017 2:07am Jan 26, 2017 2:07am
Quoting belief
{quote} Hi VVFish, thanks for sharing, this has become my point of reference on every news events. Could you advise: 1. typically how many seconds after news release would you enter your trigger? 2. as above quoted triggered range, what would be your TP and SL like?
1. entering a trade for 1-3 (and sometimes 5-10) seconds before the news.
2. I do not put the TP (Advisor trawls profit), the SL is not my, as exactly enter into a transaction. (I do not advise to do so).
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #4,000
  • Jan 26, 2017 3:31am Jan 26, 2017 3:31am
Quoting vvFish
{quote} 1. entering a trade for 1-3 (and sometimes 5-10) seconds before the news. 2. I do not put the TP (Advisor trawls profit), the SL is not my, as exactly enter into a transaction. (I do not advise to do so).
Thanks for taking time to reply, i have to ask..

1. do you subscribe to any advance news feeds/squawk (or check any news data first) before enter order? or just simply based on price action?

2. i presume from you reply that u don't use any initial pending SL order? the reason i ask is because i would like to understand how do you get out of trade should price move against your trade?
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