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  • #241
  • Sep 27, 2016 12:54pm Sep 27, 2016 12:54pm
1 tick over 2154 and im ready to start looking for 2100
  • #242
  • Sep 28, 2016 7:46pm Sep 28, 2016 7:46pm
Quoting raiders
1 tick over 2154 and im ready to start looking for 2100
Here we are, 217x again, all the good news gonna boost it to 218x today. I'll move my TP to 218x-219x and then SHORT again at this level.
Easy and happy trade.
  • #243
  • Sep 28, 2016 8:42pm Sep 28, 2016 8:42pm
We should see more gains today. Oil rally was good news
  • #244
  • Sep 29, 2016 9:57am Sep 29, 2016 9:57am
Quoting raiders
1 tick over 2154 and im ready to start looking for 2100
little more of a complex correction than what i was looking for, but 2100 is on deck 2090-2070 most likely
  • #245
  • Sep 30, 2016 12:43pm Sep 30, 2016 12:43pm
Quoting raiders
{quote} little more of a complex correction than what i was looking for, but 2100 is on deck 2090-2070 most likely
I dont see 209x but 219x. I was expecting a drop of about 100 points from 219x previously and obviously correction was done at around 2100.

We will see a strong push to 2200 soon. I'll move my TP to 220x and short at this level.

easy trade
  • #246
  • Oct 9, 2016 9:49am Oct 9, 2016 9:49am
Quoting UnnamedPlayr
I have buddies who trade stocks and ETFs. They usually trade when the US market opens because of the volatility.
Top notch answer. Very correct
  • #247
  • Oct 10, 2016 8:40pm Oct 10, 2016 8:40pm
Hi all, sorry if my question is not really on the way you re trading the sp500 on this thread but as you know not so many thread about the sp on FF ^^
I m scalping the dax cfd and a friend of mine adviced me that it will be more interesting to scalp the sp500 mini E future, less dangerous in long term trading because the much liquid in market, scalping with DOM.
So i just discovered the mini E fut and i constated that it seems to respect S/R and let at this moment interesting opportunity to go in go out for some ticks..
What you guys thinking about the idea of scalping the sp500 fut ? any adviced welcome, Thanks.
Green pips all from Thailand
There is no way to happiness , happiness is the way.
  • #248
  • Oct 14, 2016 8:31am Oct 14, 2016 8:31am
Quoting Ockham
Hi all, sorry if my question is not really on the way you re trading the sp500 on this thread but as you know not so many thread about the sp on FF ^^ I m scalping the dax cfd and a friend of mine adviced me that it will be more interesting to scalp the sp500 mini E future, less dangerous in long term trading because the much liquid in market, scalping with DOM. So i just discovered the mini E fut and i constated that it seems to respect S/R and let at this moment interesting opportunity to go in go out for some ticks.. What you guys thinking about...
I scalp it daily. I love it. Respects fib levels very well and s&r levels. use range bars or renko and youll be a happy camper
  • #249
  • Oct 20, 2016 12:54pm Oct 20, 2016 12:54pm
future possibilities. ... sp500 Z6
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Frank Fadi
  • #250
  • Oct 25, 2016 2:59am Oct 25, 2016 2:59am
I traded the S&P 500 index. But if your broker has the Russell 2000 index it a lot more smoother in it's movements. I have an excellent strategy for both.
  • #251
  • Oct 25, 2016 3:27am Oct 25, 2016 3:27am
SP500
high %Probability

: enter ... (surfing the little5wave (3wave's)) ...

SELLing @2159 ... to 2106
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SP500 enter surfing the little5wave (3wave's) SELLing@2159 ... to 2106.png Size: 242 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #252
  • Nov 6, 2016 10:28am Nov 6, 2016 10:28am
My friend Virgil only buys a close above the 52EMA on weekly! He strongly believes in the US market and economy!!!

