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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #28,561
  • Jan 17, 2017 5:09am Jan 17, 2017 5:09am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} Flat +71 last lot. Singles almost covered
well predicted Dutchy
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #28,562
  • Jan 17, 2017 5:19am Jan 17, 2017 5:19am
Quoting manosk
{quote} well predicted Dutchy
I NEVER predict Manosk. I leave that to fortune tellers.

I make analizes on the base of TPO/Market profile charts. (anyway I try to do so)

If I analized it correctly, I should have seen that the DAX price went up to the POC of Monday @ 11.590.
But I didn't watch it correctly and it cost me 50 points.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,563
  • Jan 17, 2017 5:31am Jan 17, 2017 5:31am
Quoting pipsy7
{quote} ------------------------------- luckeee me - - - $$$$$$$ = {image}
-----------------------------
TP1 @11653.77 , TP2 will post L8R = SL man.
da n0o0b + $hit_Disturber
  • #28,564
  • Jan 17, 2017 7:20am Jan 17, 2017 7:20am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} I NEVER predict Manosk. I leave that to fortune tellers. I make analizes on the base of TPO/Market profile charts. (anyway I try to do so) If I analized it correctly, I should have seen that the DAX price went up to the POC of Monday @ 11.590. But I didn't watch it correctly and it cost me 50 points.
#28'563

....but the problem is that the market didn't follow anyone trader's analysis in a reliable and valid way, ...if so if only briefly.
So what I can do is look at my money- & risk management. If the price would go 20 points more up or 120 points more down, who knows?
...& who cares?, ...exclusively market participants with a higher risk. It is anything but safe...everything but perfect.
There is nothing for it but to say to throw sand into somebody's eyes, ...all these alleged statements about the "right" market price.
my 2 cents.
  • #28,565
  • Jan 17, 2017 8:44am Jan 17, 2017 8:44am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} #28'563 ....but the problem is that the market didn't follow anyone trader's analysis in a reliable and valid way, ...if so if only briefly. So what I can do is look at my money- & risk management. If the price would go 20 points more up or 120 points more down, who knows? ...& who cares?, ...exclusively market participants with a higher risk. It is anything but safe...everything but perfect. There is nothing for it but to say to throw sand into somebody's eyes, ...all these alleged statements about the "right" market price. my 2 cents.
-------------------
all what u need is a True bankOrder flow
da n0o0b + $hit_Disturber
  • #28,566
  • Jan 17, 2017 11:13am Jan 17, 2017 11:13am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
US markets will wait now for the Trump promisses. Tax reduction for companies. So far he's making enemies only. Car & Pharma industries.
If those tax cut promises kick in for the companies that would be great news for Corporate earnings. 20% less taxes for them to pay. That could be used to hire more people and put more money into people's pockets instead of the government's pockets. More money into people's pockets means more money to spend which means better economic sales and growth numbers.
  • #28,567
  • Edited 1:10am Jan 18, 2017 12:20am | Edited 1:10am
NQ sideways. All my MA lines gathered. Popped up a little from the last Weekly POC during overnight up to Monday traded zone.

Gold moved to the Sell side of all my MA lines. Some singles below to cover.
Also a GAP to fill between Y low@ 1211 and Monday High @ 1204

DAX has a suppport level @ 11.540 zone. No idea where it wants to go to but Short @ 560
Could test the last Weekly POC @ 470 to the downside.
DAX has 2 GAPS to close to the upside. Last Week Wed. @ 640 & Last Week Friday @ 619

Lot of US news today.
Yellen will speak tonight
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,568
  • Edited 2:24am Jan 18, 2017 12:40am | Edited 2:24am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
NQ sideways. All my MA lines gathered. Popped up a little from the last Weekly POC during overnight up to Monday traded zone. Gold moved to the Sell side of all my MA lines. Some singles below to cover. Also a GAP to fill between Y low@ 1211 and Monday High @ 1204 DAX has a suppport level @ 11.540. No idea where it wants to go to but Short @ 560 Could test the last Weekly POC @ 470 to the downside. DAX has 2 GAPS to close to the upside. Last Week Wed. @ 640 & Last Week Friday @ 619 Lot of US news today. Yellen will speak tonight
No idea where it wants to go to but Short @ 560

T1 +11p
1 lot to go

Flat +20p on the bottom of the IB @ 11.540 (11.540 is a support level as posted befor)
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,569
  • Jan 18, 2017 5:08am Jan 18, 2017 5:08am
Hello,

I have a question for some different opinions. I ask because of the name of the forum. Intraday, tactics, DAX.

Why is the DAX so flat today, in comparison to yesterday?. Yesterday made an attempt lower and then a decent swing upwards (as you probably are aware).
In comparison, today is flat with low volume.

What do you look at when trying to gauge whether or not to expect a session with movement and reasonable volume, as opposed to expecting a low volume, tight range session?. Obviously public holidays, days before events, etc., can cause low volume, and then there is the days like the election etc., that cause erratic movement. Does the Eurex calendar assist your trading decisions in any way?

