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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #3,841
  • Nov 30, 2016 9:34am Nov 30, 2016 9:34am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,842
  • Nov 30, 2016 9:41am Nov 30, 2016 9:41am
Quoting RisingSun
{quote} You should learn to read vvFish's chart. He shows he had a profit of 17 points or 1.7 pips. The yellow number "17" means that. This number is generated by a script he gave in the paper clip (attachments) of the thread. RS
Thank you my friend, and now I realized that this is my yellow numbers on the graph mean. (Joke)
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,843
  • Nov 30, 2016 9:44am Nov 30, 2016 9:44am
Thursday
11:30
12/1/16
GB Industry Activity Index GOOD
(GB Manufacturing PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 20.00 points in the first minute after the release.
20% probability trades.

Thursday
15:30
12/1/16
US weekly jobless report
(US Unemployment Claims), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
10% probability trades.

Thursday
17:00
12/1/16
US ISM index of business optimism
(US ISM Manufacturing PMI), USA, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Thursday
17:30
12/1/16
US Natural Gas Reserves
(US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG
Average reaction when trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,844
  • Nov 30, 2016 6:29pm Nov 30, 2016 6:29pm
Scalping @ Tokyo open, referencing 5 sec. chart; useful hint for news trading, if anyone likes.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-12-01 09_19_43-60-01 - USDJPY,M1.png Size: 159 KB
  • #3,845
  • Dec 1, 2016 12:09am Dec 1, 2016 12:09am
Quoting RisingSun
Scalping @ Tokyo open, referencing 5 sec. chart; useful hint for news trading, if anyone likes. {image}
how is this usefull to you in news trading?
  • #3,846
  • Edited 4:42am Dec 1, 2016 1:15am | Edited 4:42am
Quoting pulke
{quote} how is this usefull to you in news trading?
vvFish says manual entry one or two sec before the news is best. One should of course get used to using sec tf by practice. You may have noticed vvFish enters after the spike, sometimes counter direction. Sec chart should allow one to do the same. Have you ever seen the sec by sec charts of all the news out there, provided by the fasteconomicnews.com? Go there and check out Forex News Calendar page.
RS
  • #3,847
  • Dec 1, 2016 3:28am Dec 1, 2016 3:28am
Quoting RisingSun
{quote} You should learn to read vvFish's chart. He shows he had a profit of 17 points or 1.7 pips. The yellow number "17" means that. This number is generated by a script he gave in the paper clip (attachments) of the thread. RS


You consider 1.7 pips to be a successful trade? seems much more like a breakeven trade.
HMSR
  • #3,848
  • Dec 1, 2016 3:39am Dec 1, 2016 3:39am
Quoting Hmsr
{quote} You consider 1.7 pips to be a successful trade? seems much more like a breakeven trade.
Despite what lot you enter into a transaction
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,849
  • Dec 1, 2016 3:39am Dec 1, 2016 3:39am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,850
  • Dec 1, 2016 3:48am Dec 1, 2016 3:48am
Quoting RisingSun
{quote} vvFish says manual entry one or two min before the news is best. Sec chart should allow you to make better decision than M1, imo. One should of course get used to using sec tf by practice. You may have noticed vvFish enters after the spike, sometimes counter direction. Sec chart should allow one to do the same. Have you ever seen the sec by sec charts of all the news out there, provided by the fasteconomicnews.com? Go there and check out Forex News Calendar page. RS
entry into the market for 1-3 seconds before the news
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,851
  • Dec 1, 2016 4:41am Dec 1, 2016 4:41am
Quoting vvFish
{quote} entry into the market for 1-3 seconds before the news
My bad, yes seconds, not minutes. Sorry for that. Correction made.
  • #3,852
  • Dec 1, 2016 7:35am Dec 1, 2016 7:35am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,853
  • Dec 1, 2016 9:02am Dec 1, 2016 9:02am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,854
  • Dec 1, 2016 9:54am Dec 1, 2016 9:54am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,855
  • Dec 1, 2016 10:01am Dec 1, 2016 10:01am
Friday
2:30
12/2/16
5 Kommentarii5 New comments
AU Retail Sales
(AU Retail Sales), Australia, the AUDUSD
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Friday
11:30
12/2/16
GB Index PMI in construction
(GB Construction PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Friday
15:30
12/2/16
US Number of employed outside agriculture HOT!
(US Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
50% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"

The main dilemma of the current Nonfarma. Pay particular attention to the last, before the meeting of the FOMC, release of Non-Farm Payrolls. Trading in this time can be quite ambiguous, and here's why ...
One can go to talk about - where will the "Farm" will be they positive, negative, above or below expectations - all this now would not be a serious matter. A key factor is already mapped, 14 December the Fed probably will raise its interest rate, market price laid down in the 95% probability of such an event. Last roleplaying dollar this factor we probably saw on Thanksgiving Day last week. This factor creates the greatest risk to the Friday release: all over are set to increase in the Fed rate.
To date (as of this writing: medium) forecasts for the NFP are:
US Non-Farm Payrolls 180K
US Unemployment Rate 4.9%
US Average Hourly Earnings 0.2%
It is hard to imagine what kind of negative data could have (or will) kill market sentiment. Imagine that the data came out lower than expected. So what? This single publication of the report on the general background of a stable year. How, then, will play a quotation? Reset ballast and return to the line of resistance? It is likely ... In other words, we will have an additional risk for the scenario "data below expectations."
It also remains a traditional indicator of the risk of conflict, when adversaries were raznoboynye can start data package:
US Non-Farm Payrolls
US Unemployment Rate
US Average Hourly Earnings
US Revised Non-Farm Payrolls (revised data of the last release, update statistics)
Seasoned can skip this part, be sure to repeat for beginners: Traditionally, we remind that the report is as attractive and dangerous, the report is more dangerous than attractive. The catch is the large flow of data releases, which may be in conflict, and therefore cause a spiking quotations (so-called saw).
Conflict can arise between the NFP figures and salaries, or between the NFP and the revised data of the previous NFP release.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,856
  • Dec 1, 2016 2:42pm Dec 1, 2016 2:42pm
Quoting vvFish
Friday 2:30 12/2/16 5 Kommentarii5 New comments AU Retail Sales (AU Retail Sales), Australia, the AUDUSD Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release. 15% probability trades. Friday 11:30 12/2/16 GB Index PMI in construction (GB Construction PMI), England, GBPUSD Average reaction when trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release. 15% probability trades. Friday 15:30 12/2/16 US Number of employed outside agriculture HOT! (US Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY Average reaction when...
Thoughts on "smart traders"
AU Retail Sales
Why we usually do not include this indicator in the market:
- He has a strong Australian delay, that on the background of weak movements in general not interested in trading.
Why do we put it today:
- Position trading the pair tempted. Especially may be an interesting scenario to the data lower than expected, even with a delay.
Please note - the delay will be 100% Offer a small, high risk.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,857
  • Dec 1, 2016 6:34pm Dec 1, 2016 6:34pm
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,858
  • Dec 2, 2016 3:37am Dec 2, 2016 3:37am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,859
  • Dec 2, 2016 6:41am Dec 2, 2016 6:41am
Quoting vvFish
{image}
Fantastic catch
Let Market Tell You
  • #3,860
  • Dec 2, 2016 7:34am Dec 2, 2016 7:34am
Quoting Monokl
{quote} Fantastic catch
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
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