Regards!
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  • #253
  • Nov 6, 2016 10:34am Nov 6, 2016 10:34am
Quoting raiders
{quote} little more of a complex correction than what i was looking for, but 2100 is on deck 2090-2070 most likely
Well....it got there. Things are looking rather scary but it's still very bullish imo. Below 2030 then it's looking neutral to me. But a hard bounce is in the cards I'm thinking and with it new highs. Good luck
  • #254
  • Nov 7, 2016 9:14am Nov 7, 2016 9:14am
Quoting raiders
{quote} Well....it got there. Things are looking rather scary but it's still very bullish imo. Below 2030 then it's looking neutral to me. But a hard bounce is in the cards I'm thinking and with it new highs. Good luck
Nailed it and flat for now. Looking for the 2100 area to load up the boat. 2180ish next

Side note.....hope all of you witnessed that ass beating the Raiders put on last display last night. I will be doing the same to the ES
  • #255
  • Nov 9, 2016 6:54am Nov 9, 2016 6:54am
President-elect Trump. 5 predictions on what happens next in the global economy and markets
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Stefan Isaacstoday
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The votes are in and it is clear. For the second time in 2016 we have had a major rejection of the political status quo. Following on from the shock UK referendum result, a Trump victory is further evidence that many believe that we have reached peak globalisation and income inequality. The perceived losers of globalisation have turned the incumbent political system on its head, and with it we should expect change.
So here are five predictions:

  1. The US will move to a fiscally accommodative stance. Whilst President-elect Trump may be somewhat constrained by a Republican controlled House of Representatives, it’s safe to assume we will see tax cuts, infrastructure and defence spending. With an economy at close to full employment this will prove inflationary in the medium term and yield curves will continue to exhibit a steepening bias. This should be positive for higher beta assets including the US high yield market.

  1. Inflation assets will outperform deflation assets. Paper assets will underperform the likes of commodities and property in a world where politicians are playing the populist card.

  1. Europe will face significant political challenges over the next twelve months. If we have learnt anything this year it is to expect the unexpected. Could we see significant political changes in France and Germany? Will Italy vote against Senate reform in the upcoming referendum on December 4? This could raise very real questions about the future direction of the Eurozone, an outcome which is certainly not priced into peripheral European markets at present.

  1. A Trump presidency will result in lower trade with Europe. As a result, the fragile recovery taking place in Europe could be put at risk. It’s too early to talk of ECB taper. They will extend their QE later this year after making some adjustments.

Trump may not build a wall. But even if he does, it won’t keep the robots out. Their numbers are set to have more than doubled to over 2.5 million by 2020. Alongside a declining but nonetheless significant savings glut in Asia, the robots are the constraining factor on inflation and bond yields. Whilst bond yields will trend higher they will not return to pre-crisis levels.

From Bond Vigilantes.

  • #256
  • Nov 10, 2016 6:14am Nov 10, 2016 6:14am
Quoting raiders
{quote} Nailed it and flat for now. Looking for the 2100 area to load up the boat. 2180ish next Side note.....hope all of you witnessed that ass beating the Raiders put on last display last night. I will be doing the same to the ES
  • #257
  • Nov 19, 2016 6:44am Nov 19, 2016 6:44am
I expect a top to form in the SP500 in December 2016, this will be a final top, before we see a decline of about 50% to 60%. I expect the top to form on the 13th of December. Critical levels are 2209.33, 2256.59,2256.59. My favorite is 2304.34 for a final top. Until we move into December I would be prepared to buy.

