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Q A M Trading Strategy

  • #1,881
  • Dec 18, 2016 9:23pm Dec 18, 2016 9:23pm
Quoting whateveridon
What is lagging?.
Lagging:

Most if not all indicators are derived from price and therefore respond after the fact which means price moves first and then the indicator makes its little calculations from these price movements and then it updates.

The indicator visual is therefore lagging behind price which means if you follow an entry signal from a lagging indicator then you are too late to the party and can easily miss out on a nice move which you might have been able to grab hold of if you knew how to trade using PA and ignored the lagging indicators entirely.

Such examples of lagging indicators are as follows:

MACD
RSI
STOCHASTIC
CCI
BOLLINGER BANDS just to name a few.

.......... and the list is endless.

A pivot point indicator is not lagging because it derives its data from a previous period of time and then does the calculation to determine the various levels and then projects them onto the current period whatever that may happen to be (could be H4, D1, W1 or Monthly).

The Quantum indicator is also not lagging because as soon as price breaks through either higher or lower based on user set period (eg Quantum set = 40 on an M5 chart) a signal box appears and it also never repaints and will always print on the same candle that it first appears. An important point to make here is that the candle does not need to complete before a Quantum signal box is printed.

This is why I prefer not to use lagging indicators.
I do like informative indicators though for timely and accurate trading data such as ATR, ADR, drawdown%, current profit etc etc etc.

Masterrmind............
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,882
  • Dec 18, 2016 11:05pm Dec 18, 2016 11:05pm
Quoting sniper4x
Thanks in your thread mastermind. I will first read it from the first post and study it. Your a very good man. Helping other traders to succeed.
This is all of only 1 little tiny trading strategy that I apply.

However, based on the account size the application of QAM can be quite different.

For example, on larger account the trading style is far more relaxed but you still need to keep a close watch over the floating DD and any impending news that could potentially send PA far against your cycle.

If you have a quick look at simnz demo TE you will notice a template that I designed and he was kind enough to run it on his own demo account.

The demo account only lasted about 30 days that's why it is no longer running but you can still see the success rate and gain it made.

Any template designed and developed requires quite a lot of analysis that involves a host of parameters such as preferred pair, TF, Quantum value (initial), trading time slot and the list goes on and on.

A different template needs to be designed and developed for each unique situation because for one thing the trading ranges are different and the pair might be a turtle pair or it might be a volatile pair and so the PLS sequence needs to be modified or what will happen is too much stress will be shown on a given account and this is not ideal.

A PLS system then needs to be worked out for a given initial starting balance.
Then the method must be monitored and managed by a capable trader.

The system is phenomenal on an account >>10K but over 100K it is very very enjoyable to trade.

Unfortunately on a smaller account as I am trading here just for the masses of onlookers it is a very different and difficult task.

In short if a trader has 10K then they should trade as I do once I reveal the >>10K QAM strategy (it starts off slowly then winds up ever so gradually with incrementally larger lot sizings in the PLS algo).

However, until I get this cent account up to 10K it will not be revealed.

Masterrmind............
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,883
  • Dec 19, 2016 9:11pm Dec 19, 2016 9:11pm
Quoting Masterrmind
{quote} Lagging: Most if not all indicators are derived from price and therefore respond after the fact which means price moves first and then the indicator makes its little calculations from these price movements and then it updates. The indicator visual is therefore lagging behind price which means if you follow an entry signal from a lagging indicator then you are too late to the party and can easily miss out on a nice move which you might have been able to grab hold of if you knew how to trade using PA and ignored the lagging indicators entirely....



Probably excellent, this could be very important information, Probably more important for the people that wants to understand how prices works, practically. l use moving average, to calculate how to enter like exactly, l use multiple moving average, the indicators that l use are 30 moving average 1 to 30 exponential moving average.

Based on my genius about time on the currencies the price could make future prices based on price of the past price. Probably you "ask yourself" ¿How can l know
that prices makes an a certain price with prices of the past price?. Probably some banks have strategies for invest certain money and these strategies could make
the price change of price in a stable manner, including other banks; Think that we animals we have certain re-petitive habits. When I see graphics l observe prices
of the chart, practically are the prices of the chart expressed in "candles"!.