What is it on the average day that makes one day move 100+ points in a morning period, and then other days like today, are lacking all activity?
What causes the Dax to move during a session (beyond the obvious answer of buying and selling), and what causes it to be a flat session (other than public holidays)?.


Any and all answers are appreciated, I am a relative beginner, however I am learning quickly, thank you.
  • #28,570
  • Jan 18, 2017 5:44am Jan 18, 2017 5:44am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} Hi rippedbogan, edgewise? the internet is full of your answers, I would take a search there...& I'm sure you will find a lot of answers... & I'm curious if you could find a secretary who take time to reply all your newbie questions. e.c. "dax what influences the dax" Ungefhr 557'000 Ergebnisse (0.58 Sekunden) https://www.ufx.com/en-GB/assets/indices/dax/ Most of the companies on the DAX 30 also trade in the U.S., and therefore serve as a good indicator of the trends in the U.S. markets. The European market session, because it...
Why would you act in a patronising manner when a good question is asked?
  • #28,571
  • Edited 6:05am Jan 18, 2017 5:51am | Edited 6:05am
Quoting rippedbogan
Hello, I have a question for some different opinions. I ask because of the name of the forum. Intraday, tactics, DAX. Why is the DAX so flat today, in comparison to yesterday?. Yesterday made an attempt lower and then a decent swing upwards (as you probably are aware). In comparison, today is flat with low volume. What do you look at when trying to gauge whether or not to expect a session with movement and reasonable volume, as opposed to expecting a low volume, tight range session?. Obviously public holidays, days before events, etc., can cause...
Hello to you rippedbogan,

this is a good question, I hope that some of the more experienced members here can provide some relative information, it could be a good discussion. I think that a lot of traders would like to be able to answer the question, but can't. Except with generic crap from the internet.
  • #28,572
  • Edited 6:47am Jan 18, 2017 6:27am | Edited 6:47am
Yesterday the DAX was reacting on the British PM Ms. May re the Brexit plans.

In general the DAX (and other EU markets) listen/react on the local and EU news in the first Hour of Cash open.
A few Hours after cash open the EU market are watching what happened and is happening on the US markets and anticipate on that.
During the US session EU markets are US market followers in general.

Now the 3 Months company earnings start again and the markets wait for the first numbers to be presented.

Its a strange Week anyway because of US bank Holiday last Monday and Trump party coming Friday.
This morning was extreem slow.
ES had few contracts traded only during the EU morning.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,573
  • Jan 18, 2017 6:48am Jan 18, 2017 6:48am
Mkt will remain in state of confusion, most likely till tomorrow...Tommorw US mkt should ring Trump rally, also Thursday. I personally feel Dow hitting 20k on or before Trump inauguration
  • #28,574
  • Jan 18, 2017 7:26am Jan 18, 2017 7:26am
Quoting Jamos
{quote} Why would you act in a patronising manner when a good question is asked?
#28'571

What is a good question for you?
  • #28,575
  • Jan 18, 2017 7:33am Jan 18, 2017 7:33am
Quoting rippedbogan
Hello, I have a question for some different opinions. I ask because of the name of the forum. Intraday, tactics, DAX. Why is the DAX so flat today, in comparison to yesterday?. Yesterday made an attempt lower and then a decent swing upwards (as you probably are aware). In comparison, today is flat with low volume. ...
s*lly question
Take a look at the news...& think a little about Theresa May's full statement on Brexit at 17. January 2017
  • #28,576
  • Jan 19, 2017 12:07am Jan 19, 2017 12:07am
this days very few updates in this thread...??
  • #28,577
  • Edited 12:34am Jan 19, 2017 12:15am | Edited 12:34am
Quoting Noob Trader
this days very few updates in this thread...??
If there is anything to say ........and there is in fact....

Today EU Min Bid Rate. No change expected, but the press conf. could move the market.
One Hr before US open.
I think the DAX is waiting for that.

US news later today will drive the maket I think as well.

Also Oil inventories later today. That could affect the DOW.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,578
  • Edited 12:30am Jan 19, 2017 12:18am | Edited 12:30am
Long (counter) in the CL.
Small profit only (or BE trade)

FLAT +15 ticks ($150,00)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CL 03-17 (14 Range) 2017_01_19.png Size: 77 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,579
  • Jan 19, 2017 12:35am Jan 19, 2017 12:35am
With the U.S. economy close to full employment and inflation headed toward the Federal Reserve's 2 percent goal, it "makes sense" for the U.S. central bank to gradually lift interest rates, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on Wednesday. "Waiting too long to begin moving toward the neutral rate could risk a nasty surprise down the road
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,580
  • Edited 1:36am Jan 19, 2017 1:03am | Edited 1:36am
Long Euro Future.
T1 +10 pips
1 lot to go
+10 pips locked in last lot

Target 1.07000 or higher
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 6E 03-17 (12 Range) 2017_01_19.png Size: 71 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
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