2155.65
2161.57

these are areas I would look for a hourly reversal bar
  • #258
  • Nov 19, 2016 8:32am Nov 19, 2016 8:32am
Quoting Hurst
I expect a top to form in the SP500 in December 2016, this will be a final top, before we see a decline of about 50% to 60%. I expect the top to form on the 13th of December. Critical levels are 2209.33, 2256.59,2256.59. My favorite is 2304.34 for a final top. Until we move into December I would be prepared to buy. 2155.65 2161.57 these are areas I would look for a hourly reversal bar
Im also searching for 2280-2300, and preferably 2300.34 which is slightly different but at least were fishing in the same pond. And the levels you are looking for a bounce are the same levels im searching for.
As far as the 50-60% correction....from what levels? From the recent election low, the Jan low, or something further back?
My count has us in a wave 3 currently and i see a pullback this week before santa coming to town and taking us to the highs so with that 50-60% isnt showing in my cards. But i could be off so who knows?
  • #259
  • Nov 19, 2016 3:59pm Nov 19, 2016 3:59pm
Quoting raiders
{quote} Im also searching for 2280-2300, and preferably 2300.34 which is slightly different but at least were fishing in the same pond. And the levels you are looking for a bounce are the same levels im searching for. As far as the 50-60% correction....from what levels? From the recent election low, the Jan low, or something further back? My count has us in a wave 3 currently and i see a pullback this week before santa coming to town and taking us to the highs so with that 50-60% isnt showing in my cards. But i could be off so who knows?

I am sure you did not pull those levels out of the wind, nor the bounce areas either so you are either lucky or been doing it as long as I have. You won't see the 50% fall because its a method few people have come across and the book that I read cost a hefty $600 so not many people wil pay for the knowledge. Currently this bull run is a bit too long. 7 to 8 year is about the max for this to occur. Next is the change in US leadership, a great catalyst for an event to occur. Rates are going up because the banks want to reset the debt cycle and screw the population out of real assets so they can hand them bits of worthless paper. Media is spinning lies about the rate hike being needed. Even people here on the forum are saying we need a hike. Why, the cost of borrowing goes up and the banks start to draw in the debtors making every ones life crap. Companies stop expanding, businesses stop hiring. Lets face it no one needs two TV's a new smart phone and new car so the economic stimulation won't happen. People are being paid less, made to work on no hours contracts and automation is reducing the need for new people to get hired. Markets collapse on confidence. No one feels they have a job for life anymore. So the artificial stimulation of the markets on cheap money just fueled a couple of years of no growth, but companies could borrow from the banks buy their own shares back and make a profit. As soon as the cost of borrowing raises these companies will be forced to sell their shares to raise capital as they certainly are not able to exist anymore based on borrowing at 7%.

No one has thought through this correctly, certainly not the people that are self appointed to safe guard our monetary system. The FED are totally unaware of their policies and the impact of their actions. They do not understand, that by delaying the crash, they just made it get stronger. Chaotic events like market collapses don't need a lot to trigger their declines. If they had allowed a controlled collapse by raising rates a lot sooner, then reigning them back in they could have take the sting out of a recession, a gradual decline. Instead the crash will be even more aggressive than ever.

This makes me think the crash will be more 60% than 50%.
  • #260
  • Edited 5:13pm Nov 19, 2016 4:26pm | Edited 5:13pm
Quoting Hurst
{quote} I am sure you did not pull those levels out of the wind, nor the bounce areas either so you are either lucky or been doing it as long as I have. You won't see the 50% fall because its a method few people have come across and the book that I read cost a hefty $600 so not many people wil pay for the knowledge. Currently this bull run is a bit too long. 7 to 8 year is about the max for this to occur. Next is the change in US leadership, a great catalyst for an event to occur. Rates are going up because the banks want to reset the debt cycle...
gotcha
Well, for what its worth, i too see all the above. But i was mapping that out for sometime between 2018-2020. Like you said anything can start the party and thats why i have such a large time frame there.
I know a couple guys who are steady shorting every rip with serious firepower because they are on doom and gloom train as of a few months ago. And well, they have been cleaning up recently. I also have something i was reading the other day that was very eyeopening as well but i cant post it here. Long story short its got a 100% hit rate so we might just be reading the exact same tea leaves.
But for all lurkers i will say market breadth
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