(I will continue editing that text in the future!!).
  • #1,884
  • Dec 20, 2016 11:46pm Dec 20, 2016 11:46pm
Quoting whateveridon
{quote} Probably excellent, this could be very important information, Probably more important for the people that wants to understand how prices works, practically. l use moving average, to calculate how to enter like exactly, l use multiple moving average, the indicators that l use are 30 moving average 1 to 30 exponential moving average. Based on my genius about time on the currencies the price could make future prices based on price of the past price. Probably you "ask yourself" How can l know that prices makes an a certain price with prices...
If the depth of your pockets are limitless then you have the ability to trade how ever you desire without limitations whatsoever.

Unfortunately for the mere mortals this endless supply of capital is not a reality.

Moving averages are all lagging so sooner or later you will get into or out of a trade or trades at an incorrect time and either make an entry far too late, get out of a trade far too early or get caught up in a reversal right at your entry level and get smashed by the market until your stop reduces the carnage to your trading account.

The larger the TF you trade the less the impact to a certain extent however to place stops for your trades realistically they will need to be far larger in pips from your entry point than on a smaller opportunistic TF.

Smaller swing highs and lows equates to smaller pip distances for your stop.
Larger swing highs and lows equates to larger pip distances for your stop.

A constant MA with 30 periods (simple or EMA) might work fine for X number of days and weeks but there will come a time when the dynamics of the market even on a given pair change that much that your "MA" trades will be way out of sync with the current flowing order flow of the market and you will get smashed and start to lose multiple trades.

The only true successful methods that I've found to work in trading over the past 3 decades is as follows:

1. Technical analysis concepts over intra-day trading that follow PA, order flow and keeping in tune with the changing dynamics of market behavior.

2. Fundamental and sentimental setups that apply sound technical entry points ... seek to allow the market to take you out not an assigned TP level.

3. Hybrid systems that apply single to multiple pairs (incl. turtle, moderate and volatile, indices and hard commodities) that trade in and around known and projected trading ranges and that seek to follow a positive advancing equity curve which limit the floating DD or having the capacity to effectively apply hedging strategies (either same pair or other pairs or other instruments or indeed options hedging relevant to the given situation) in the event that recovery strategies are deemed necessary to protect or recover losses.

4. Unlimited capital trading very small volume (maintaining a very high margin level percentage).

Good trading,

Masterrmind.............
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,885
  • Dec 21, 2016 7:05am Dec 21, 2016 7:05am
I think l will investigate more information about "successful methods that I've found to work in trading over the past 3 decades is as follows:.
  • #1,886
  • Jan 1, 2017 10:40pm Jan 1, 2017 10:40pm
QUANTUM-IE-HEDGE STRATEGY

Over the past several months (and drawing on years of experience both trading and mathematical wise) I have been busily working on and refining a Quantum hedging strategy.

This strategy is appropriately named Quantum-IE-Hedge.

Quantum = revolves around trades being taken using the Quantum indicator
I ............. = internal hedging features
E ............ = external hedging features
Hedge ... = "When a currency trader enters into a trade with the intent of protecting an existing or anticipated position from an unwanted move in the foreign currency exchange rates, they can be said to have entered into a forex hedge." Investopedia.

Trading Quantum can lead to large DD issues so some method needs to be applied that seeks to reduce the severity on the trading account.

It makes logical sense that a technique be implemented that considers reducing DD issues in the first place (anticipation).
It then follows that a technique be implemented under more critical trading conditions (existing).

Only a very basic idea of the strategy will be posted here.

The Quantum-IE-Hedge System is quite complicated in its workings however the general concept is rather simple.

After some more forward testing on a few demo accounts it is planned that the method be coded into mql5 and perhaps higher level programs.

A demo account with an initial balance of US$50 000 will be used on AAFX brokerage for the purposes of forward testing.

Some refining and fine tuning of the strategy will be completed as trading and assessments are made.

Updates to the Q-IE-H Strategy will be done in a timely manner once improvements are identified.

This is to ensure the smooth progression of the strategy since getting it coded into mql5 is the medium term goal at this stage.

Note that the inner workings of this hedging strategy are highly advanced and therefore I will only cover the general basics in this thread.

The plan is to implement a learning algorithm into mql5 or preferably higher programming language such that the Expert Advisor learns from mistakes made and makes adjustments including rolling updates to the key parameters.

