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Price Will Tell - Supply/Demand Price Action Trading

  • #1,161
  • Jan 25, 2017 2:22am Jan 25, 2017 2:22am
Only time and price will tell.

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  • #1,162
  • Jan 25, 2017 7:01am Jan 25, 2017 7:01am
Hi simon,
i want to ask, is this a good setup to buy? thank you
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  • #1,163
  • Jan 25, 2017 7:43am Jan 25, 2017 7:43am
Quoting aditmayapada
Hi simon, i want to ask, is this a good setup to buy? thank you {image}
The H1 looked a little unclear to my eyes. On that basis I've had to do a top down analysis:

W1

If this week's candle closes bearish there is quite a good chance that a long term bearish move will begin.

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D1

No reason my side to buy this.

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H4

I've removed the trendline.

There's some strong SR above. The circled area looks weak to my eyes, however. Personally I wouldn't buy touch off of it.

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H1 (your TF)

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  • #1,164
  • Jan 25, 2017 7:51am Jan 25, 2017 7:51am
Quoting simond2002
{quote} The H1 looked a little unclear to my eyes. On that basis I've had to do a top down analysis: W1 If this week's candle closes bearish there is quite a good chance that a long term bearish move will begin. USDCADWeekly.png;2155461 D1 No reason my side to buy this. USDCADDaily.png;2155463 H4 I've removed the trendline. There's some strong SR above. The circled area looks weak to my eyes, however. Personally I wouldn't buy touch off of it. USDCADH4.png;2155470 H1 (your TF) USDCADH1.png;2155475 {image} {image} {image} {image}
wow thank you sir, you make it clear
  • #1,165
  • Jan 25, 2017 8:02am Jan 25, 2017 8:02am
Quoting simond2002
{quote} The H1 looked a little unclear to my eyes. On that basis I've had to do a top down analysis: W1 If this week's candle closes bearish there is quite a good chance that a long term bearish move will begin. USDCADWeekly.png;2155461 D1 No reason my side to buy this. USDCADDaily.png;2155463 H4 I've removed the trendline. There's some strong SR above. The circled area looks weak to my eyes, however. Personally I wouldn't buy touch off of it. USDCADH4.png;2155470 H1 (your TF) USDCADH1.png;2155475 {image} {image} {image} {image}
Hi simond2002,

Great in depth thought.
Thank you
Let Market Tell You
  • #1,166
  • Jan 26, 2017 3:13am Jan 26, 2017 3:13am
EURUSD M5 current structure. The full-screen horizontal line is just an M15 Alert.

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  • #1,167
  • Jan 27, 2017 1:53am Jan 27, 2017 1:53am
Some EURUSD M5 levels. 1.06574 being defended. If price breaks these recent LHs I'd be happy to buy it intraday for some retrace.

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  • #1,168
  • Jan 27, 2017 2:53am Jan 27, 2017 2:53am
USDCAD H1

The next hour or so on this pair can possibly be fundamental to whether or not it breaks low longer term.

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  • #1,169
  • Jan 27, 2017 4:37am Jan 27, 2017 4:37am
Dragon M5

The area where things can get interesting.

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  • #1,170
  • Jan 27, 2017 4:45am Jan 27, 2017 4:45am
Quoting simond2002
USDCAD H1 The next hour or so on this pair can possibly be fundamental to whether or not it breaks low longer term. USDCADH1.png;2159298 {image}
Took a coupe of shorts on this but they came back at B/E. Reasons for trying to short originate in post 1163.

On H1 at least, this pair is now indeterminate direction my side, and the longer term move if it sets up won't become clearer to spot until W1 closes anyway. Was still worth a lower TF shot nevertheless.

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  • #1,171
  • Jan 29, 2017 5:17am Jan 29, 2017 5:17am
Quoting simond2002
{quote}W1 If this week's candle closes bearish there is quite a good chance that a long term bearish move will begin.
Closed bearish but:

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  • #1,172
  • Jan 29, 2017 6:11am Jan 29, 2017 6:11am
Quoting simond2002
Is it a bird or is it a plane? ...
QM, UU,SD.. all have roots in fundamental trading dependant on supply and demand and therefore dependant on location, HTF and interpretation. QM, UU are filtered out specific patterns....Wrongly applied give opportunity to everyone to criticize it...

Did you google QM , visited QM websites compared it with your drawings?
  • #1,173
  • Jan 29, 2017 6:42am Jan 29, 2017 6:42am
Quoting ruma29
Did you google QM , visited QM websites compared it with your drawings?
Did you?

Post some of your own drawings.
  • #1,174
  • Jan 29, 2017 7:43am Jan 29, 2017 7:43am
Quoting simond2002
{quote} Did you? Post some of your own drawings.
no. I have nothing to add to what already sam seiden, steve w. batus, joe wright said about supply -demand, QM. they are innovators and i respect them. There is no need for me to alternate anything what they already said and did on this subject.

As you know many failed...

---------

by the way a few weeks ago you said goodbye to this thread. what makes you to break your word?
  • #1,175
  • Jan 29, 2017 9:17am Jan 29, 2017 9:17am
Quoting ruma29
sam seiden, said about supply -demand
I've mentioned Sam Seiden many times before. He opened the door for a lot of people on their journey. But as you know, the trading story only begins with Sam's kind of analysis, it certainly doesn't end with it.

Quoting ruma29
--------- by the way a few weeks ago you said goodbye to this thread. what makes you to break your word?
I answered your original question about that here

--------------------------------------------------------

I'll leave you with a chart that illustrates my application of price-action, which in this (shorting) example also includes a QM (which I won't point out because it's up to traders to see if for themselves). My calculation here is quick but I estimate the profit to be about 5800 pips.

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I sincerely hope you understand how easy it is for me to post a chart like the above, after the trade has already played out. I'm tired of discussing the pitfalls of that kind of "analysis" and won't discuss it any further. Suffice to say that is the reason I posted this chart on December 11th 2015.
  • #1,176
  • Jan 30, 2017 6:18am Jan 30, 2017 6:18am
Quoting simond2002
Oz. This is the last level I'm going to look for shorts. If it doesn't sell-off from here I'll go back to D1. AUDUSDM15.png;2153640 {image}
D1 finally printed fresh supply and I'm now entered short (protected) with fractal analysis on M5. It's been whipping around like crazy at these levels. Will be much happier once price prints lower than the lowest yellow line. All in the lap of the gods now.

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  • #1,177
  • Jan 30, 2017 7:36am Jan 30, 2017 7:36am
Stopped at B/E Oz.
  • #1,178
  • Jan 31, 2017 2:51am Jan 31, 2017 2:51am
10th day, Oz has been in consolidation. Still happy to look to short to the lower levels (HTF). This morning's M15 has already left the station. Will look to sell a retrace until that option is no longer viable.

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  • #1,179
  • Jan 31, 2017 6:02am Jan 31, 2017 6:02am
Quoting simond2002
10th day, Oz has been in consolidation. Still happy to look to short to the lower levels (HTF). This morning's M15 has already left the station. Will look to sell a retrace until that option is no longer viable. AUDUSDM15.png;2164409 {image}
Took 3 x short entries this morning, all stopped at B/E on the breakout. Despite this current bull run I have no interest in buying this pair at these prices

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  • #1,180
  • Feb 2, 2017 6:27am Feb 2, 2017 6:27am
GBPJPY D1

Just a bit of PA as price crosses the Daily.

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