I will not elaborate in depth about how it works internally except to give broad descriptions.

Time to get started and January is as good a time as any.

Good trading to all in 2017 and beyond!

Masterrmind...........
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,887
  • Jan 1, 2017 10:52pm Jan 1, 2017 10:52pm
Quote
QUANTUM-IE-HEDGE STRATEGY

Over the past several months (and drawing on years of experience both trading and mathematical wise) I have been busily working on and refining a Quantum hedging strategy.

This strategy is appropriately named Quantum-IE-Hedge.

Quantum = revolves around trades being taken using the Quantum indicator
I ............. = internal hedging features
E ............ = external hedging features
Hedge...
wish u happy new year mate
  • #1,888
  • Jan 1, 2017 10:57pm Jan 1, 2017 10:57pm
Quoting Masterrmind
QUANTUM-IE-HEDGE STRATEGY Over the past several months (and drawing on years of experience both trading and mathematical wise) I have been busily working on and refining a Quantum hedging strategy. This strategy is appropriately named Quantum-IE-Hedge. Quantum = revolves around trades being taken using the Quantum indicator I ............. = internal hedging features E ............ = external hedging features Hedge ... = "When a currency trader enters into a trade with the intent of protecting an existing or anticipated position from an unwanted...
This is a testing phase in forward motion and it is expected that obstacles will jump out in front to hamper the progress of trading.

This is the benefit of trading a test (or several) run over many months before trading it live.

Starting in January will also test it but that's my purpose I want to see how it unfolds from low volatile to higher volatile trading periods over days, weeks and months.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 52 KB


Initial observations to be made are as follows:

1. Demo Account only

2. US$50 000 initial capital

3. 2 pairs (only GBPJPY and Gold initially but others can and may be added for different reasons).

4. Pairs are negatively correlated (by my analysis).

5. 4 traded charts (but only 2 pairs).

Trading will commence some time during this week as this broker is asleep today.

...... more to come

Masterrmind..........
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,889
  • Jan 1, 2017 10:59pm Jan 1, 2017 10:59pm
Quote
This is a testing phase in forward motion and it is expected that obstacles will jump out in front to hamper the progress of trading.

This is the benefit of trading a test (or several) run over many months before trading it live.

Starting in January will also test it but that's my purpose I want to see how it unfolds from low volatile to higher volatile trading periods over days, weeks and months.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1483332895


Initial...
wish u happy new year mate
  • #1,890
  • Jan 1, 2017 11:00pm Jan 1, 2017 11:00pm
Quoting saranga
{quote} wish u happy new year mate
Happy New Year to you too!

Wishing you an awesome 2017.

Masterrmind..........
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,891
  • Jan 1, 2017 11:35pm Jan 1, 2017 11:35pm
Q-IE-H

The method will use an existing MT4 EA (refer previous screenshot) to open trades at assigned Quantum boxes, later MT5 will be used.

The Quantum input values are set the same for both pairs in this test but they will be modified as trading progresses.
Ideally and logically speaking each pair should have 2 unique Q input values for each chart and each pair should have different Q values.

Starting off near Tokyo Open is not seen as such a big deal for similar Q values on both pairs.
However, these Q values will be changed dynamically by myself when required.

The MT5 Expert will do much of the readjusting of parameter input values to lessen the workload of the trader.

The MT5 Expert will also apply a type of learning algorithm that gathers data on losing trades and makes modifications.

Until the MT5 Expert is completed (much later on) the trader will need to keep rather busy.

No matter the advancements in the MT5 or other trading Expert Advisor in my view the trader must always monitor and manage cycles of trades and keep well informed as to the current floating DD either visually (screen) or alert push notifications to a smartphone/email etc.

So MT4 will be used now and MT5 will be used in the final version after a few (or several) months of forward testing have been completed.
The fewer the issues the more likely MT5 EA will be developed.

ps. TE applied and myfxbook will also be available.

Masterrmind...........
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,892
  • Jan 2, 2017 12:03am Jan 2, 2017 12:03am
How are the parameters determined?

The general approach is basically as follows:

1. Pair unique trading history (also projected)
2. ADR and ATW trading ranges (depending on actual preferred trading window)
3. Extensive fitting of Quantum values over an applicable trading period
4. Excel analysis that uses multiple parameters (Pair, TF, Ranges, volatility, Q values, etc etc etc)
5. Pair 1 needs to be matched up to Pair 2
6. Overlapping frequency of different Quantum values on the same pair need to be analyzed in depth
7. Point 6 needs to be done for Pair 2
8. Comprehensive Excel sheet used for final approach must consider PLS lot sequence, Account Balance, and risk rating.
9. Other factors

Note that it is possible to determine the parameters for any pair in my Excel Sheet over any balance and any risk rating.

In terms of risk rating this refers to the PLS as matched to the initial account balance of which I currently have 3 (low-1, medium-2 and high-3).
Other intermediate risk ratings can be added if needed.
The likely volatility and ADR of a given pair are also considered and values are then adjusted accordingly.

The PLS is determined over 42 levels which should be sufficient to handle an M30 TF however time will tell moving forward if this holds true.
Additional levels can be added if and when required including an updated PLS lot sequence for any pair.

ps. unfortunately I will not be providing the Excel Sheet.

Masterrmind............
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,893
  • Jan 3, 2017 2:07am Jan 3, 2017 2:07am
GBPJPY + GOLD Cycles Started

Trading has commenced at the start of the London Session today.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 49 KB

2 shorts generated on the GJ pair
Gold is yet to be triggered.

GJ [M30; 25, 100; TP 100, 250]

Usually trading will commence from close to Tokyo Open give or take an hour.

Lets see how the cycles unfold in time.

Masterrmind...........
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,894
  • Jan 3, 2017 6:36pm Jan 3, 2017 6:36pm
Quoting Masterrmind
GBPJPY + GOLD Cycles Started Trading has commenced at the start of the London Session today. {image} 2 shorts generated on the GJ pair Gold is yet to be triggered. GJ [M30; 25, 100; TP 100, 250] Usually trading will commence from close to Tokyo Open give or take an hour. Lets see how the cycles unfold in time. Masterrmind...........
A modest start to the Q-IE-H Strategy.

+1.2% daily gain on the 1st day and this was taking it very easy.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 49 KB


ps. once my analytics are up and running I will be looking at posting some form of representation of the floating DD% to the gain generated.

Masterrmind...........
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,895
  • Jan 3, 2017 7:45pm Jan 3, 2017 7:45pm
Q-IE-H Setup running from closer to Tokyo today.

Lets see how today turns out although entries will probably be generated later in the day due mainly to positioning of current price to Quantum boxes on all 4 templates.

I'm not in a hurry so I'll simply wait for the market to react.

myfxbook link to this strategy available from here:

https://www.myfxbook.com/members/MAS...17-dt1/1914952

Masterrmind...........
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,896
  • Jan 3, 2017 8:46pm Jan 3, 2017 8:46pm
Quoting Masterrmind
Q-IE-H Setup running from closer to Tokyo today. Lets see how today turns out although entries will probably be generated later in the day due mainly to positioning of current price to Quantum boxes on all 4 templates. I'm not in a hurry so I'll simply wait for the market to react. myfxbook link to this strategy available from here: https://www.myfxbook.com/members/MAS...17-dt1/1914952 Masterrmind...........
Hi MM, FYI
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot3.png Size: 53 KB
  • #1,897
  • Jan 3, 2017 9:08pm Jan 3, 2017 9:08pm
Quoting jayhong
{quote} Hi MM, FYI {image}
Issue fixed.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 36 KB


Masterrmind...........
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,898
  • Jan 3, 2017 9:30pm Jan 3, 2017 9:30pm
Quoting Masterrmind
{quote} Issue fixed. {image} Masterrmind...........
I will see your portfolio. You are very smart, compared with all ""for-ex"" investors.
  • #1,899
  • Jan 3, 2017 9:56pm Jan 3, 2017 9:56pm
Quoting whateveridon
{quote} I will see your portfolio. You are very smart, compared with all ""for-ex"" investors.
Appreciate the compliment.

Good trading,

Masterrmind...........
Master your Mind then Master your Trades
  • #1,900
  • Jan 3, 2017 11:11pm Jan 3, 2017 11:11pm
Quoting Masterrmind
{quote} Issue fixed. {image} Masterrmind...........
thank you MM. I found that "Trading Activity" -> "History" is private, can you turn it on?
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